Well folks here we are at the end of the year, the end of another season of NFL football, and like many of our favorite teams to wager on, the end of the NFL Edge. You know, I am seriously contemplating retirement from this business! While that probably won't mean the end of the NFL Edge, it will mean the end of my cutting edge analysis and what amounts to about a season of picking winners at a 70% clip. I have seen where some of you are actually clicking on some of our links!! THANKS!! The rest of you need to click, click, click. See that is important since the only way that we can continue to give you FREE Picks is if we can get some revenue from our advertisers, if our advertisers don’t see positive results, then they won’t advertise with us. No Advertisers, no NFL Edge, no more FREE Picks. So you want the winners to keep on coming, then keep on CLICKING!!! Maybe even buy a little something, and keep the WINNERS COMING!!
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What better way to kick off the new season with a nice meaningless game that won’t have any relevance to anyone but us degenerates. Well that and fans of Atlanta and Tampa, which on the other hand might be debatable. Much like last season Tampa quickly became one of our favorites here as of late, with a brilliantly sieve like defense that ensures they won’t get anywhere near a cover, let alone a win.. Good thing for that against an Atlanta team that will probably back into the playoffs even if they lose a couple games, even as badly as they did against New Orleans. The good news for Atlanta is that they get to pad the stats a little and build some confidence over what is a bad football team, but one we will miss an awful lot, Tampa!.
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ATL 33 – TB 10
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ATL 45 - TAM 24 WINNER!
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A Big game in Cincinnati with big time ramifications for the AFC Playoff picture. Baltimore took care of business to stay in their perch atop the AFC North. Cincinnati did their part to stay in the hunt with an amazing head over heels display. They have their own fate in their hands thanks to the developments in the big city last week, where they can win and get in this week. It's not going to come easy this week against Baltimore where they have plenty to play for in regards to playoff positioning. Cincinnati is 0-3 in big divisional showdown games against their division leaders, Pittsburgh and Baltimore this season, although not for quite the same stakes. This one is win and get in for Cincy at home, and despite my pick here, those stakes can inspire a team to extraordinary effort which is what it’s going to take for to beat a Baltimore team who is 0-5 against the spread in the last 5 in Cincinnati.
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BAL 20 - CIN 19
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BAL 24 - CIN 16 WINNER
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Say goodbye to our little friends. Yes both San Francisco who has reemerged as a super play even if they don’t wind up winning the conference this year, against a St. Louis team that has likewise been very profitable for us all through the season. After this one here we won’t have the pleasure nor the easy cash from wagering against them anymore! As we saw last week wagering against the Niners, has proven horribly unprofitable. Just a little hint for some of you, who won’t heed our advice possibly looking to get a little action on the playoffs. Cause otherwise we will go the way of the odds that St. Louis wins, relatively extinct.
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SF 20 – STL 3
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SF 34 - STL 27 WINNER
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Another huge game among a couple of teams that we will miss wagering on anymore. Philly cost us a couple times, but man when they come through, they come through big. Washington was pretty good as an occasional dog, and at least is still playing hard for Mike Shanahan despite getting dumped hard as a favorite at home last week. As lopsided and easy as this one looks to be it is still a rivalry game and check this out, Washington has covered 5 of the last 6 in Philly! I mean it looks like that probably won’t happen as Philly has simply rolled the last 3 games proving to be the team many expected them to be, against a Washington team that has failed in three of the last four. But, there is where they have won outright in Philly in three of last four, so don’t come crying saying I didn’t warn you. Every investment has risk, and past performance isn’t a guarantee of future results.
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PHI 41 – WAS 14
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PHI 34 - WAS 10 WINNER
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Pittsburgh came out last week and punched St. Louis in the nose, and as they push toward the postseason they plow forward regardless of who is at the controls. Cleveland keeps confounding as they were both pitiful, and profitable in their last one. Kind of a microcosm of this transitional season. Cleveland still have a bunch of questions going into next year, despite the relative stability of the second year under Mike Holmgren. They have covered in 5 of the last 6 games, despite losing the last 5 in a row. They are making money, well for us folks who make sports the sport, and still mounting up the losses. Just like Cleveland has for literally decades against Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh has won about every meeting with Cleveland except for a December night back in 2009. The same type of scenario was a sendoff for Cleveland last year at home in January, and were blitzed to the tune of 41-9 as a 2010 send off for Cleveland. In a place where that right there may be the most unforgivable crime.
