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Welcome back football fans, we’re glad to have you back. Those of you expecting our preseason preview issue right about now, well times have a-changed and the old Greggy doesn't have the luxury of time nor energy to put together a preseason preview issue under this type of schedule, so the heck with all that, not like anyone reads it anyway, and lets get down to business on the opening act of NFL 2007.
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Welcome to the 2007 regular season. The Champion Colts set out to defend their title against everyone’s Cinderella New Orleans. Along with lots of hoopla and hurrahs, the Saints make quite a tantalizing underdog. Super Bowl Champions are notorious mushes as favorites the following year, and in most cases I would be tempted to go with that formula all year, but these Colts are different. Manning is not the type of guy to get complacent, and this game on this stage, against last years NFC runner up, will serve as notice that this year will be different.
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IND 36 - N.O. 24
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IND 41 - N.O. 10 WINNER
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Miami opens the Cam Cameron era visiting the highly decorated Skins in Washington. Problem for the Skins is that all those accolades for Joe Gibbs recently have come from NASCAR, because the Skins haven't been able to amount to much since Gibbs has been back at the helm. This is a new era for Washington and for now they can start anew brimming with optimism. Likewise as it is a new era in Miami, and Cameron has proven thus far he is anything but conventional. We shall see if that translates into wins. The Dolphins since Shula and Marino have been a coaching and QB turnstile. This year they line up Trent Green who we last saw shell-shocked by the Colt defense in the playoffs for Kansas City last year. I truly hope he has gotten over that shellacking, because among other changes the Miami offensive line is another unit that has struggled over the years, and if preseason is any indication, well let’s just say Rookie signal caller John Beck will want to stay ready. Washington may have struggled lately but they still have a pretty decent defense, and going up against Miami’s offensive line, that alone could be enough.
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WAS 14 - MIA 10
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WAS 16 - MIA 13 WINNER
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Don't put too much stock in Kansas City’s 0-4 preseason. Herm Edwards is a notorious preseason mush, and don't expect much from his men in the meaningless games. Yet that type of approach always gets his guys to play for him, and along with getting L.J. back will be a completely different team from the one we saw in preseason. The real surprise here in this game is that Houston is actually favored. I find that hard to believe, but in actuality K.C. is not that good on the road, and Houston did look fairly impressive at times in the preseason. Should I actually give Houston the respect deserving of a legit NFL team, and go out on a limb and take them. I toiled long and hard on this pick, and what it all boils down to... Wait I actually have to lay points to take Houston... well in that case this gets much easier.
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K.C. 24 - HOU 23
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HOU 20 - KC 3 LOSER
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This is one of those matchups that you won't see as the season goes on. Buffalo might not be a big powerhouse of team, but they are pretty good up there in Orchard Park. I love how the books are giving them no respect. The one thing that you have to respect is Denver’s consistent failure on opening day on the road. They have had better teams and been beaten by worse than this version of the Buffalo Bills. A classic line reflecting public perception and not the reality of the underlying football teams.
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BUF 21 - DEN 20
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DEN 15 - BUF 14 COVER
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Much like our last game we previewed this is another match up that should just jump out at you. Yet another home dog, on opening day. Remember that opening day teams are usually at full strength and not banged up. That may bode well for some teams but Pittsburgh is also healthy right now, and with a full complement of competent offensive weapons. While the Browns debate weather they will start Derek Anderson or Charlie Frye or rookie Brady Quinn at QB, it won't matter too much all of those guys are somewhat predisposed to throwing picks, and the Pittsburgh defense is predisposed to making those into game changing plays.
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PIT 17 - CLE 13
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PIT 34 - CLE 7 WINNER
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Jacksonville is standing square in the middle of all of the final cut down controversy, severing ties with apparent starting QB Byron Leftwich. Instead handing the reigns over to David Garrard. No such controversy in Tennessee where Madden Cover boy Vince Young is clearly at the helm of the Titans. I know folks are all pointing to all the losses in Tennessee from last year, no Travis Henry, no Drew Bennett. That is old hat for Tennessee as that has been their M.O. for years now. They are fortunate to have wily Jeff Fisher aboard he just takes what they give him and does his best with it. Unless he has some magic in that old silk hat he found, the only thing going down in this one is Tennessee.
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JAC 27 - TEN 17
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TEN 13 - JAC 10 LOSER
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This will be an intriguing match up, as I am unsure what to expect from either team. Carolina we know has a few playmakers, but can they make enough noise to keep up with the Rams. The Rams shouldn't have too many problems moving the ball, but that defense of theirs has been suspect, and remains a question mark. Carolina can make some plays with their defense and make a few stops, unless the ram defense can do the same it will not be a very auspicious start to 2007 for them.
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CAR 27 - STL 23
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CAR 27 - STL 13 WINNER
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As a rule of thumb I tend to look at each weeks lineup, and first locate all the home dogs. From there I separate the ones with a shot worth considering and the ones that I wouldn't bet on with stolen drug money. Green Bay is one of the latter. Sure Brett Farve is still there and he really does have as good a shot as anyone in the league of pulling a game out. However he is being opposed by Donovan McNabb who once again has a big chip on his shoulder and something to prove. That is one combination I won't be going against.
