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The NFL EDGE: 2004PRESEASON ISSUE No. 3
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Greggy the Greek's: NFL EdgeHave you checked out our new National Football League X-treme Match ups developed through our partnership with VIP SPORTS LOADED WITH ALL KINDS CRAZY FOOTBALL STATS!!  Houston +3.5 at Pittsburgh -3.5GET THE LIVE NFL BETTING LINE NOW! Pittsburgh was outgunned by Detroit in their opener, losing to the Lions 27-21. David Carr and the Texans shut out Dallas in their first game, an 18-0 victory. Pittsburgh will look for improved defense against the Texans. The plus for them is that Houston wont leave David Carr in for very long, possibly less than last week when they ran him out there for the whole 1st half. Oddsmakers like the Steelers in this one, opening the line at 4 in favor of Pittsburgh. That tends to make me want to grab the Texans, but I know that they won't be facing as anemic an offense this week in Pittsburgh. They have a solid defense though and might make it a lower score than what I project. However I think Pittsburgh will cash in on some special teams play and still get OVER on Houston.
Dallas +1.5 at Oakland -1.5GET THE LIVE NFL BETTING LINE NOW! Dallas' offense last week was much worse than expected. Their defense was pretty solid but it's hard to defend a short field. The first units struggling last week will no doubt draw Parcells ire, he will demand more from them and will play them more this week. Parcells will be all over them this week and will emphasize to eliminate mistakes. Oakland has a bit of a suspect defense though, Dallas could explode and go up big early. Is that likely though based on what we've seen thus far? Oakland didn't seem to have such problems offensively. Gannon will only see like a series or two again, but then you get Kerry Collins and even the third guy Tuiasosopo can move the ball. Dallas should get on the board in this one, but both young QBs they will be looking at in the second half struggled last week. It would be highly improbable to see that completely turned around in one week, in the preseason, and in the Black HOLE in Raiderland.
GET to the GAME -- USE OUR LOW FARE finder powered by a special arrangement with Travelocity, and GET THE LOWEST PRICE on AIRFARE, CAR RENTALS and HOTELS. St. Louis +2.5 at Kansas City -2.5GET THE LIVE NFL BETTING LINE NOW! Kansas City struggled defensively against the Giants. We told you they would be looking at lots of folks there defensively. Yet they easily managed to build a 14-0, early lead as their first team racked up 311 yards. Their defense looked strong early on, they will no doubt be looking to improve there, and will get a boost from the home fans. They will likely not play the offensive stars very much again, but the second teamers shown plenty of spark as well. St. Louis had a lackluster start and The Rams' offense didn't get much going in their opener, as they lost to Chicago 13-10.
However they are also not likely to run starters out there too long, especially if the Chiefs are getting physical and hitting people. The Rams have some explosive folks though and could light up KCs suspect defense, but Im betting they have a much better defensive showing this time out at home and come out on top.
Detroit +2.5 at Cleveland -2.5GET THE LIVE NFL BETTING LINE NOW! Detroit is off to a fast start. An impressive home victory should have them fired up for the trip down to Cleveland. The Browns got off to a horrendous start only putting up three against the Titans. They will be looking for more production and having Winslow Jr. in camp and practicing for a full week will help. They will probably take a long look at new QB Jeff Garcia this week, in that he needs the reps to get acclimated to his new teammates. While Joey H. and the Lions don't need the reps as much, and from our astute research we know that Mariucci wont risk his star QB to stay out there too long.
BONUS: Heres a few other games I am sort of liking, not real sure about pulling the trigger on yet, but I am leaning toward THE NFL EDGE Features THE LIVE NFL BETTING LINES Through our partners at  Check us out, we will be giving away free picks like this for all the regular season games and several Premiere NCAA games!! ALL TOTALLY FREE! Right here at The NFL Edge!
