The NFL Edge 2007: Issue. # 15


 
 

Thursday, DEC 13

Denver at Houston E

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Another dandy Thursday night contest that should be fun to watch even if it won't have much bearing on the postseason. Sure both these teams are still alive mathematically, the loser will see that slim chance disappear and the winner can still dream the impossible dream. That alone will at least have these two teams going all out, and that can lead to some real exciting football. Houston has shown some real moxy this year earning plenty of respect and showing that they are a legit NFL team. Denver had been hot and cold this year, but was really hot in dispatching Kansas City last week by some 37 points. They probably won't find the going so easy in Houston, but ultimately the Houston secondary has plenty of holes in it that Jay Cutler should be able to exploit. Unless Denver has another one of those legendary late game collapses they should keep on dreaming postseason, at least for another week.
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DEN 27 - HOU 21
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HOU 31 - DEN 13 LOSER

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Saturday, DEC 15

Cincinnati at San Francisco +8.5

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Ugh, what a game huh, a couple of afterthoughts. Well no matter what we LOVE this game, and this time of year when teams who have nothing left to play for are basically playing early 2008 preseason games. Neither of these two have any postseason aspirations, for this year. While someone will have to step up and do something on national television. The Niners could be a dangerous home dog with Frank Gore, but they really don't have much else, having lost the last 5 at home. Cincy has been playing better lately, but not really on the road where they are one for the last 8 games. Something has got to give here and its looking like San Fran has the more impressive track record. While Cincinnati can hardly be considered good enough to lay 8 on the road, at least the Cincy offense has potential to hit a few scoring plays, and that is more than what San Fran can bring to the table.
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CIN 24 – SF 14
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SF 20 - CIN 13 LOSER

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Sunday, DEC 16

Jacksonville at Pittsburgh -3.5

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Another match up I totally love. People like to razz on Jacksonville because supposedly they never win the "big games". So here is another one of those big games. Pittsburgh fresh off a waxing at the hands of New England has to host another heavyweight this week. They are at home where they have won the last 5 straight, but Jacksonville can win on the road going 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. Pittsburgh may have a little more pop on offense when they are clicking, but get this Jacksonville has covered in 6 of the last 7 meetings with Pittsburgh. I really like that trend to continue.
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JAC 23 – PIT 20
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JAC 29 - PIT 22 WINNER

Atlanta at Tampa Bay -13.5

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As Tampa crawls along towards a playoff spot in the NFC South. The formula for them is simple, they win and they are in. They get to face an Atlanta team, who looks as though they have packed it in for the offseason already. Tuesday as we were publishing this site, their coach Bobby Petrino calls it quits, so I guess I was right on with my analysis that they look like they have called it quits. The line in this game went from like 4 before the Monday night game ended, to six right after, to 13 as of this news. That may be too many points to lay with a team like Tampa who is playing a back up QB and a 3rd string running back. Yet Tampa is looking to lock up the NFC South and build some momentum going toward the playoffs. They stumbled last week in Houston, but at home against a flightless Falcon team, fire the cannons and let the celebration begin, Tampa wins the NFC South.
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TAM 24 – ATL 6
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tam 37 - ATL 3 WINNER

Seattle at Carolina +6.5

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Carolina finally broke through a couple weeks ago with their first home win of the season. The first in the last 9 home games actually. They promptly went into Jacksonville last week, and were resoundly thumped. Seattle has not been a strong road team historically, but have really been coming on these last several weeks, and have even went out and won their last two road games. Against a lame Carolina team just playing out the string, another road win could be just the juice Seattle needs as it pushes toward the postseason. Most NFL teams even when playing out the string can be dangerous dogs this time of year, but Carolina has been a non-entity at home all year, unless Seattle mails it in having wrapped up the NFC West last week, and is uninterested this game will be another uninteresting home game for Carolina fans.
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SEA 26 – CAR 17
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CAR 13 - SEA 10 LOSER