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PHI 31 - G.B. 24
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GB 16 - PHI 13 LOSER
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This is one of those hard to figure match ups. Although Atlanta shown plenty of moxy in the preseason stringing together a couple of nice wins amidst the whole Michael Vick dog saga. Momentum can do funny things, and just like we told you they were bound to rise up, they are just as likely to keep riding that wave into the regular season. I am not all that impressed with Minnesota, at least in the preseason. Sure they won, but an untested Tavaris Jackson at QB, even in the home dome makes me very nervous. I kind of like Atlanta riding old man Moe into Minny. Yet funny things can happen at home on opening day for excited young teams, when even they can dream still.
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MIN 17 - ATL 13
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MIN 24 - ATL 3 WINNER
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One of the biggest lines of opening weekend and definitely the biggest home dog.
That is a lot of disrespect for a team that made the playoffs last year. Including having beaten New England last year, and covered both games. I know that the Jets were just awful in the preseason, sure they may have won some of those exhibitions, but really winning games where you were pushed around all night may make a few fans excited for the season, but when the action counts, it's hard to ride those opponents’ special teams blunders to much success.
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NE 21 - NYJ 14
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NE 38 - NYJ 14 WINNER
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The Bears fresh off the season ending beating they took in the SuperBowl start the 2007 campaign against arguably the best tean in the AFC this year. The Chargers are basically the same team that dominated last year with a whole new coaching staff. Norv Turner leads the Chargers out this time, and funny thing about Norv is that he may be this 'offensive genius' yet he really hasn't won very much since he has been a head coach.
The Bears are depleted from the team that won the NFC last year, and the morale can't be that great after the beating, and the way the team treated standout LB Lance Briggs. Old Norv won't have to be a genius to pull this one out, just give the ball to Tomlinson, a lot!
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SD 31 - CHI 16
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SD 14 - CHI 3 WINNER
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The Anthony Pic. special... yeah man, the more I thought about it the more I realized you were on to something with this one... For the rest of you Anthony gave me this pick way back in June. That’s all you need to you know where this one came from... I like Seattle anyways, but put me down for going with a winner.
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SEA 24 - TAM 19
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SEA 20 - TAM 6 Winner/No Cover
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The new look Raiders start the Lane Kiffin era at home in Oakland. Really hard to tell what to expect from this Raider crew, it wouldn't take much to appear better than last years bunch. A rejuvenated Raider team has looked better than they did all last year in the preseason, and was I actually seeing improved play from the offensive line. Of course just blocking anyone on the offensive line is an improvement over last year. Fortunately for the Raiders they have Detroit coming in.
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OAK 21 - DET 17
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DET 36 - OAK 21 LOSER
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The Sunday Night finale, or otherwise known as the "chase" game, where all the suckers who got shelled all day will be trying to get back to even on one last bet. Dallas at home comes in as a 6 point favorite, and here they are starting life without Bill Parcells. T.O. is happy, Tony Romo is the starting QB with no controversy and no head games as Parcells was apt to play. The Dallas Defense looks to be much improved, why not go with big D? Well, let me step up and throw the wrench in the works. Dallas still has some questions in the defensive secondary, T. Newman could be out for this one. The Giants can move the ball in the air, Manning was very sharp this preseason in very limited work. When healthy as the Giants are now, they went into Dallas last year and lit up the 'Boys. While I don't see that as happening again here tonight. History shows the Giants are the ones who tend to get lit up in Dallas. However 6 points in week one, might be overrating this Cowboy team a bunch and more so underrating this Giant team a bit. I still like Dallas, to win, but I won't lay 6, I might tease them and play the over, as N.Y.s defense is also very suspect.
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DAL 34 - N.Y. 27
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DAL 45 - NY 35 WINNER
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Well the debut of Monday Night Football in Cincy. Baltimore comes in as an underdog despite being the reigning division champs. They haven't had much luck against Cincy lately,
having only covered once in the the previous five meetings between the clubs. However I like Baltimores defense to contain the high powered Cincy offense and keep this game within reach.
If not it actually could run the risk of being a Bengal blowout the other way.
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BAL 26 - CIN 24
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CIN 27 - BAL 20 LOSER
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The first of the Monday Night Double headers features two of our favorites from the NFC West.
I distinctly remember dropping a big dime or two on San Francisco while in the Bahamas against the Cards a year ago, only to watch the Cards absolutely blow that up. The Cards swept the up and coming Niners twice last year,
and I know that because it cost me both times. The Cards are looking to open 2007 with a three peat. San Fran on Monday Night opening up at home is primed to snap that and end that streak, or show all of you that I simply never learn and there go all the winnings from yesterday...
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SF 27 - AZ 20
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SF 20 - AZ 17 WINNER
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