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2005 Issue # 13
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BOOKMARK THIS PAGE (Netscape Users use Control+D) Be sure to get the EXTREME EDGE and check out our EXTREME NFL MATCH UPS! NOTE: All betting lines are estimated based on the information available at the time of publishing. Being that this is published in advance, the BETTING LINES published herein are subject to change. To see the current betting lines, please check on our LIVE BETTING LINES which offer the actual betting line you can get at VIP SPORTS Atlanta at Carolina -2.5GET THE LIVE NFL BETTING LINE NOW! * EXTREME NFL MATCH UPS! This will be one hot game with the fate of the NFC South on the line. The Falcons have been running and pounding the ball and look like they are playing as well as anyone in the NFC. Their defense was a bit of a question mark, having had a couple of injuries, but didn’t look to shabby in downing Detroit. They are also well rested having played on Thanksgiving and having 10 days to prepare for this one.
Carolina although winning hasn't looked overly impressive going about 7 quarters without scoring a TD. The UNDER has been good 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two in Carolina. So don’t expect a high scoring shoot out. Have a look at the history between these two teams, Atlanta has dominated this series, having won 9 of the last 10 meetings. So you know Vick and company give the Panthers defense fits. Yet despite all that I am once again singing the Carolina Blues. I did after all pick them to win this here thing right?
Buffalo at Miami -2.5GET THE LIVE NFL BETTING LINE NOW! * EXTREME NFL MATCH UPS! So just when everyone thought these two teams were irrelevant, here come both these two teams sitting only two games back of the division lead. Suddenly this game takes on huge meeting
as the winner can still entertain thoughts of making a run, while the other will be looking toward next year. You would think by Nick Saban’s comments last week that Miami is the team looking toward the future. However perhaps those statements just riled
up this years Miami Dolphins and have them winning again. Riky Williams ran for 80 yards and a big TD, and Ronnie Brown kicked in another 60. Zach Thomas will put on a sling on his separated shoulder and will tough it out. Don’t tell the Dolphins this don’t mean anything. The Bills have a similar team to Miami only with a better albeit inexperienced QB at the helm. Buffalo RB Willis McGahee will no doubt want to have a big day in front of some of his home town friends, to take the pressure off Losman. McGahee can do that too. Some trends to consider: Buffalo is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 away games, but Miami is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games against Buffalo. Buffalo won a tough 20-14 game up in Buffalo back in early October, thanks to a late fumble by Ronnie. Ronnie will get payback against a banged up Buffalo defense and the Fish make another big home splash.
Cincinnati at Pittsburgh -3.5GET THE LIVE NFL BETTING LINE NOW! * EXTREME NFL MATCH UPS! The last time these two met, Cincy was riding high with the NFLs best record and lighting up defenses. Then Pittsburgh came into
Cincinnati and just smacked them around. No games, no tricks, Pitt just came at Cincy and pounded the ball. Now here we are again for the rematch. Once again the Bengals look to have the high flying high powered offense, having just slapped 42 on what many consider to be one of the better defenses in the NFL. This time the stakes are much higher as this one looks to decide the fate of the AFC North. Pittsburgh looked anemic Monday Night, even with Rothlisberger back at the helm, they only managed seven points and were toasted by a good offensive team. That would seem to give the big edge to Cincy. However let me state that for the record, this will not be easy. Pittsburgh will have to look to its offensive line to blow open some holes and just pound the ball at Cincys somewhat undersized front seven. If they can do that It will be another long afternoon for Cincy sitting on the sidelines watching Pittsburgh slowly grind out the running game, and grind out another big momentum swinging victory as they have in 4 of the last 5 meetings.
Dallas at N.Y. Giants -2.5GET THE LIVE NFL BETTING LINE NOW! * EXTREME NFL MATCH UPS! A huge game essentially for the NFC East title. Dallas won the last meeting between these two, an overtime game in Dallas.
