Greggy the Greek's: NFL Edge
N.Y. Giants at Cincinnati -7.5
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A much tougher match up than it looks. Both of these two had playoff possibilitys pruned by virtue of losing last week.
Yet the G-men finally shown some signs of life offensively behind Eli Manning. Thats all well and good, but with that defense, with an almost nonexistent pass rush,
and a secondary allowing all kinds of WR to roam free deep, Eli is gonna have to play like Payton to keep the Giants in this one.
************************************ Cincy 36 - NYG 30 ************************************
CINCY 23 - NYG 22 WINNER
San Diego at Indianapolis -7.5
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A Huge potential Playoff preview! San Diego wrapped up the west last week, and will likely be sky high riding a wave of momentum. Unless they let up a little bit. Marty Shottenheimer wont let his boys relax, just cause they clinched the division.
Indy might be in the same predicament having wrapped up the southern division.
However since they have wrapped it up, and New England lost they are now looking at that coveted first round playoff bye.
Payton still has a record to break, but San Diegos Defense doesn't want to be the ones 'posterized'. So this will definately be fun to watch.
I cant really go against Indy at home. Yet San Diego has just been getting it done in improbable places all year. I really dont want to go against the Bolts either.
With that 7.5 hanging out there on this one, I'll chance a little of both, Indy in a close one.
************************************ Indian. 33 - S.D. 30 ************************************
INDY 34 - S.D. 31 WINNER
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Buffalo at San Francisco +10.5
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The Hottest team in the NFL right now is Buffalo, the X-treme Stats show they have covered the last 5 games. They go up against the other HOT team in the NFL the Niners.
By that I mean I have been RED HOT betting against the Niners! Aside from the one win in Zona
(which we did pick didnt we!) the Niners really are pretty pathetic. I do expect a close game if for nothing else Buffalo is in its second away game in a row, and they have historically struggled out on the west coast, and it looks like they havent won out in San Fran at least a decade.
Including a 35-0 blowout the last trip to the 'stick (uhh isnt it 3 com park now? whatever).
However, thats all ancient history, Buffalo is in a dogfight for a playoff spot. Since the Bills 0-4 start, Buffalo has been one of the top offenses in Football, well actually since the emergence of RB Willis McGahee.
Oh small problem, McGahee wont be playing in this one. Well despite that small fact, Buffalo's defense has been rock solid all season, so I dont see S.F. putting up a lot of points.
In fact even without McGahee I dont see any way SF can win this one. That 10.5 for a home dog, though proved fatal last week. Wager at your own risk!
************************************ Buffalo 27 - SF 13 ************************************
BUFF 41 - S.F. 7 WINNER
New England at N.Y. Jets E
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This may seem like it would be a bit of an exhibition game, what with the Pats already having clinched the division,
and the Jets almost assured of a wildcard. It almost makes sense that these two potential playoff opponents may not want to pull out all the stops in this almost meaningless game.
Could that be a way to describe what happened to New England on Monday night in Miami? Some folks are trying to blame that on Charlie Weis having double duty as the offensive coordinator and N.D. head coach.
Although it wasnt Weis panicked into flinging up interceptions now was it? In fact that was about the most rattled I have ever seen Tom Brady. Will New England come out on a mission to redeem themselves?
Or will the Jets defense inspired by what they saw Monday come out and try to send a message. That is the million dollar question, even the bookmakers dont know which way to go as there is NO LINE on this game.
The X-treme Stats aren't much help either as we can see over the last ten, these two are split 5-5.
In fact earlier this year the Pats won a tight one, 13-7. So the best bet may be to just steer clear of this one. Personally, I just cant see New England dropping two in a row, and
potentially losing that first round playoff bye.
************************************ New Engl. 24 - NY Jets 20 ************************************
N.E. 23 - NYJ 7 WINNER
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Arizona at Seattle -7.5
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The Jeckyl and Hyde Seattle Seahwaks have an opportunity to clinch the NFC West (with a win and a St. Louis loss). Not so fast though Zona snapped thier 4 game losing streak with a convincing 31-7 thumping of the Rams behind solid play from QB Josh McCown who is back from injury.
Although 3 of the 4 Zona wins were at home, including a week 2 victory over these very same Seahawks where coincidentally enough they were also 7 pt dogs in that one. Them there are some serious warning signs, as Zona has shown they arent done fighting, and that early season victory tells me that the will have some confidence going into the rematch.
Seeing them 7.5 points dangling out there and taking a peek at the X-treme Stats we can see that Seattle is a meager 1-5 ATS at home makes them
covering Cards even more tempting. However, despite the up and down season they have had, Seattle can put all that behind them with just one big home win. Despite thier mediocrity I wont be wagering against that.