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Green Bay at St. Louis -10.5

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St. Louis seemed to have it's A game last week when they went in to Cincinnati, however they were down to the third string QB and couldn't muster more than 10 points against Cincy's generous defense. Here comes Green Bay which aside from one game against Dallas, has been downright dominant all year. Home or on the road. Remember that whole Brett Favre can't win in domes theory... well how wrong has that been this year? Not only will Green Bay win this game, they will once again make it look easy doing it.
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GB 34 – STL 16
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GB 33 - STL 14 WINNER

Baltimore at Miami +4.5

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Oh the Dolphins! Will they be the team to match the 1976 Bucs level of futility. Are they really the worst team ever? They sure looked like they had given up in the first half of their game against Buffalo last week, at least early on. They went back to QB Cleo Lemon and he did manage a few points and threatened to make it a competitive game until he melted down as well. The Dolphins have another shot here in what could be another winable game. Don't tell it to Baltimore though as they still feel as though they are a decent team, but they really aren't. So that means that this could actually be a fun game to watch. Although I know no one seems to want the tickets I have to this game! (oh get your own Sports Tickets ) The Ravens still have enough defense to contain the decimated Dolphins offense, and even their offense should be able to find some holes in the Dolphins defenses. However if they can’t they shouldn’t panic Miami should gift wrap a few easy scores for the Ravens to turn what could be a winable game for Miami, into a redeeming road win for the Ravens.
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BAL 17 – MIA 3
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MIA 22 - BAL 16 LOSER

NY Jets at New England -21.5

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Geez, do I even need to write about this one. The Jets, the Jovial Jesters, my beloved team to bet against. Going up against the ATM Machine, New England. New England and the over has been like an ATM machine paying roughly 2.5 x your deposit all year. Never mind the free toaster, the New England savings bank has been keeping the lights on around here... Speaking of lights, WONT SOMEONE PLEASE BUY SOMETHING FROM ONE OF OUR SPONSORS... Get a Fathead E-Gift Certificate! or how about Sports Tickets Oh yeah this game.... please, like the Jets have a prayer.
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NE 41 – NYJ 10
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NE 20 - NYJ 10 WINNER/No Cover


 

Arizona at New Orleans -2.5

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Ahh the Cards, we saw their true color last week, and my faith in their ultimate demise was once again handsomely rewarded. Now they fly into New Orleans where each of these two will be making a last ditch attempt to keep hope alive for the 2007 campaign. The Saints have kicked it into high gear and are stepping out with a little swagger, they still believe down there on the bayou! The Cards are starting to crumble, yet they have always surprised me this year, just as I write them off, they go and do something foolish like pull an upset. The Cards still have some weapons on offense and should give New Orleans a good battle. But I am on roll with Arizona right now, and I think once again they show their true colors and crumble in the end.
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N.O. 31 – AZ 26
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NO 31 - AZ 24 WINNER

Buffalo at Cleveland -3.5

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Huge game in the AFC here, Buffalo a rugged gritty bunch is still alive for the playoffs but runs into a big hurdle when they roll down I-90 into Cleveland. Cleveland is the main obstacle to Buffalo sneaking into the postseason, as the Browns currently hold the final wildcard spot. Many people wrote these Browns off many times this year, and here we are when the wind starts to whip off Lake Erie and Cleveland is still in the playoff hunt. This Cleveland team has some players on it, and this bunch is not ready to head home for the holidays yet. Yeah no one may circle the wagons like the Buffalo Bills, and the Bills come into this one having won two straight. Clevelands defense could help keep Buffalo in this game, but ultimately playmakers make plays and Cleveland just has more of them in this game, at least more healthy ones.
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CLE 33 – BUF 20
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CLE 8 - BUF 0 WINNER

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Tennessee at Kansas City +3.5

