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Hard to believe we have come to the end of another football season here at the NFL Edge. As those who have been visiting us over the years know that we simply do not handicap or recommend wagering on playoffs in any league. We don't wager on playoffs or even closely matched contests between two good teams. This week offers several playoff like games for some teams. Ideally we like to find mismatches where we see a good team going against a flawed or bad team that we can exploit, and this here game fits that description. Jacksonville has been playing for pride for several weeks now, and yet they managed to give Indy quite a battle in their last game Thursday night, and as a result have had some extra days to prepare for this game. Baltimore can win this game at home and clinch a playoff spot so you know that they will be going full throttle in this game. I fully expect them to just plow into the line about 40 times and just gash Jacksonville's soft defense to propel their way to the offseason. Now when I see a two TD spread with a somewhat talented team with nothing to lose, that could be just the recipe for picking a winner but maybe not who you would expect.
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BAL 23 JAC 17
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BAL 27 - JAC 7 WINNER/No Cover
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Here is one of those playoff type games, where Dallas despite self destructive tendencies can still win and get in. Philadelphia needs a win and a minor miracle to sneak into the playoffs, still there is a chance so they should also be going in considering this a playoff game. There is a slight chance that Philly could come out deflated since they did lose another puzzling game last week, and they could carry that lackluster play into this one and just wind up getting kicked around. However the fact that they can prevent Dallas from going to the playoffs with a win, all but assures that they won't take this game lightly. Just like the first meeting between these two I expect that these two will just be taking shots at each other and it will come down to the wire, just like the game in September did. Yes Philly covered that game as 6.5 point underdog, and by doing so boosted their total to 4 covers in the last 5 meetings with Dallas, but won't be getting any points here in this one. If Dallas can play fast, run hard and really want it they can pull this out. If it is too cold for them, and several guys are thinking about the offseason, and they get a little down and start thinking that this one is over... then McNabb gets to leave the Philly fans with a little Christmas Present to smile about.
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DAL 31 PHI 27
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PHI 44 - DAL 6 LOSER
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A very interesting game in Buffalo to be sure. New England still have a shot to get into the playoffs with a win and some help. Buffalo has had nothing to play for and yet they still went into Denver last week and put a serious dent into their playoff hopes. Buffalo is still formidable when they play home Games in Buffalo, and more so in the cold of December. Buffalo has no love for New England either and would probably enjoy the company of the former conference champs on the golf course with them. It will be a very tall order though as New England has beaten Buffalo 5 straight, and covered in 5 of the last 6 games in Buffalo. As we saw last week a little snow won't slow New England down any. Even if Buffalo comes out and has it clicking and has one of their good games, odds say they still won't manage to stay within the 6 points.
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NE 27 BUF 20
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NE 13 - BUF 0 WINNER
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The most intrigue of week 17 if you ask me as my 2.5 to 1 wager about 4 weeks ago that Detroit would run the table is about to pay off, and only the Packers in Lambeau stand in the way! This game will be historic as the 2008 Detroit Lions can now be mentioned in the same breath with the 1976 Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the 1922-1925 Rochester Jeffersons as the greatest losers in the history of the game. All that has to happen is for Green Bay to come out ahead at the end of this one little home game Sunday. Not like Green Bay hasn't had some fun with Detroit as they have beaten them in the last 5 straight meetings, and the last 5 meetings up in Green Bay. Although Green Bay has lost 5 in a row, and two straight home games coming into this one. With no postseason to play for, as a final send off to the loyal Packer Backers Green Bay will get the old ice bowl jumping around and dancing as will I collecting on the Detroits ignominious feat! Might have to press it up and kick a little extra into the pot... I see your Detroit o-15 and raise you to 0-16, one for the ages, now lets get paid like it!
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GB 34 DET 13
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GB 31 - DET 21 WINNER
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This is a deceptive match up, yet in reality it could be a fantastic mismatch. Minnesota still needs to have this game to ensure themselves of a playoff spot. A loss here and they can very easily find themselves on the outside looking in once again. New York clinched everything they can and probably will be playing this one like a pre-season game. However last year you will recall Coach Tom Coughlin going all out in another meaningless game, and he has already stated that he is going to be going all out to win this one as well. I think that there are completely different circumstances here, and on the road with nothing to play for, the Giants will probably not all really be going all out much to Coughlins chagrin. Even if they will be, twice in the recent Eli Manning era he has struggled against Minnesota and they have beaten New York, quite handily last year as well. However if we are looking at trends you have to take note that these two teams have fared better on the road in the others house over the last 8 years. The road team winning and covering up in the last 5 meetings, just something to watch for here. Tough to pass trends like that with the New Yorks powerful running game racking up over 300 yards rushing last week. However a Giants team with half of them battling the flu will probably be looking forward to a bye week and some rest, while for Minnesota this is a playoff game and despite Tavares Jackson playing QB will have to find a way to play like it.
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MIN 30 NY 24
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MIN 20 - NYG 19 WINNER