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Tough week for Washington. First you have the tragedy to Sean Taylor, then trying to get ready to play a football game after that. A game in which many of Washington’s players were openly crying. Then you look at the way that game ended, with a last second loss to Buffalo. Sure many of the players were saying afterwards, it's just a game. Yet it was ANOTHER loss, a loss where the fans actually started chanting "Gibbs must go" (Here’s a tip Skins fans "Joe must go" is much more poetic). Now they need to turn around after the funeral and be ready in three days to do strap it on again. Uh Fat chance I think. Although facing an offensively challenged team like Chicago actually gives Washington a pretty good shot in this one. Chicago, actually didn't play too badly last week, but what was the coaching staff thinking milking a 9 point 4th quarter lead and calling for passing plays in their final two possessions. What about running the ball, and the clock? Washington will be a fired up emotional team still, but as we saw last week, emotion alone don't always get it done in the NFL.
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CHI 19 - WAS 17
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WAS 24 - CHI 16 LOSER
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Well not many folks in Jacksonville were very impressed by the Jags losing to Indianapolis by only three points. However a certain segment which had the Jags and an extra TD were all smiles like the Cheshire cat! (oh yes I did!!) The big spotted cats should be able to grind up the one from Carolina in this one. The Carolina Cats were given a gift last week, with offensively challenged San Fran visiting "Uptown" Charlotte. Still as lopsided as the final score seemed, San Fran was right there until critical mistakes in the 4th quarter did them in and made it seem like a more lopsided games. J-ville don't make too many miscues like that, and even when they do, that defense is adept at shutting down much better offenses than what Carolina will be bringing to town.
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JAC 24 - CAR 13
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JAC 37 - CAR 6 WINNER
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Wow a match up of teams showing complete disparity with their play and the results. Philly played hard and battled arguably outplaying their highly touted opponents in both previous contests, yet for one reason or another (A.J. Feely) came up just short. New York, looked completely miserable for the previous 7 and a half quarters, in getting routed at home the week before, and yet in about 7 minutes Sunday the Giants erased a 9 point defecit, and erased a plethora of bad memories and now they travel to Philly with a chance to lock up a playoff spot. Overall Philly is clearly playing better football right now, but weather it's coaching decisions, or QB blunders, just keep shooting themselves in the foot. They will be up for New York this week, as they still cling to faint playoff hopes themselves, and as a home dog, are one of my better plays this week. Yet as has been the case for this team this year, they do shoot themselves in the foot more often than not.
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PHI 20 - NYG 16
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NYG 16 – PHI 13 LOSER
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Pittsburgh didn't looks to be suffering any ill effects from their lack of covering the past few weeks, as they went and jacked up Cincinnati, in another mudder game. New England looked oh so vulnerable again, and if not for a coaching blunder calling time out, as if they were going to "Ice" Tom Brady, Baltimore had New England beat. Oh but in the words of Tony Cornholer, it was the tragic inevitability as everyone just knew, penalties aside New England was GOING to win the game anyway. Alas, it's like the second game in a row where they didn't cover the spread, and that and the vulnerability exposed on Monday night make this one one of my best picks this week. Everyone is going to be figuring that this is the week, where New England finally loses... and that is why this one is all that much more attractive to me. No normally I don't like to play the "playoff" type games, and this one would count as such, but this week, the Pats once again flex their muscle and remind everyone why they are still unbeaten after 14 games.
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NE 38 - PIT 24
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NE 34 – PIT 13 WINNER
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If the Bengals have any heart left this is a very winnable game for them. If they come out and play like the did a couple weeks ago when they messed up Tennessee at home, this one could be a rout. St. Louis, however is looking more like the team everyone thought they would be this year as of late, and even threw an impressive win on their resume last week. Stephen Jackson is back and running hard, and that will be the key to how to deflate an already deflated Cincy team. The frustration of watching the Rams offense grind up the Cincy defense, will force the offense to press and ultimately make mistakes. Like I said before if Cincy had any heart they should blow out the Rams this week. However I am telling you, that this team has no heart, and the running of the Rams will frustrate and frazzle the Bengals into another pathetic display of football.