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PIT 23 – CLE 14
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PIT 13 - CLE 9 WINNER
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While this looks on paper to be an intriguing matchup, in actuality this game right here has as good a shot to resemble a preseason game even more so then several games this week among contestants who are not going to the postseason. Detroit pretty much wrapped up everything they can wrap up and sealed their fate as a postseason participant. While Green Bay had wrapped everything up weeks ago. Therefore with both these two teams about to embark on the “second season" there is a very strong likelihood this could wind up looking like a preseason game and do you really want to leave the fate of oh say a parlay card up to a couple of sets of backup players. Unlike the teams not going to playoffs not only do they not want to get anyone hurt, and Detroit has developed a bit of that kind of reputation under Jim Schwartz*. So not only do you not want to risk an injury but you might not want to show too much against a team you might meet again, and maybe even in two weeks.
Then again with this bunch to Green Pay players, that might be enough to extract an excellent effort and at home.
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GB 35 – DET 26
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GB 45 - DET 41 WINNER
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Here we have another game that has lost a bit of its luster due to the late breaking events. Houston has just about sealed their fate entirely as a three or four seed, and Tennessee takes home a trophy for trying. After getting roughed up last couple weeks no doubt Houston is going to be looking for something to take some confidence with them into the postseason. Tennessee would love nothing more than to pound Houston toward the postseason if nothing else insuring that their stay there will be brief. When Tennessee is healthy they can look the part of a playoff contender and even though time is running out on their 2011 – 12 campaign, they're starting to get some pieces back from injury that would love nothing more than to end 2011 on an up beat note and ensure some momentum for next season. Houston although anemic in the last few games after having wrapped up the division title, is capable of a big game at home to gain some momentum going into the playoffs..
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HOU 27 – TEN 20
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TEN 23 - HOU 22 COVER
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So what was that we were telling you last week? Oh yeah, that's right Indianapolis, yes Indianapolis, would have a winning streak going into this also very winnable game at Jacksonville. Indianapolis had better be careful as they may very well played themselves out of the top draft pick, and all that goes along with that. Jacksonville spent a high draft pick on a quarterback themselves last year and jettisoned the veteran starter. They have spent most of the past year dealing with the consequences of that decision. Though we've been very fortunate with Indy on several occasions this season and are riding our own sort of winning streak with Indianapolis. Eventually, all good things must come to an end, just as I predicted this winning streak would begin I am now telling you that Indianapolis little run will also come to an end, along with their season, and Jacksonville's for that matter too. Hopefully, however not before one more payoff.
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JAC 28 – IND 17
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JAC 19 - IND 13 WINNER
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A frustrating season for both these two proud franchises comes to an end. New York was wrecked last week at home against their roommates and just put their postseason on life support needing a big win here in Miami, no small feat in itself, and some help. There's going to be plenty of intrigue and this one and not just because Miami is essentially a Borough of New York City, but at the very worst games between these two usually make for some terrific football. The Miami second-half resurgence continues despite dropping the game last week in New England they managed that ever so important moral victory... ahem. Continuing the trend of being one of the hottest teams over the second half of season coaching change and all, Miami will definitely be coming to play. Miami would love nothing more than to completely extinguish any shot New York has of getting into the postseason, and and it doesn't really matter who the head coach is going to be. They will be looking to Just End The Season emphatically for the deflated New Yorkers.
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MIA 27 – NYJ 20
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MIA 19 - NYJ 17 WINNER
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A couple of bitter rivals finished off their 2011 campaign with one last major battle in the state of Minnesota. Minnesota is still alive for the top overall draft pick will probably be severely indifferent towards this game. Sure a win would be nice for Wesley Fraser (not like he's going to be around much longer anyways) and Minnesota. Yet they might be better off losing this one, and winning the top overall draft pick, and the bonanza that could come with it. Chicago showed us all that they may not going anywhere, but are still pretty much fighting with all they've got left. However hampered they may be signing a guy who spent most of this season as a high school coach to lead the offense as the QB. That makes this for an interesting game, interesting but probably not one I would bet on.
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MIN 20 - CHI 16
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CHI 17 - MIN 13 LOSER
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Buffalo says goodbye to the old year and hello to the new as in New, England. Things didn't quite go as planned for Buffalo this year, that again assumes that they actually have one. (Insert corny Buffalo joke and parentheses) this will be a good confidence building opportunity for touchdown Tom and his pretty pack of Pat-men. However it's quite an opportunity for Buffalo as a good game will give them something to build off of going into another playoff-less post season. All they would have to do is repeat their unlikely victory from September one more time here in the icy cold of the Boston suburbs. Oh yeah there from Buffalo, so snow’s no problem. New England is trying to secure the number one overall seed, and have stomped Buffalo in 15 of 16 home games, so another Buffalo upset is very very unlikely, but those two touchdowns could sure come in handy if Buffalo can do what only a couple of other teams have managed to do all year, and keep pace with the Pats.