New York has lost 3 games in similar fashion, and last weeks where they had 3 FG attempts to win the game and all three missed. That has to take its toll on this team. More so than losing a nationally televised Thanksgiving day game at home. Dallas has had now 10 days to rest, while New York played practically an extra period on the west coast in a late game. Then had to fly back and get to work. Fatigue could be a factor. The Giants are still one of the leagues hottest teams if you are looking at trends, the Giants have covered in 4 of the last 5, however they have only gone OVER in one of those games. In looking at this game from the perspective that the Giants loss last week was more heartbreaking, and once your kicker gets a little spooked in New York, I wouldn’t want to hear how the crowd reacts when he trots out for another FG attempt. Will Jay Feely and the Giants be able to come back after such a demoralizing game?? Historically in this series the one team has swept the other team for the last 4 years in a row, if you buy that trend that makes this one much easier for you.
Green Bay at Chicago -6.5GET THE LIVE NFL BETTING LINE NOW! * EXTREME NFL MATCH UPS! These long time rivals meet once again, this time the roles are reversed. The Bears are the ones with the beefy record making the playoff push,
while Green Bay at 2-9 is relegated to the role of spoiler. What a chance to spoil things, The Pack is 5-6 ATS and are a solid 3-3 ATS on the road. They have dominated this series in the past winning and covering in 8 of the last 10 meetings. Although the Bears have feasted by playing great defense they have allowed a league low 10.3 points per game, and no one has scored more than 17 on them. The Bears while a very good solid team, yet are still challenged to score points. A fact subdued by the stellar play of their defense. The Bears have only managed to put up 20 points once in the last six games. Mr. Farve is also
quite familiar with that Bear defense. Familiar enough that even in this lean year you have to figure Farve will be good for a TD or two. Keep that in mind because if Farve does toss in a couple, It will be very difficult for Chicago to keep up, and win this game. Let alone cover this number. Still that Bear defense should be able to keep this one in arms reach and once again get that bear running game rumbling. Da Bears…
 Houston at Baltimore -6.5GET THE LIVE NFL BETTING LINE NOW! * EXTREME NFL MATCH UPS! Another big chance for Houston to lose out on the Reggie Bush Sweepstakes. Baltimore has to be one of the biggest disappointments this season.
Although I was really surprised they managed to score 29 points on Cincy. (although isnt that really more of an accusation of Cincys defense!)
They even managed to win a game against Pittsburgh two weeks ago. In fact surprise, surprise, the Ravens have managed to win 3 of their last 4 home games. The Houston Texans seem really eager to draft Reggie Bush, witness thier highly impressive home collapse to the Rams behind 3rd string QB, Ryan Fitzpatrick from Harvard! What does that matter this week, well if you look at that a somewhat rebounding Baltimore offense should be able to have a field day against this Houston defense. Even if Houston does somehow have the lead late, there is probably not a man on the Texans that will be able to stand up and
say "we're gonna win!", with any degree of confidence. Secretly though even some Houston fans, may be OK with another loss, just to see Reggie Bush on the Texans next year.
 Jacksonville at Cleveland +2.5GET THE LIVE NFL BETTING LINE NOW! * EXTREME NFL MATCH UPS! Yes Jacksonville went on the road again and got it done last week, even after losing stud QB Byron Leftwich.
While most teams would be in trouble if they lost their offensive leader, Jacksonville has the luxury of having a very soft schedule, and after dispatching of the
Cards in Arizona now make the trek to Cleveland. Don’t let Cleveland fool you, they are a pretty good team up in the dog pound, 4-2 ATS and have won the last two times playing there.
Facing a backup QB in Jacksonville they would be an even more inviting pick. However I have been a big fan of Jacksonville and Jack Del Rio's defense
for some time now. That is how Jacksonville wins games. Dave Garrard is not the passer that Leftwich is and that is all well and good for the Jags. Garrard wont make mistakes, he will hand the ball off then hand it off some more. On passing downs look for Garrard to pull it down and run more often than not. It will be a lot of running and punting. For the Jags, that is business as usual, they will just do what they have been doing all year. The Jags "Get 'er done" again this week. Even in Cleveland.