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Special REPORT: WAGERING IN PRESEASONDon't Worry the Doc will be back in his regular column here this year, this is just a little Pre-Season Bonus STUFF HERE! COACHESWhen it comes to preseason the only KNOWN thing about Preseason games is the Coach. They do have distinctive styles. Some guys PLAY THESE GAMES TO WIN. THey may do so with BACK-UPS but it helps to know who is actually TRYING to win and who is just enjoying another day on the job (while hes got it) Other guys who really are clueless, and could care less about preseason. They rarely if ever play starters and if they find themselves in a situation like Denver was, (in last Monday nights Hall of Fame game) Scoring a TD and trailing by two - these guys would just kick the extra point and end the game rather than to play for 2 and OT. So it helps to know WHO these guys are and THAT will lead to $MONEY$ in the PreSeason. GET to the GAME -- USE OUR LOW FARE finder powered by a special arrangement with Travelocity, and GET THE LOWEST PRICE on AIRFARE, CAR RENTALS and HOTELS. Bottom FeedersGuys like Marv Levy, and Jim Fassel, they routinely go 0-4 in 1-3 in the preseason, and could care less about exhibition games. Here's a few NEW VERSIONS of these guys: Dave Wannstedt - a career 40% record in the pre-season, he is considered a preseason mush - bet against him and you got 60% chance of winning.
Lately with Miami he's had veteran teams and he rarely plays them more than a series or two - last game before regular season he's almost a lock to lose.
Ah, but watch out for this - Vegas catches these trends too, and lately has been pinning his team as underdogs, AS AN UNDERDOG Wannstedt is 14-8 or 64%, also to note Wanstedt is about 30% at home and 50% on the road, so as a road dog...
Steve Mariucci - Even "better" career 38% record in the pre-season, he is considered another solid guy to bet AGAINST. Especially if you have to take points, a 3-10 record 23% against the spread as favorites, you definitely wanna grab any dogs playing his teams. Caution though - as Detroit still has a young team, he has been playing front line types more since being with the Lions. Ultimately the guy could care less about the final score(in pre-season), and it shows! Herman Edwards - A somewhat less tenured guy yet his 39% (9-14) winning percentage in the pre-season is of note. Curiously enough, he is 5-1 as a road underdog. Take that out of the mix and his win percentage drops down to 23% If that holds up this year there's some coin to be made on that! Andy REID - Although not quite in the category of these other guys, and he has had a lot of depth in his tenure as a head coach. This leads to a respectable 10-9 preseason mark - barely over 50% but what's curious is the home record, 2-7 (22%) and compared with the 8-2 (80%) road mark in the preseason, definitely some trendy stuff there. The SharksThese guys want to win, anyway, any chance, anyhow. Losing in any form is akin to kissing Saddam Hussein after they found him in that cave, pretty ugly! Bill Parcells - the Godfather. Hes on record saying he wants to WIN! "If were playing a game, I want to win." He believes only in winning. With the Giants he was known to play starters like Phil Simms into the third quarter. He believes it sets the tone and attitude for his players. LOSING IS NEVER ACCEPTABLE, NEVER. His 65% winning percentage in the preseason bears this out. Yet even as they all know Bills inclination to go for Ws, his teams still COVER 73% of the time as favorites in the pre-season. If theres anything solid to bet on at all in the preseason, Cowboy Bill is the Man. Brian Billick - Another guy who just plays to win. Including the other nights romp over Atlanta, Billick clocks in at 65% A.T.S. in the preseason, and some gaudy 70% as favorites, Baltimore is usually loaded defensively and the Defenses really dominate early on when teams are just getting acclimated to new players, or in many cases looking at marginal guys. Mike Shanahan - You though I was just pulling stuff outta the air when I picked Denver in the hall of fame game. Career Shanahan has won 71% in the preseason, and an UNREAL 83% at HOME!!! 83%!?!? Hes also at 80% as an underdog in the preseason, so naturally he flopped as a 2.5 pt dog in the hall of fame game when I dropped a couple bucks on him, naturally! Although to tell the truth - had he just kicked the extra point and settled for the LOSS by 1, I would have covered and felt like a ruddy genius! Bill Bellichek- A parcells disciple who subscribes to the same theories. Bellichek is checking in at 67% both straight up and against the spread in his career with Cleveland and now New England. Throw in the talent he has on the Defense in New England (where he's at 69%) and that trend should hold up again. Dennis Green - Likes to get his guys going in the preseason too. Sure he had some good Minnesota teams in the past where he compiled a 65% mark, and a RIDICULOUS 82% at home. Now hes with the Cardinals, one of the BEST PRE-SEASON TEAMS BAR NONE. The Cards were 4-0 last year and are like 85% Over like the last few years. The Arizona heat in mid August no doubt plays a role in that, and with Dennis Green at the helm, don't laugh at the little red bird this time of year.
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