|
|
|
|
CLICK HERE TO GET THE LIVE NFL BETTING LINES NOW!
Kick off week 4 with a line drive right at you when Green Bay visits old nemesis Minnesota. The Vikes looking to rebound from two very close calls and despite being 1-2 in the standings, have played good enough to be a 3-0 team. Speaking of which Green Bay comes into this game with a league best 3-0 mark this season, and on a 7 game win streak dating back to last year. Highlighted by a rousing 9-7 win over these same Vikings in Green Bay last December, completing the season sweep over their division rivals. At the same time the Packers are unbeaten in the last 5 road games against the spread. Yet despite all these numbers, Minnesota has been a tough place for the Packers during the Brett Favre era.
The first game between these two last year was the first time in the last 5 meetings the Packers covered against the Vikes. A good part of that ‘Fade Favre in domes’ formula is fueled by the Vikes and their 67% winning percentage when they host Green Bay with Favre at the helm. It’s a tough call with the Pack playing the way they are, but the purple guys are looking to bounce back, and could the young Packers possibly be heading for a bit of a letdown in the twin cities.
************************************
MIN 20 - GB 17
************************************
GB 23 - MIN 16 LOSER
|
|
|
|
CLICK HERE TO GET THE LIVE NFL BETTING LINES NOW!
As good as some teams have played this year, here we have two who well lets just say aren't quite there yet. Miami is still growing under new Coach Cam Cameron and still looking for that first win. Funny thing when a coach makes unconventional decisions and wins, he is called innovative, a genius, when he is losing, it doesn’t take long before people question just what the heck is he thinking. Even though it’s only 4 games into the season lots of the Miami faithful are already starting to think the latter. Oakland on the other hand finally broke through, and covered the week before in Denver in a very close game, that could have just as easily been a huge Oakland upset. Raiders Coach Lane Kiffin, if nothing else, figured out how to perfect that whole "time out to ice the kicker" thing from Mike Shanahan the week before . Actually this could be quite an interesting game as Miami struggles to get that first win under their hats, while Oakland could be featuring offseason Miami castoff Dante Culpepper at QB returning to Miami, oh after coming off the bench and helping Oakland pull out a win the week before. That of course would be textbook irony. Miami will probably get it’s first W this week, but the irony of Culpepper staring in Dolphin stadium is too much to pass up.
************************************
MIA 24 – OAK 21
************************************
OAK 35 - MIA 17 COVER
CLICK HERE TO GET THE LIVE NFL BETTING LINES NOW!
The Jets shuffle on up to Buffalo. The Jets got off the ground with a big win last week. Yet despite the Jets getting all their front line players back, they still let the Dolphins hang around and were a flopping kicker away from an onsides kick recovery that could have led to a catastrophic 4th qtr meltdown in a game that should have been a blowout. I guess you can say that the Jets were coasting in that game, that they had the game "won" early in the 2nd half. There is no denying then that there was a big 4th qtr letdown. Can’t feel too positive about that. In a league this close, usually the difference between winning and losing and making all gamblers crazy is what transpires in the 4th qtr. The winning teams rise up and get stronger, while, some teams let other teams back in and give them hope. Are the Bills the team to serve up that Jets letdown? Well there are crazier things than having Buffalo as a 3.5 pt. home dog, they are a solid 5-1 ATS in Buffalo, and get this have covered in 5 of the last 7 meetings with the greenies.
Though the Jets are 1-0 on the road against the spread this year, and are clearly the better team going into this one, and yes they should manage to win this game, but will they let the Bills off the hook going down by three?
************************************
NYJ 24 – BUF 20
************************************
BUF 17 - NYJ 14 LOSER
CLICK HERE TO GET THE LIVE NFL BETTING LINES NOW!