Minnesota at Detroit +2.5GET THE LIVE NFL BETTING LINE NOW! * EXTREME NFL MATCH UPS! Detroit looked like absolute garbage on Thanksgiving. They were even more pathetic than I predicted last week. Only managing 7 points.
Joey Harrington is now officially ruined as a QB, at least in Detroit. Steve Mariucci was just fired, and essentially Detroit is a mess. Minnesota, has really turned things around and have not lost since Brad Johnson took over at QB. Prior to Johnson, the Vikes had turned it over 18 times in the first 7 games, since then only 6 Total turnovers. They emerge after all the scandals, and party cruises at 6-5 and knocking on the playoff door. There may be some upsets in the NFL this week, but this is one place I wouldn’t look for one. The situation in Detroit is a mess, and its highly unlikely that they will be able to improve much from that poor showing on Thanksgiving amid all the turmoil and chaos. Unless Culpepper comes back, and Barry Sanders out of retirement, there is no way Detroit wins this game.
Tampa Bay at New Orleans +3.5GET THE LIVE NFL BETTING LINE NOW! * EXTREME NFL MATCH UPS!
Tampa will look to rebound from a huge loss at home against the hard luck Saints. The Saints have the dubious distinction of having nearly lost to the New York Jest. Yet despite, well, being the Saints, they were handed a game by an even more inept team. Still don’t take this game too lightly, as these division rivals have split their meetings over the past few years. Yet in that same span the Saints have covered 4 of the last 6 meetings between these two. Recall one of my fun little betting theorems, first the Saints covered at home against the Bears, then they covered again the next week in New England (and HELLO, who called that one out for ya!)Then came what? Yeah an outright win, sure against the JEST but a win no less. You know what else that is? Yeah that’s right a three game ATS winning streak. You see how that works. So don’t sleep on the Saints. Me however, I am taking the Bucs.
 Tennessee at Indianapolis -15.5GET THE LIVE NFL BETTING LINE NOW! * EXTREME NFL MATCH UPS!
OK you can call me crazy, but I think this game is as big a Danger to Indys unbeaten season as anyone else they will face. Yeah and that includes playoff teams. Sure Indy lit up Tenn. 31-10 earlier this year in Nashville, but that is even more reason why Tenn. will be a dangerous foe in this game. Indianapolis knows they rolled over these guys last time. The pressure is mounting on Indy, and they are probably looking at this game as another walk in the park, they may be looking forward to Jacksonville, or be hearing too much about their 11-0 record, and may be looking past the Titans since they have dominated this series, Indianapolis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games against Tennessee. Tennessee is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 road games, meanwhile Indianapolis is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games. Yep lots of stats and good solid reasons to take the Colts. And they are all pretty good. All the more reason I really like all them points, this week.
Arizona at San Francisco +3.5GET THE LIVE NFL BETTING LINE NOW! * EXTREME NFL MATCH UPS! Ahh yes another of our favorite stinker bowls games. These are the games we love to wager on forget the big prime time Dallas-New York, KC-DEN games stick with the predictably predictable. I was on the wrong side of this bet back in October last time they met, taking the Niners in Mexico and the Cards just waxed the Niners. Although instead of that game launching Arizona into the realm of competitive teams, they lost 4 of the next 5 and are no longer playing the QB who was instrumental in the last win against S.F. The Cards are only 1-4 ATS on the road, having won the last road game in St. Louis, on the turf. The Niners may be only 2-9 but are a respectable 4-2 ATS at home, and have covered 3 of the last 4 meetings against Arizona. I am putting the September anomaly aside and predictably making the same prediction as back in September, San Fran and the points thank you very much.
Washington at St. Louis +2.5GET THE LIVE NFL BETTING LINE NOW! * EXTREME NFL MATCH UPS! The reeling redskins roll into the gateway city to tangle with the Rams. The Rams were the recipients of one of the leagues best comebacks this season when Houston handed them a game that they had all but won. I don’t think the Redskins will be as generous this week. If you were to ask Redskin fans they might tend to agree that the Washington Redskins did just that last week, giving one away that they thought they had put away. The teams record are identical, and it seems like it could be an exciting match up. Yet if we look at the tale of the spreads we see that St. Louis is a paltry 2-3 ATS at home. While Washington fares no better at 2-3 ATS on the road, they do have a much more impressive defense than the team St. Lou rolled it up on last week. The Skins have dominated this series through the years having a 4-1 mark in the last 5 meetings. However all those statistics should be taken with a grain of salt, this one will be decided on Defense. Washington still has a very nice defense, still scrapping and fighting, they may struggle but against a banged up Ram offense should be able to keep it close enough. Clinton Portis should have a huge day running against the remarkably porous St. Louis Defense.
