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The PHINS swim into Carolina to take on the Panthers. This should prove to be an interesting match up, as it is in Carolina the same place where last year in October current Miami QB Duante Culpepper, then with the Vikings tore up his knee. The inclination is that this will be a tough game for Culpepper, and of course Carolina being 2-0 in the preseason, and at home, has swelled this line from 3.5/4 all the way to 6.5 where it is as I write this up. This could swell even more as this is the only NFL game tonight and more people jump on the trend plays. Preseason week three is historically the hardest to handicap. Some coaches like to use week three as the tune up, and get the starters deep into this game, then ease up on week 4 resting them for the regular season. Other coaches, will use this week to really give some playing time to bubble guys that are on the fringes of being cut, so they will give them a good long look in week three as they have to make big decisions in the next week or two. So as for these teams in this game are concerned. I know Saban plans to play his first group out there for the whole first half. I tend to think Fox may very well do the same thing. Personally I think Culpepper will do just fine, and all those fans rushing in and betting Carolina swelling the betting line up to 7 are just doing me a favor. Simply being the betting contrarian that I am when I see a line go from 4 to 7, even when the trend stats bettors freak on (Stats did he say? You can get such stats at our Extreme Stats site) I am immediately intrigued by the underdog. Knowing that Miami beat Carolina, in a huge game for Carolina down the stretch last year, may mean nothing, but it tells me that the guys in the trenches especially for Miami can match up with the Carolina fronts. Throw in an extra TD off the bat, and there is only one way to play this one... Carolina to win of course, as we all know about those preseason coaching trends, but Miami to coveroooski!
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CAR 21 - MIA 17
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CAR 19 - MIA 10 WINNER/No Cover
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Now what would preseason be without a visit from the little red birds! Long time fans here know that the Cardnals are our favorite play in preseason.
Just like old Bill Parcells is. Even before Dennis Green and his 60% plus preseason mark got there, the Cards in August have always been one of our faves.
Seeing how I haven't gotten on the Birds of summer yet, here as the preseason winds down I will fly with the redbird in the former crosstown rivalry.
Smith's team is tough but the Cardiac Cards Cruise. sorta...
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CHI 20 - AZ 17
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AZ 23 - CHI 16 COVER
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The Browns visit Buffalo. Buffalo is normally a brutal place for opposing teams. Although recently this version of the
Bills don't scare too many folks. Neither does the weather in Western New York in August. Although Cleveland should be plenty acclimated to the cold even were this a blustry Decembers Eve.
What was all that about Buffalo being a preseason mush? Well historically they are, but they did go into Carolina and cover once this preseason.
Sure they were generous with the Bengals last week yielding some 30 plus points. Yet, they still managed to ring up a few of their own,
and Cleveland has just as many issues, if not a softer defense for Buffalo to bully around.
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BUF 21 - CLE 13
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CLE 20 - BUF 17 LOSER
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The Redskins made big news this week by pulling the trigger on the big 3 player trade to bring in RB TJ Duckett. Most people saw the whole trade as a big win for Washington.
To me it spells trouble. For one, it raises questions on the health of Clinton Portis. The other side of that is that it raises questions about Clinton Portis.
Wasn't just last week he questioning the wisdom of his coaches even playing him in a preseason game? Sure Joe Gibbs may be dancing about because of optimisim in his team.
Yet personally I see the signs of strife in that Washington locker room. That may not manifest itself entirely tonight, but rest assured before this season is over with,
someone will be saying "so thats what Greggy meant" when this situation eventually blows up. Washington also hasn't been overly impressive this preseason either.
Most fans will tell you that it is meaningless anyway. Thats exactly the sentiment from Washington that were counting on here.
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NE 26 - WAS 14
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NE 41 - WAS 0 WINNER
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Well I wasn't about to do another one for this week, but seeing how Buffalo blew it yesterday, I am getting on one more today, because there is one more today!The Texans visit Denver where new Texans head coach Gary Kubiak once labored under John Elway for many years. Kubiak knows how tough it is to win in Mile High. Even tougher to win with a retooling Texans team. The Texans should be better this year, and have shown some moxy in the preseason. However since I really need a big win. Shanahans 80% mark with the Broncos in preseason, and the playing in Mile high is as good a bet as there is today. Lets also further our hypothesis by stating that rookie Denver QB Jay Cutler has also been impressive in preseason thus far.
All the more reason to get Mile high with this pick.
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DEN 27 - HOU 20
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DEN 17 - HOU 14 WINNER/No COVER
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Well once again I was not going to do this pick, but the way Sunday wound up with the old Back Door cover leaving such a bitter taste in my mouth that I just couldn’t stay away! I was liking this game more than yesterdays anyways, so I will be looking to even up with a huge Monday Nighter. Figuring everyone is sour on last nights debacle, this line is set up there at 5.5 and a gimpy Carson Palmer should make everyone even shakier. 5.5 is a big number but I am not going to sweat it, Green Bay is about the worst team in the NFL and even with Farve playing for 3 quarters, Green Bay will struggle to stay in this one. If you really fear the cover buy a couple points, but you wont need them as Green Bays new Swiss Cheese defense will even make a tough luck weekend like this one come up golden.
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CIN 24 – GB 13
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CIN 48 - GB 17 WINNER