The Texans travel to Atlanta, where the Falcons are still searching for the first win in the Bobby Petrino/post-Micheal Vick era. The Falcons played well enough to possibly pull the road upset last week, if not for another mental midget on that team having an onfield meltdown which ultimately resulted in the teams demise. Houston comes in with a swagger despite the beating at home by the Colts. They kept the score to six, which at some places was a cover, and were that the case, that would have been the 6th straight for the Texans, against the winless and coverless birds. In case anyone is keeping track Atlanta hasn’t covered in any of the last 5 games at home, and a couple of those were with Vick. I don’t know that I can honestly say that I think taking Houston as a favorite and laying points is a good idea here, then again I said that same thing in week 1. In week 2 I said I couldn’t take them on the road, now I am whining about taking them as a favorite… Still this is an awful tricky match up, Atlanta is a desperate team backed into a coroner, and even though Houston is playing respectable football, and coming around on defense. I am really leery of desperate teams like Atlanta, they might win 4 games all year, but this could very well be one of them.
************************************
HOU 26 – ATL 21
************************************
ATL 26 - HOU 16 LOSER
CLICK HERE TO GET THE LIVE NFL BETTING LINES NOW!
A couple of teams looking to bounce back after each one was drubbed back to reality in week # 3. The 1-2 Bears come into Detroit trailing the Lions, and Packers in the NFC North and in dire need of this game to erase an embarrassing onslaught on national television Sunday night against Dallas. Speaking of embarrassment, the Lions out did Cincinnati from the week before in allowing 56 points to a desperate Philly team. Still Lions are the ones coming into this game at 2-1 and thinking that they can Best the Bears in this one and get a leg up in the NFC North race. The Bears issues have been on offense barely able to average scoring in the double digits this season so far, it looks like they could be benching Grossman in this game as a result. The Lions have been putting up the scores almost as quickly as they allow them averaging close to 26 points per contest offensively. Will make for a good match up (and you know how I feel about them) however underneath all the glitz and glitter of offense and scoring, defense is what wins in the NFL, and Chicago has owned this series as of late having won the last 4 straight and covering in 5 of the last 6. I Don’t know if it will be Greise or Grossman, but it’s up to the 21 other fellas out there to determine the outcome of this one, and these fellas know each other real well.
************************************
CHI 25 – DET 22
************************************
DET 37 - CHI 27 COVER
|
|
Top Hotel Deals in Las Vegas |
|
CLICK HERE TO GET THE LIVE NFL BETTING LINES NOW!
No love lost among these two instant rivals, as Cleveland despite their 1-2 mark, visits Baltimore who may be 2-1 but by my count are 0-3 against the spread this season thus far. Covering Cleveland may have lost the game last week but their fighting spirit in battling back to almost pull it out at the end of the game last week is no doubt winning the heart of many a Browns fan. Maybe even starting to build a little confidence back. They will surely get some confidence back in the building where the put up 51 points last time they were there. In fact the Brownies now have covered in 4 of the last 6 home games. Although Baltimore has outright won 4 of it’s last 5 contests with Cleveland. I expect that we should see something along those lines in this contest as well, with Cleveland making it interesting but somehow Baltimore winds up closing it out.
************************************
BAL 26 – CLE 24
************************************
CLE 27 - BAL 13 COVER
CLICK HERE TO GET THE LIVE NFL BETTING LINES NOW!
St. Louis goes into Dallas in search of their first win of the 2007 season. Thus far this year, Texas has proven it is not the best place to go looking for W's. Who has looked better than Dallas in the NFC. It is almost too easy, that alone makes me leery of the desperate underdog like the Rams. The Cowboys in week 1, shown a susceptibility to the pass, and haven't really been tested by a decent passing offense since. The Rams are a good candidate to take advantage of that and have the potential to exploit that. If that were the case, it would be wild west shootout and could be a pretty wild game. However the Rams are all sorts of banged up, Pace is out for the year, and the O-line certainly does not look to have recovered. Now Steven Jackson is out, and they are going into Texas stadium with a rookie Brian Leonard at RB. No that pretty much seals the deal right there. St. Louis will be one dimensional, Dallas will pin back and get after Bulger who will be lucky to survive this game let alone the whole season. Like I said it almost looks too easy, which again always makes me a little bit unsettled.