Denver at Kansas City -2.5GET THE LIVE NFL BETTING LINE NOW! * EXTREME NFL MATCH UPS! A big showdown in the AFC West. Denver has been playing great and winning on the road in Dallas is no small feat. However the AFC West is
not quite wrapped up yet, and winning a game in Kansas City is a tall order for any team. This will be a delight to watch but maybe not the best game to bet on.
Like I said in the pre-season, Kansas City seemed to be the team to beat in the AFC west, and this will be the week where we find out if that is the case.
A win by KC gets them back in the race, a win by Denver all but ends it for K.C.
Denver has a big edge in this series having covered in 6 of the last 7 meetings between these two. Even in this lopsided seeming series K.C. has won the last three meetings in Kansas City. Since I said it in the pre-season I am sticking with it, K.C. avenges the 30-10 beating in Denver back in September, and pulls one out at home.
 N.Y. Jets at New England -8.5GET THE LIVE NFL BETTING LINE NOW! * EXTREME NFL MATCH UPS! Well don’t look now but at 6-5 the fortunes of the New England Patriots are sinking quickly in the AFC East, and even teams like Buffalo and Miami at 4-7 are entertaining thoughts of getting back into the division race. All that nonsense should come to an end this week. Do you remember my Thanksgiving treat to you all last week? That’s right DONT BET THE JETS. Cause we have now reached the official point of the season where that stupid chant, J-E-T-S stands for Just End The Season...
Apologies to loyal FORUM posters, like “Wayne Chrebet” who may actually be Jet fans. Can anyone say Matt Lienart???
Oakland at San Diego -10.5GET THE LIVE NFL BETTING LINE NOW! * EXTREME NFL MATCH UPS! Prime time action San Diego against Joakland. Oh yes folks the Joke is back in Oakland... Despite all my therapy, all my progress this season, YET AGAIN I was duped by the Joakland Faders. Against the Fading "this season is meaningless" Fish no less. Miami at least had their starting QB back
so that definitely helped them some. Now the Raiders get to take on Shottenheimers boys, who are on a bit of a roll, and they seem to always roll against the Faders – having covered in 7 of the last 10 against the Joaksters.
I don’t give Joakland much of a shot in this one either, even though the Faders love these prime time games. The Raiders have also covered in the last 4 road games, so that bears note with a big 10 point spread. However I have learned this lesson time and time again, this time I will actually heed my own advice, and FADE the RAID, FADE The RAID...
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MONDY NIGHT MATCHUP
Seattle at Philadelphia +3.5
GET THE LIVE NFL BETTING LINE NOW! * EXTREME NFL MATCH UPS!
OK One more big match for this week.
These two NFC Powerhouses face off this week. Lots of people have been writing off the Eagles, and I know I have taken lots of heat for my continuing to pick them.
Well to all those critics, I say, hey they finally covered last week. Sure they may not have McNabb but McMahon is a capable NFL QB, and they are adjusting to life without T.O.
as well, defensively the Eagles are still really tough, and they have a chance to get back to .500 and stay alive in the NFC Playoff picture.
Seattle has won the AFC West without even playing on Sunday, and even when they did, last week, they did everything they could to give the game away.
Get the feeling I am not that impressed with Seattle. Well if you think that I am not that impressed, then you should know I am even less impressed with their chances of winning on the road.
They will be looking to gain respect with a big monday night win, but it will be the Eagles sending the message that they are a good team,
and not just T.O. & McNabb.
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PHILLY 27 - SEA 13
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SEA 42 – PHI 0 LOSER
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