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NE 38 – BUF 24
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NE 49 - BUF 21 WINNER
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Carolina comes a calling into the big easy for one last show of now record-breaking rookie phenom covering Cam Newton. While Cam's been filling up the stat sheet Carolina has not exactly been collecting wins. Carolina has made that oh so important marketable improvement on both sides of the ball and more importantly with against the spread record, particularly as an underdog. Speaking of records New Orleans is poised to move the bar on a few themselves including the vaunted passing record, which has stood for well what turned out to be decades in a pass happy offense friendly era. The big question of course all pundits are hanging on is who will be manning the field for New Orleans. Will they be resting players hoping to get/stay healthy, or will they be battling for positioning and going full bore? Hard to say, but keep in mind Carolina has been big with big pointspreads.
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NO 34 – CAR 21
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NO 45 - CAR 17 WINNER
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Kansas City travels to Denver in a game just as big as it looked a few weeks ago only perhaps not as sexy as one couple weeks ago hence it got booted back into the afternoon time slot. Some of Tim Tebows steam has left the sails after a couple of consecutive losses, but Denver will still be running the spread option, and it will still prove good for say one or two touchdowns. However this is the NFL and Denver's defense can't just keep shutting people out week in week out, trying to give their offense a chance to stay in the game. It will be interesting to see Tebow in his first ever losing streak so to see how if he comes out fighting and salvage Denver's whole feel-good season. Kansas City has really improved with former Bronco cast off Kyle Orton, so that make for a very interesting story line in what would otherwise be almost a routine Denver home win over Kansas City like they have for 9 of the last 10 years.
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DEN 23 – KC 14
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KC 7 - DEN 3 LOSER
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Seattle sends their season off towards the summer out in the desert of Arizona against the pesky Arizona team that just doesn't seem to know the meaning of the word quit. I mean last week, here they are about to screw up another perfectly good Sunday afternoon parlay card, when they fell just short and we dodged another bullet. The point is that has been really dangerous betting against Arizona the second half of the season. Likewise, Seattle has surged in the second half of the year. Winners of three of the last four and covering in the last 4 straight. They have been prolifically profitable covering the last 5 road games, and here they are getting some points in the finale. Arizona has managed to best Seattle in 4 of the last 5 visits to the greater Phoenix metropolitan area. Will be looking for payback for a low scoring 13-10 loss in Seattle in September.
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AZ 24 – SEA 21
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AZ 23 - SEA 20 WINNER
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Big D takes on Big Blue in a big contest that's so big I just have to make you all work just a little bit harder for. It may be bigger to you, but not so much for me, If I had to assign a points system, confidence points if you will, this one would fall toward the bottom of the list. Most people like New York at home, regaining momentum from that big win last week, against a battered and bruised Dallas team with Tony Romo nursing his throwing hand. This has all the makings of a big blue blowout. I just don’t buy that, Romo will go at QB for Dallas, and New York really didn’t have an answer for him last time, and they won’t this time either. It will be another scoring duel, if you recall last year when these two met in New York it was Dallas dominating. New York has lost the last three as a home team, and not covered for five of the last six home games. Laying points to an evenly matched Dallas team… I’m gonna go for the payoff and take Dallas and the odds on the money line.
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DAL 31 – NY 29
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NYG 31 - DAL 14 LOSER
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We love making you work a little bit for our Really big winners, and we like this game REALLY BIG!!
In fact we saved this pick for last because it is going to be our best pick of this season. Oakland has run off 5 straight covers against San Diego, and at home have covered in 7 of the last 9. That somewhat conceals the San Diego dominance in this series. San Diego has won 6 of the last 7 meetings in the Bay Area and are getting points!! San Diego plays spoiler and will be spoiling Oakland’s postseason plans permanently, for the 2011-12 season!.
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SD 30 - OAK 24
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SD 38 - OAK 26 WINNER
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The NBA Edge has been EVEN BETTER than our 65% WINNING PERCENTAGE!! We will keep on delivering winners all season long. If you NEED WINNERS, YOU NEED TO CHECK US OUT The NBA Edge to put some ACTION into your week!!