************************************
DAL 31 - STL 17
************************************
DAL 37 - STL 7 WINNER!
CLICK HERE TO GET THE LIVE NFL BETTING LINES NOW!
Now here is another possible dog of the week play, although with the QB question in Carolina, there is that unknown factor which needs to be watched out for. What we do know about is a confident, healthy Tampa team heads up to Carolina, in a game between the top two teams in the NFC South for the early lead there.
We could be looking at a back up QB in Carolina, who has a track record of throwing lots of picks going against an aggressive blitzing defense like Tampas. Like I said before you have the ingredients for a potential upset. However the stats say that this one probably won’t be that close. Tampa is only 1-9 in its last 10 road games. Have only beaten Carolina once in the last 8 times they met, and boot have only covered once in the last 6 times on the road in Carolina.
That is how we break it down and give you the edge, take them Cats!
************************************
CAR 23 – TAM 17
************************************
TAM 20 - CAR 7 LOSER
CLICK HERE TO GET THE LIVE NFL BETTING LINES NOW!
A big match up out in the NFC West. San Fran was blown out last week in Pittsburgh, despite that stout defense and solid running game behind Frank Gore. The Steelers kept Gore to 39 yards rushing last week, and dared Alex Smith to beat them, and as advertised right here he couldn’t. That right there is the formula in a nutshell for how to beat the 49ers. Seattle will be looking for a win here to get in control of the division, and has been installed as a slight favorite on the road. Seattle knows it won’t be easy going into San Francisco who swept them away last year in both meetings, and have covered in 3 of the last 4 meetings. I am thinking that this is a case of selective amnesia, and everyone is just looking at last weeks game. San Fran is a pretty good team and matches up well with Seattle. This is a big divisional fight, and well Seattle as a favorite, I am not liking that at all. Here I was all excited that Seattle would be my sleeper team this week, figuring for at least a week of injury report upgrades/downgrades on S. Alexander’s wrist or something which could move that line. Basically, I was looking to get Seattle and some points, as my dog of the week, instead I am laying the two here and as favorites, and questioning the logic behind my own pick.
************************************
SEA 20 – SF 17
************************************
SEA 23 - SF 3 WINNER
CLICK HERE TO GET THE LIVE NFL BETTING LINES NOW!
If I were fortunate enough to still be playing, I would definitely not want to be on this Chiefs team this week. Sure I know K.C. finally got some momentum with that first win last week, and finally finding the endzone and all. They may have even found a pretty decent wide receiver in rookie Dwayne Bowe. The Chargers however are hoping mad, and this game reminds of one a couple years back, when San Diego started out the season 0-2 and were on Monday night hosting the Giants. They came out and laid 40-odd points on New York that night, and it was all over by halftime. I get that same feel from the Chargers about this game. These Chargers are peeved one and all, and I believe this is a must win game for them. I wouldn’t take Kansas City in this one game if you spotted me two TDs or more, oh hey it looks like that is the line on this game. I guess the pick is obvious then.
************************************
SD 41 – KC 10
************************************
K.C. 30 - S.D. 16 LOSER
CLICK HERE TO GET THE LIVE NFL BETTING LINES NOW!
The covering cards are back at home again, where they look to even up their mark against one of the leagues best through 3 weeks anyways in Pittsburgh. The Steelers have been averaging better than 32 points per game, when they are clicking on offense they are just steamrolling over people. On the other side of the ball they are holding opponents to a meager 8 points per game. Now Arizona does have some nice offensive weapons, averaging 21 points per game this year, and savvy fans can tell you they are 3-0 against the spread this year, and kick in two more at the end of last year, and you have a 5 game winning streak – at least you do if you were taking Arizona in their last 5 anyways. Here they are getting another 4 point spot at home, pretty attractive if you ask me. I am not quite sure that the Cards will have enough mustard to get it past Pittsburgh this week though. They could be looking at ole Kurt Warner back there at QB once again, I know your thinking that could be interesting with Fitzgerald and Boldin. With that defense coming after old slow fumble prone Kurt Warner just watch he will make at least one bad play for every good play he makes, and against Pittsburgh that will spell disaster.
