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Buffalo at New Orleans E
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A tricky match-up as the Saints, get thier second "home game" this time in San Antonio. It will still be more hospitable than playing
for instance in Buffalo. The Bills were stymied last week, by a good Falcon team with a rugged defense. They also lost defensive leader Takeo Spikes. The Saints don’t have a Micheal Vick to thwart the Bills, but they do have an Aaron Brooks, who as we pointed out is Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde – either very good or very bad. The Saints may just finally feel like they are playing a home game, as they have now practiced in the same place for two weeks and will be playing the game right there – amazing. They may play better with a stadium full of fans actually cheering for them, as San Antonio appears to have taken to dem Saints.
************************************ N.O. 26 – Buff. 13 ************************************
N.O. 19 – Buff 7 WINNER

Denver at Jacksonville -2.5
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The Broncos have rebounded from their early season dismantling in Miami, to regain a share of the lead In the AFC west. Now they head back to Florida to battle the Jags. The Jags are coming off an impressive road victory, in much the same fashion they won many a game last season. The Broncs may have improved playing up in Mile High for a couple weeks in a row, but recall the way that defense was walking around and gasping for air in the second half of the game with Miami. It may be a little cooler in Jacksonville, but not much, and the humidity will feel like they are in a Sauna. Denver will once again be sucking wind in the decisive 4th qtr.
************************************ JACK. 27 – Den. 14 ************************************
DEN 20 – 7 LOSER
Detroit at Tampa Bay -5.5
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Its no surprise that the Bucs are off to a 3-0 start and leading the NFC South.
Cadillac Williams is off to a great start giving the Bucs a solid ground game, which helps to keep that defense off the field in the sweltering Tampa Heat. Hopefully the Lions wont be wearing their spiffy new black jerseys. The Lions, despite a pathetic display of offense last time out, are still on top in the NFC North. A first place team that has almost been outscored 2 to 1. Do the math there – and those types of stats spell one thing… LOSSES.
************************************ TAMPA 20 – Det. 10 ************************************
TAM 17 – DET 13 WINNER/No Cover

Houston at Cincinnati -9.5
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Folks I know its early in the season still. One can make a case that they haven’t really faced anyone significant yet. But I saw the number they pulled on Minnesota, whom I still say is a good team. I also think the Bears are a much better team than people think, and they just pasted them as well. Yes it appears Cincy is legit. Take a peek at the EXTREME NFL MATCH UPS and check the “Hot & Not” link – that’s right, Cinci at 3-0 thus far against the spread, is the Hottest team in the NFL. Furthermore they have covered both times as favorites against Houston. Do we need more? OK, Houston stinks, how’s that?
************************************ Cincy 30 – Hou. 16 ************************************
CINCY 16 – HOU 10 WINNER/No Cover
Indianapolis at Tennessee +7.5
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The first place Colts pay a visit to the relatively surprising Titans. The Titans have really impressed and even put together a very convincing home victory last time playing there – that makes them dangerous. The Colts may be kicking butt, but haven’t been beating the point spreads lately. They are 1-2 ATS, while Tenn is 2-1 ATS, also neither team has gone OVER the total yet. All that is just fine by Indy, so long as they keep winning. An offense like the Colts may explode and have a huge day here in Tennessee, but Jeff Fisher has been getting good play from his young defense, which on that natural grass in Nashville, may be enough to even it up a little as the speed of Indy is maximized on their fast home turf. They hung 50 on a crippled Titans team last year in their dome. NFL teams remember things like that. While the history says Indy has the edge in this series, sweeping and covering against them last year. I like the Titans to get a little payback and keep this one respectable.
************************************ Indy. 20 – Tenn. 13 ************************************
INDY 31 – TENN 10 WINNER/No Cover
Philadelphia at Kansas City -1.5
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This is a really tough one to call. Kansas City is really tough at home and having gotten thrashed like that on Monday night, will only serve to rile them up more for this one. Philly is good just about anywhere – and its doubtful if the Chiefs have anyone to contain Terrell Owens. Or do they? Patrick Surtain, may not want to get “flapped” on in his house, maybe he plays way over his head, its not out of the question. The Iggs though are just solid all over, and just seem to find ways to win games. Everyone on the Chiefs defense will have to snap and play lights out for Kansas to win this one. The key is can they do it?
Philly just finds ways to pull out games lately. L.B.s kicking extra points, Kickers on one leg. Maybe this week McNabb knocks in a drop kick as time expires for the Eagles to fly away with one.
************************************ PHILA 33 – K.C. 31 ************************************
PHI 37 – KC 34 WINNER
San Diego at New England -6.5
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The thing that really strikes me about this game, is how the heck does New England keep doing it. They keep losing players, yet they just keep winning. You can add, Rodney Harrison to the list of the lost this week. Eventually that will catch up with them this season. People may have written the Pats off, after the loss in Carolina – yet they went into Pittsburgh and beat what appeared to be the top challenger. That being said the Chargers finally awoke last week, as Marty Shottenheimer finally realized that he has THE MAN in the backfield in LaDamian Tomlinson, and when they keep giving him the ball good things happen.
Something Shottenheimer apparently forgot in the seasons first two losses. If they can figure out how to slow Tomlinson, QB Drew Brees can go to Antonio Gates – who seems to have gotten more in synch with Brees from missing training camp and the first regular season game. The Chargers are back firing on all cylinders. Brees will be the key, if he has another solid game like he did on Saturday night, its upset city. Im figuring he exploits the massive hole Rodney Harrison left in the Pats secondary. Still Cant go against the Pats at home, outright, but watch out for S.D. with them points in this one!
************************************ N.E. 24 – S.D. 21 ************************************
S.D. 41 – N.E. 17 COVER