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STL 29 - CIN 27
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CIN 19 – STL 10 LOSER
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This game may not be as lopsided as these two teams records may indicate. Houston with their big play WRs back in the fold could put a lot of pressue on Tampa who could also be without the services of their top signal caller in this game. McCown shown last week he is no clown, but Tampa is depleted offensively and Houston does have some big play potential. Good thing for Tampa they pretty much have a playoff spot all but wrapped up, because this is one of those lookout games for them. Houston may have some injuries on defense but they are still solid on defense and can still put up some points, that might be too much for Tampa to overcome on the road this week.
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HOU 23 - TAM 20
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HOU 28 – TAM 14 WINNER
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I guess I wasn't the only fool who thought that Miami’s mini "winning streak" would manifest into something last week. The Jets proved too much for them, and John Beck who had not previously thrown an NFL interception, was victimized several times by the Jets. The Bills bucked their way past a worn out Washington team. What a job Dick Jauron has done with that team there, another week where they looked like they had every reason to come out flat, and all they did was go into a hostile place full of emotion, and put up another big win. Now you know what happens this time of year up in Buffalo, and against the boys from South Beach, the whipping winds of Western New York in December won’t be reminding them of home that’s for sure. No I won't be making that whole "every team wins sometime" speech this week, that theory is 0-2 for me this week, just like Miami who still sports a zero in the ever so important left column. The only issue I have is laying 7.5 points with a team that is averaging only 15 points per game on the season.
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BUF 17 – MIA 6
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BUF 38 – MIA 17 WINNER
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Green Bay tries to see if they can rebound from their showdown in big D. Apparently Brett is OK, by all reports he will be back at the helm for Green Bay this week, the few benefits of a Thursday night game. However at his age in the cold with that Raider defense coming in, pretty good odds say that he won’t see the end of the game, and keep in mind if you are laying down a big chunk, it could be Aaron Rodgers trying to pull it out in the 4th qtr. It won't be an easy task this week as the Raiders come storming in with a bit of a winning streak of their own. Man how long has it been since we been able to say that? Ahh, but the Tundra is starting to get a little more frozen, and these California boys are not known for being hearty enough to do all that dancing when it gets a little colder.
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GB 27 – OAK 17
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GB 38 – OAK 7 WINNER/No Cover
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Dallas heads up to the other big D where they face a defense that was wrangled for 42 points last week, that same defense gave up another 37 points at home the week before that. Needless to say that the Lions have lost a little luster off that roar. We can only wonder what T.O. and company should do to them this week. Aside from one misstep against divisional rival Washington Dallas has easily won the last 6 straight games and is easily the best team in the conference. The only thing to worry about in a game such as this one, is that just maybe having clinched a playoff spot and all, that they could let up a little bit. With a line this big and figuring that they have a lead late in this one, it’s doubtful that you will still see Dallas airing it out, trying to get that cover. The best chance of that is like maybe John Kitna tossing a pick-6 late in the game.
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DAL 34 – DET 20
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DAL 28 – DET 27 WINNER/No Cover
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This one promises to be another wild AFC game as Tennessee now is scrapping to stay in the playoff picture. San Diego may have wrapped up the AFC west by virtue of their road win in Kansas City. For San Diego though that was the exception rather than the rule as last week was only their second victory on the road this year. Taking into account the point spread, which if you want to take San Diego and lay points on the road, last week was only the second cover in 8 previous road games. Not particularly positive especially when going against Vince Young and the homestanding Titans, who are 4-1 in the last 5 home games, and as we said before are scrapping for a playoff spot. Tennessee does have holes in that defense though and San Diego is just the kind of team that can stick it to them through them and around them.