************************************
PIT 26 – AZ 17
************************************
AZ 21 - PIT 14 LOSER
CLICK HERE TO GET THE LIVE NFL BETTING LINES NOW!
Honestly while many people were in shock last week that Jacksonville could walk up into Denver and beat the Broncos that badly, I was onto that game. I wasn’t really sold on Denver, not last week nor in week 1 when I had Buffalo in that big cover. Getting 10 points in this one seems like everyone all of a sudden has soured on Denver. Going into Indianapolis this week might have something to do with that. The Colts have won the last 5 straight at home and covered in 5 of the last 6 home games. Throw in that Denver brings a 1-4 ATS mark on the road, and have yet to cover once this year, 5 straight going back to last year if anyone is counting (ahem)
Denver might not be a great road team, but after a big beat down at home like that, sometimes you get a big bounce back on the road. Maybe not a win, but I am figuring that everyone is picking up on them betting trends in this one and maybe that line is puffed up a bit bigger than it should be. I won’t be backing away from the Colts now, the ponies have been a good ride for me this year. However if this gets up there to like 10 points or better in some place, I just might get suckered in there.
************************************
IND 30 – DEN 20
************************************
IND 38 - DEN 20 WINNER
CLICK HERE TO GET THE LIVE NFL BETTING LINES NOW!
Of the few picks I got wrong last week, the Giants had to sting the most. I really had them pegged as the worst defense in the league, and yet they wound up winning on the road, with that defense. Philly we were all over last week, nice big and easy there, I like games with no drama that are over by halftime, never mind all those "good games". I get that sense of a replay here. I mean come on 56 points the Eagles were practically scoring at will. Going against that Giant defense. Yeah that’s right the real Giant defense, the unit that showed in up weeks one and two, and was giving up 40 points per game. The secondary who couldn’t cover anyone, let alone tackle. Washington’s inexperienced Jason Campbell couldn’t exploit that secondary last week, the way a Brett Favre surgically dissected them going 14 for 14 in passing in the second half. This week Donovan McNabb and company will shred them for almost another half buck.
************************************
PHI 48 – NYG 31
************************************
NYG 16 - PHI 3 LOSER
CLICK HERE TO GET THE LIVE NFL BETTING LINES NOW!
Boo. Welcome to October, and after that Sunday Meltdown yesterday, I fully expect no one will be coming back to get this pick. I promise to make it live up to the standards set by this weeks picks!! Ahhh yes mired in a horrible Sunday where I actually spent the coin to head to my favorite sportsbook to get big on some games, lets just say I need this one here. So I called an old buddy from the neighborhood. Yes despite my friends from New England reminding me how great the Pats are, and really I haven't a leg to stand on when they say who is better. So despite that and the Juggernaut New England has looked like thus far. This is a wild week this week with crazy upsets galore, Cleveland, Tampa, Arizona, Buffalo, Kansas City, and even Atlanta were winners this week, so why not throw one more name into the ring. The Bengals get ready to roar in the jungle, and yes that same defense that let up 51 points to the Browns and come into this game on a two game losing streak. I am taking them and the 7.5 points over arguable the best team in the NFL right now. Yeah I still think it's crazy, but in a week like this one, crazy just might be the ticket.
************************************
N.E. 37 - CIN 30
************************************
N.E. 34 - CIN 13 Winner/No Cover
Bye: Tennessee, New Orleans, Washington, Jacksonville
Click Here to
ADD THIS LINK and check us out for more of our Free NFL WINNING PICKS right here every week Season!