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Week # 12 kicks off with a slightly less scintillating pairing this week. Sure its a divisional game and features a first place team, however even Cincinnati fans were turning off the TV after that display on Sunday. However we should not overlook the fact that Cincinnati is on a bit of streak, in fact if we want to get technical they have a three week undefeated streak going. OK so they tied last week, and had a bye the week before, but in Cincinnati these days they don't have such lofty aspirations. Pittsburgh on the other hand, well I know I am not the only one a little miffed about that last play. I won't go so far as to say that there might have been some mysterious forces at work, but anyone who had Pitt, knows where I am coming from. The point remains if you had Pittsburgh last week, you did not get paid, and laying 10.5 in this one in a place where Cincinnati has covered in 4 of the last 6 years, I can see where you might be in that same exact scenario once again.
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PIT 24 – CIN 13
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Houston may have lost their 7th game of the season on Sunday, but they still managed to show quite a bit of spark, especially on offense. They battled Indy to the wire and lo and behold managed to get their 4th cover of the season, first once since October. Cleveland needed something to get things going, and that something looks like it could be Brady Quinn. Yes he may have lost his debut game against Denver, but he sure bounced back in a tough spot in Buffalo. People who don't think Quinn is a difference maker need only look at that Monday night game, where he did lead the team down for the eventual winning F.G. Quinn and the re-energized Browns find another way to get it done this week against a very game Houston squad.
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CLE 28 – HOU 24
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This won't be one of those epic battles between these two teams like back the 90's. Dallas had better be careful to not look past San Fran in this one.
First off they are laying an awful lot of points, and I know Dallas has got some reinforcements back and they did win last week, but San Fran is on a bit of hot streak as well. Yes they have only won 1 game really since Mike Singletary took over, but man what a win that last one was. By all accounts they probably should have won the previous weeks game in Arizona, but again as big underdog they covered there, and if not for some misfortune in the games waning seconds they might have been able to pull that out. Point is that Singletary has them playing better right now, and that makes them dangerous with the 10.5 points or so. Still going with the 'boys from big D, but this could be another one of those where the spread is just too high.
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DAL 30 – S.F. 16
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Must be a bit of walk down memory lane for Tampa fans, after all those years in the old Black and Blue division, match ups like this one and the one last week with Minnesota hearken back to the days of the bright orange jerseys and Jim McKay's one liners... OK I know probably everyone not on Social Security didn't get that one, but what the heck, its Detroit we are talking about here, What is there to get? Get this, taking 14.5 points last week paid handsome dividends. Will 8.5 points do it again this week against a deceptively good Tampa bay team? Not only did I praise Tampa last week, but then went against them and even worse bet against them. Shame on me. Won't make that mistake twice, even though eventually, Detroit will come due, and they shown lots of spark last week. Just wait they are saving it up for the Epic Thanksgiving day battle with unbeaten Tennessee.
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TAM 21 – DET 10
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This game is a very intriguing contest against two teams in different conferences, who seem to be more alike than different. The main difference though is at 5-5 Minnesota is on top of their division, and only one game better than Jacksonville who is pretty much done for. Getting swept by the 10 win Tennessee team last week eliminates any mathematical chance to win the division, and in the competitive AFC, that pretty much all but shuts the door on Jacksonville's playoff chances. That could go either way in this one. Will Jacksonville come out and play hard trying to salvage what respect they can, or will they just pack it in now and put up a stinker? Minnesota knows they are in a battle for a playoff spot and there is no question that they will be on their 'A' game, but is Gus Frerotte capable of delivering down in Jacksonville.
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JAC 24 – MIN 21
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Buffalo has another favorable match up this week even if they have to travel to Kansas City. Just about any team would have a favorable match up with this Kansas City defense. However before we summarily dismiss Kansas City, they were playing fairly well and even hung right in there with New Orleans last week, until late in the game. Buffalo is the poster child for why preseason, or even early season power rankings are a waste of time. When Buffalo started out 4-0 then 5-1 some folks were even saying they might be the best team in AFC. How quickly that dissolved as now Buffalo has lost 4 straight, and much to Buffalo fans horror, it was wide right on Monday Night. If Buffalo can't snap their losing skid against Kansas City, which to be honest, I don't know if they can. In fact I don't even know if Buffalo is that much better than Kansas City is. However if Buffalo can't get it done then you might as well pack it in Buffalo and shuffle off to 2009. I don't think they will do that, K.C. Will give them a battle, but in the end a desperate team fighting for it's season finds some way to get it done.
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BUF 20 – K.C. 14
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Not many people would have expected this game to have much meaning even as recently as just a few weeks ago. However with Tony Sparano making an offer that you just couldn't refuse, Miami has won 4 in a row. Even if Miami hasn't covered in it's last two games, they still sport a 4-1 mark at home, and lambasted New England by a 38-13 score up in Foxboro back in September. Miami and New England find themselves with identical 6-4 records and both teams trail the Jolly Jesters from New York by only one game. The winner here will have a serious advantage in the race for a playoff spot in what looks like a very competitive AFC. Playoffs and Miami... yeah it still sounds funny. Though I am very impressed with the turn around in Miami, I just don't think that New England will be taking them as lightly this time around, Bill Belichick will be ready and have his troops prepared, even if injuries have taken their toll on New England, they get revenge for the beat down in September.