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SD 21 - TEN 20
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S.D. 23 –TEN 17 WINNER/No Cover
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Minnesota looks like they figured out that they need to score some points if they want to win some games in this league. Someone apparently got that memo. The Vikes started playing the like Pats averaging 41.6 points in their last two games. San Fran, would have difficulty putting up 40 points in 3 games, even were they all healthy. Despite losing last week San Fran did manage to hang in that game well into the second half, but miscues and turnovers as they often do, did them in - again. Minnesota typically does not shoot themselves in the foot with costly mistakes. Why should they, they can really blow open some holes and run that ball. The only way San Fran has a chance in this game is if Minnesota does not jump all over them, and plays it too conservative, or if San Fran gets out to a fast start and takes Minnesota out of their running game. The second scenario is almost too improbable, but the first scenario is what plagued Minnesota through the early part of this season, leading to a 4-6 record before this little run, they should be able to keep it going this week, but can they keep lighting people up like they have been also?
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MIN 20 – SF 13
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MIN 27 – SF 7 WINNER
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The covering cards caught me again. Here I was blinded by the hilarity of their loss to San Fran the week before, and all they did was stomp the hottest team in the league. This week they fly up the Seattle where they face an improving Seattle team, who may be playing their best football of the season right now as well. Seattle has now pulled out four in a row, and three straight at home where they have won six of the seven previous home contests. Seattle has the look of top bird in the NFC West. Through all my ridicule the Cards are really smack in the middle of the NFC playoff picture, and a win here could really tighten things up and at very least unnerve Seattle fans. While it is mathematically possible Arizona could still rise up and take the NFC West. I didn't like the Cards last week at home and I like ‘em even less this week in Seattle.
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SEA 36 – AZ 27
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SEA 42 – AZ 21 WINNER
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Even in defeat Cleveland displayed the moxy that has them at 7-5 and on the verge of what the first playoff berth since Bill Bellicheck was their coach (man has it really been that long). They had better be careful, as the Jets are putting together a bit of a run themselves. Save Thanksgiving where the Jesters were just that, the Jets have won two of the last three, and covered in 3 of the last 4 games. Even though Cleveland is like four games better than the Jets in the standings, they do feature a similarly generous defense. That should serve to make this one a lot more exciting than at first glance. Still that line is just way too low to even make me consider putting and real green down on these green guys.
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CLE 30 – NY 23
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CLE 24 – NYJ 18 WINNER
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What looked like it could be a wild western shoot out, only a few weeks back for divisional supremacy, this one now looks like the stakes are for who should stay out of the basement. The Chiefs have come back to the pack since an earlier season surge that had them thinking this year would wind up different. It's different all right, but not in the way they would like. Speaking of different ways, the Broncos are caught in a bit of a tailspin themselves losing two in a row after working their way back to .500 last month. Last time that happened they went into Kansas City and smacked around the Chiefs, who were in better shape in that game by a score of 27-11. So they now get a rematch up at mile high, where Denver has dominated winning the last 5 straight times they hosted Kansas City up there.
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DEN 31 – KC 21
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DEN 41 – KC 7 WINNER
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No way is this game is prime time stuff, this lameo should get "flexed" out. Well what can we say about Baltimore this year. They played their hearts out, the perfect storm if you will where all the elements lined up just so that they could have a chance at the monumental upset. Then again in the end they managed to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. We have seen this scene before, Miami last Monday night and they came back and were lit up at home by the Jets. Anyone care to wager that this one will be different. Not with Payton Manning and company coming in, another week another loss for Baltimore who has been completely snake bit this year, otherwise, I might foolishly like them here at home again, as I have a morbid attraction to losers.
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IND 37 – BAL 18
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IND 44 - BAL 20 WINNER
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These two teams tee it off on Monday night to wrap up week # 14.
Just like the NFL on any given Sunday you don’t really know what you will get from New Orleans any given night. They are at 5-7 and still entertaining some postseason aspirations but you wouldn’t gather that from their record. Still New Orleans started out the year 0-4 and since then have gone 5-3 but have dropped all three of those in the last 4 weeks. Still when they faced a deflated Carolina team they managed to look like the New Orleans team who we saw the year before. Why does that matter? Simple, Atlanta is also a broken team, nothing to play for and not really much of an offensive threat. New Orleans should go in and keep the dream Alive at the expense of the hard luck Falcons.
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N.O. 27 – ATL 20
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N.O. 34 - ATL 14 WINNER
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