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Kansas City sure looked like a team who mailed it in last week. Guess they started the offseason program a little early this year. Will they be able to round up the wagons for one more homestand. The Tennessee Titans saw their playoff hopes take a hit from San Diego at home last week, in a game they led 17-3 in the 4th quarter. Late collapse like that will always make a team question itself, especially now that they have lost 4 of their last 5 games. The Titans will look to get that mojo going again on the road, where they have won 6 of the last 9. K.C. historically has been a tough place to play, and Tennessee has only won once in the last 5 trips out there. That was before the Chiefs packed it in though, Kansas City has now lost 5 straight and the last 3 at home.
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TEN 19 – KC 14
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TEN 26 - KC 17 WINNER

Indianapolis at Oakland +9.5

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The Joakland Faders were back in full force last week up in Green Bay, and I won't make the mistake of getting suckered in and taking that big point spread again this week. As long as Indy has wild man Bob Sanders patrolling that secondary, the Oakland offense will be kept in check and that is about all they will see from Indy... the check please.
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IND 27 - OAK 14
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IND 21 - OAK 14 WINNER/No Cover

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Detroit at San Diego -9.5

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This is one of those games that we really like this week. The deflated Detroit team heads down to San Diego. San Diego will be without key defender Shawne Merriman, but that is really of no consequence here. While Detroit did give Dallas a battle last week, that was at home, and of course the Lions folded like lawn chair with the game on the line. That will not bode well for a Lion team who has won two of six on the road, and mired in a 5 game losing skid. Remember when once people were saying Detroit was the dark horse team in the NFC, well it looks like they have just gone back into the dark. San Diego superchargers will be singing and dancing their way closer to clinching a playoff spot.
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SD 38 – DET 17
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SD 51 - DET 14 WINNER

Philadelphia at Dallas -9.5

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Another whopper of a game in the NFC East. Hard to really get a read on this game, after the lackluster performance by Dallas last week up in Detroit, could they be letting up. Philly saw their last playoff hopes bounce off the upright in a last ditch attempt to save their season last week. Now that they are eliminated it's difficult to determine what kind of effort they could come out with. Will they be the ones mailing it in? Though the birds are eliminated this is the Dallas Cowboys, the heated rival who is garnering all the media attention, much like New England did a few weeks ago. So if Philly is still up to playing hard they could be a handful for big D, who might be letting their foot off the gas a little bit with the playoffs all wrapped up now.
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DAL 24 – PHI 16
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PHI 10 - DAL 6 COVER

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Washington at NY Giants -3.5

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A prime time game in the NFC East with the season on the line, at least for Washington. The Skins are still alive and fighting for a playoff spot, but need to win out, the Giants are in the drivers seat for a wild card, but another late season collapse could still send them home for the holidays. Washington would love nothing more than to keep their season alive and dampen New Yorks holiday cheer. However all the emotion from the previous week coupled with all the injuries have probably depleted Washington to the point where they might not have enough gas in the tank to pull this one out. Yet take heart Redskin nation I was wrong about your team last week, and with this pick might be wrong again.
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NYG 20 – WAS 17
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WAS 22 - NYG 10 COVER

Monday, DEC 17

Chicago at Minnesota -9.5

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The Chicago Bears head into Minnesota looking to spoil their rivals post season bid. The only thing the Chicago could spoil is a few parlays. Chicago will be lucky to stay within the ten point spread of Minnesota. The Vikes lead the league in rushing offense, and Chicago has been run over as of late. The Bears have lost the last two in a row, while Minnesota is probably one of the best teams over the last month or so having run off 4 straight wins. Minnesota beat Chicago 34-31 in Chicago back in October, and now Chicago turns to Kyle Orton to lead their attack. So do I think that will improve Chicagos chances, no. However the way this week has been going, Chicago will somehow find a way to spoil what looks like a nice easy win for the Vikes and of course for me. I still like the Vikes though.
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MIN 31 - CHI 20
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MIN 20 - CHI 13 WINNER/No Cover
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