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N.E. 19 – MIA 16
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A big battle in the NFC South that could go a long way to getting some clarity as to which way the NFC South is going to wind up. Can Carolina keep on winning big games, even with their anemic passing game? Can Atlanta rebound from their first home loss, against the division leader? Carolina as we alluded to has won the last 4 games, but only covered in two of those games. They have had the upper hand in recent years against Atlanta winning 5 of the last 7 meetings, including earlier this year in Carolina when the Cats knocked down the Birds by a 24-9 score. Atlanta has been very good at home, and even hold a 7 to 3 edge at home against Carolina, although Atlanta only managed to cover one spread at home in the last 5 meeting with Carolina. It is rare that one of these rivals sweeps the other one, but Carolina has what appears to be a better defense in this one, but not by much, and Matt Ryan even as a rookie looks to be playing better than Jake Delhomme in recent games. Taking the dog in this one, or should I say the Cat, only because I should be taking Atlanta, but the way I been picking lately, I look at who I would pick and then make the opposite pick, fading my own pick here because that has been a formula for a LOT of wins lately. That and Carolina might just be a little bit better team.
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CAR 24 – ATL 21
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Baltimore takes a second swing at one of the big boys from the NFC East. Baltimore didn't fare so well against the Beast of the East, and now they take on a team just playing beastly. Philly just looked horrible as they wound up tying one of the worst teams in the league. I think the only thing worse than that Philly game was the commentary afterwards. I have been a big supporter of Philly this season, and I still think that they have a heck of a team. However they seem to want to try and shoot themselves in the foot. They need to get Westbrook more involved in the offense, and not just running him off tackle. Philly will have to really ratchet their game up a few notches or they could see their season ship out to sea in Baltimore.
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PHI 20 - BAL 17
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A huge match up among some unlikely division leaders. Tennessee is just rolling along at 10-0, and looks to be improving each week. I was wrong about New York last week again and have been hearing about it all week. Look it is not like I dislike the New York Bretts... uh, OK, well maybe I do a little. I just don't see where they match up all that well against certain opponents. Heck I picked them a few weeks ago against St. Louis, and that was like my top pick of that week. New York is flying high at 7-3, looking to make their biggest kill of the season, and drop Tennessee from the ranks of the unbeaten. If they can do that then for sure they will have my utmost respect, as well as the attention of the rest of league that they should be considered contenders. But, Yo, this is New York we're talking about here... If they can find a way to choke, they will!! Right? The Titans, Fughetabouit!
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TEN 26 – NYJ 20
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St. Louis has officially reverted back to playing the same lousy football that got their first coach this season fired. Chicago must have decided to prep for this game by following that very same approach, as last week they looked just like St. Louis in getting stomped up in Green Bay. Chicago should be able to bounce back from that this week, against a very generous St. Louis team. St. Louis might not be able to bounce back from this season even well into next year. Linemen, draft linemen!
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CHI 27 – STL 13
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Denver is now down to their fourth running back, are completely out of linebackers, have a porous defense, and are on a two game winning streak. Par for the course in the NFL this season! Oakland went down to Miami and actually had another very decent effort, and in fact even threatened to actually win the game. Alas it is Oakland and they once again managed to swipe defeat from the jaws of victory. This week they go into Denver where, regardless of where they meet have been getting pounded by Mike Shanahan's club, as if he had some sort of personal vendetta against the Crypt Keepers team... ahem. Well if history tells us anything, even if Oakland can find it in them to contain Denver's reclamation project running game, even if they can dominate Denve'rs defensive line and run the ball, they will still wind up the same way the last 8 of 10 meetings have, with Denver claiming another victory over Oakland. However what surprised me was that even with Denver dominating Oakland the past 5 years, Oakland has managed to cover in 4 of the last 5 meetings including 4 of the last 6 visits to Denver. Something to keep in mind with a weak Denver team.
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DEN 30 – OAK 21
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The Giants head out to Arizona to take on the upstart Cards. Arizona has a four game lead out in the NFC West and New York sports the best record in the conference. So actually in the scheme of things this game really doesn't mean all that much to either team, well not nearly as much as all the hype you will hear about it. Some pundits who will hype this game as the game of the year, a playoff litmus test if you will, a barometer game. Don't get me wrong, both of these two teams want this, and it should be a high level of intensity for sure, but really it's just another game. Arizona might be looking at this one as the stage to legitimize their standing as a team to reckoned with come playoff time, a chance to show the league that they are among the elite. New York will see this as business as usual, and if you look at Arizona's last two weeks worth of great escapes, could be in for a rude awakening at the hands of the Giants punishing running game. Then again with those big wideouts they have could be just the way to attack the seemingly impregnable Giant defense.
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NYG 31 – AZ 30
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Washington heads out west to take on Seattle up in Seattle. Seattle may be having a rough year but shown in Arizona last week that they are still very formidable up in Seattle. Washington will need to overcome it's own two game losing skid and regroup to avoid dropping three in a row. This game won't be easy, it out on the west coast, and as Seattle shown last week they aren't ready to concede to being a doormat just yet. It is still one of the loudest places, and toughest places to go into and get a win. Seattle will have Matt Hasselbeck again for the second week in a row, and he does have some wideouts healthy as well. The one thing we can say for certain this year, is that nothing is for certain. Seattle fell short on a final last ditch drive that could have pulled the game out for them last week, this week they break on through.
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SEA 27 – WAS 24
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Be sure to check back soon for our take on this great match up. Set your FAVORITES here and do come back to catch our big PRIME TIME Preview!
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Be sure to check back soon for our take on this great match up. Set your BOOKMARK here and do come back to catch our big Monday Night Preview!
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