Seattle at Washington -2.5
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Seattle looks to have found their stride after a rough start, scoring 37 points in a home victory last week. The surprising Washington Redskins find themselves alone atop the NFC East. They are coming in with a load of momentum having come from 13 back in the waning minutes of the game in Dallas, and had a week off to rest. That has got to make the Skins a confident bunch knowing that they can come back with a burst to take a game they are getting beat in. They will need that as Mike Holmgrens Hawks offense will be the most dynamic one the Washington defense has faced yet. Last year the knock was the Hawks didn’t win on the road. This year they are 0-1 on the road, there’s a reason for that. They can’t win on the road, but I am sucker for dawgs the likes of Shaun Alexander and Matt Hasslebeck.
************************************ SEA 21 – WAS. 14 ************************************
WAS 20 – SEA 17 LOSER
St. Louis at N.Y. Giants -3.5
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An interesting match up for certain. Yeah I guess I overrated the Giants a little bit last week, however they did look pretty good on offense, and they always struggle on the west coast anyway. Their defense was surprisingly bad last week, which is what plays in the Rams hands. The problem for the Rams is the offensive line. The Rams give up an average of 5 sacks a game. Against the Giants pass rush, that will be the key. If they can protect Bulger they can exploit the Giants secondary for sure. However if they allow Strahan and company to get to the QB early, an angry mad Giant team might run it up in this one. As the Ram defense isn’t really great, and the Giants offense – even in defeat looked potent.
************************************ Giants 31 – STL 24 ************************************
NYG 44 – STL 24 WINNER
N.Y. Jets at Baltimore -5.5
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What looked a mere few weeks ago as a game with huge playoff ramifications, now looks like a preseason match up. The Jets lost Chad Pennington for the season, and the Ravens were already without starting QB Kyle Boller. The Ravens had last week off to think about their last thrashing (which I picked wrong didnt I?) and even with A. Wright at the helm for Baltimore,
he gives them an edge over untested Jets starter Brook Bollinger. I think a winless Baltimore may roll in this one, ala San Diego last week.
************************************ Balt. 31 – NYJ 10 ************************************
BAL 13 - NYJ 3 WINNER

Dallas at Oakland -2.5
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Bill P. has his boys rolling again. Last week was a HUGE victory for the 'Boys. (one of the few I had right) The Monday Night loss to Washington,
where they blew a 13 pt lead with less than 5 minutes in the game, could have had a huge hangover effect. (It did if you took Dallas and laid the 7 pts!)
This is a second straight road game in California. Where they visit the winless Raiders. Of course the Raiders did something very unusual last week,
and played a good game covering on the road in Philly. Dallas' big weakness if you recall from that Monday night game was the deep ball.
If they thought Mark Brunell to Santana Moss was tough wait til they get a dose of the OTHER Moss, Randy. A winless downright ornery Randy Moss in the Black hole as well. Sure Oakland sucks, despite all the efforts and strides I have made to wean myself from taking the Raiders. Like an ex-girlfriend whom I have vowed never to speak to again, and shows up at my door at 2am drunk and looking luscious, the Raiders as a home dog to a team that has shown it struggles to cover the long ball. Even if they are Bill Parcells crew how can I resist?
************************************ Oakland 27 – Dallas 20 ************************************
OAK 19 – DAL 13 WINNER

Minnesota at Atlanta -4.5
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Now can I say, what did I tell you about them Vikings! This was the team I was expecting from the git-go. One of the very few games I picked right last week.
Ya had to know Dante Culpepper was too good a QB to play like he was playing. I wonder how much of that was the Vikings playing desperate and better against a road weary Saints team. Regardless of all that Mr Micheal Vick shown he is recovered from his hammy, and the rest of the Falcon Defense is picking up where it left off stuffing people like they did in week 1. They will be able to stifle the Minnesota ground game, and force Culpepper to throw the ball. I do expect a closer game than the first two Viking losses, but won’t be surprised if this one is decidedly one-sided.
************************************ ATL. 24 – Minn 17 ************************************
ATL 30 – MINN 10 WINNER
San Francisco at Arizona -3.5
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This one should be fun – a prime time game from Mexico, A Cardinal home game as well. The Stadium will be packed, but kind of like when New Orleans played a home game in New York, I wonder how many Mexicans will be rooting for the Cards? Probably be just as many rooting against the Cards, as for them – I mean are there any real Cardinal fans??? The 49ers and Dallas have always been popular in Mexico. Throw in the fact that Kurt Warner is likely out, and even with Kurt they weren’t exactly scoring on softer defenses than what the Niners have. They Cards struggle running the ball, and will continue to do so against a good Niner defense. Goin with the Gold for the Gold down in Mexico!
************************************ San Fran 29 – Ariz/Mexico 17 ************************************
ARIZ 31 – S.F. 14 LOSER
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