************************************ Sea. 30 - Az. 21 ************************************
SEA 24 - AZ 21 WINNER/NO COVER
Washington at Dallas +1.5
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These old NFC East rivals collide in a mildly anti-climactic event. Both teams come in with 5-9 records although
Washington has fared a little better against the spread posting an even 7-7 mark vs the number while Dallas comes in at 6-8.
Looking deeper into the X-treme Stats, we can see that this series has been decidedly lopsided with Dallas having come through in 9 of the last 10.
Washingtons lone victory against the 'Boys came back in 2001. That includes a 21-18 Dallas victory in Washington on a Monday night earlier this year.
Gotta throw the records and such out the window in this kind of rivalry. Especially considering the way the Redskins have been playing defense lately.
Wash. has been on fire, beating the spread the last 4 weeks. Dallas hasn't hung it up yet either, as you might expect with a Bill Parcells team,
battling tough in Philly last week and also covering in 3 of thier last 4. The thing that worries me is that Wash. is 1-8 in games after a victory,
and Dallas having thier number and all. Despite that Im getting on the Gibbs Gang from DC to douse Dallas with thier improved defense and exact a little bit of revenge in big D.
************************************ Wash. 19 - Dall. 16 ************************************
DALL 13 - WASH 10 LOSER
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Cleveland at Miami -6.5
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Aint this a prime time jem??? Hard to really want to put your money of either of these two teams.
Might be just as hard to watch this one. It is in Miami though, and the Fish are on a bit of a roll since they dumped Wannstedt. Checking the X-treme Stats you might be surprised to see that they are currently one of the NFL's hottest teams have covered the spread 4 out of the last five,
and outright beating the 12-1 Patriots last Monday. Basically Miami hasn't quit and still play hard. Thats more than I can say for Cleveland, who hasnt covered a spread since October.
************************************ Miami 24 - Cleve. 13 ************************************
MIAMI 10 - CLE 7 WINNER/NO COVER
Monday, Dec. 27
Philadelphia at St. Louis -3.5
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The way this week has played out this game is even tougher to call! Yeah the Eagles lost T.O., thats not news, but this game is totally meaningless.
They already have the home field and basically all they need to do is stay healthy. The Rams are home, and still have some playoff hopes.
They get Marc Bulger back for this one, and the bookmakers also sniff a Ram victory. I see that also but you know what, I think this game is BIG for Philly.
I think they need this one to get some confidence going after the T.O. thang. I think that even Phillys J.V. squad goes in and gets the W. Then next week they rest the troops.
Yeah I know I'm nuts, I just dont like that Rams O.L. against the Philly Defense, even if it dont mean squat!
************************************ Philly 21 - St. Louis 20
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ST. Louis 20 - PHI 7 LOSER
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Independence Bowl Iowa State vs. Miami (Oh) -2.5
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Doc is thinking that the Cyclones are still smarting from losing out on thier bid to win the Big XII north after coming sooo close. Miami will want this one more, and certainly can win this one as long as the D comes to play. Doc is going against conventional wisdom here and taking the "small" school.
************************************ Miami (Oh) 24 - Iowa State 20 ************************************
IA. St 17 - MIA(OH) 13 LOSER
Silicon Valley Bowl Troy vs. NIU E
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This will be a defensive struggle with two teams that are not exaclty prolific on the offensive side of the ball. Northern Ilinios is a more complete team, however. They have tailback Garrett Wolfe, who will be the key to NIU controlling the game. Doc sees NIU winning in (Old Skool)New York Giant, grind-it-out style.
************************************ North Illi. 20 - Troy St. 13 ************************************
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Alamo Bowl Ohio State vs. Oklahoma State -3.5
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These are two teams that can really pound the ball. Oklahoma State will try to win with the running of Vernand Morency. This guy is a stud, and he will give OSU fits. Troy Smith, who became a fan favorite for the Buckeyes after beating Michigan, will get to show the country if he's for real. Doc thinks he is, and Buckeye Nation will have lots to look forward to next season.
************************************ Ohio St. 24 - Ok. St. 14 ************************************
Houston Bowl UTEP vs. Colorado -2.5
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Ummm....Colorado. The Buffs have had some ups and downs this season but it must be said that Gary Barnett has done a wonderful job keeping the team together after a scandal-plagued offseason. Mike Price is the coach of the Miners, and he showed why he is one of the better coaches in the game this year as well. Still, the Buffs are simply a stronger, deeper team and should win on that basis alone.
************************************ Buffs 30 - UTEP 20 ************************************
Holiday Bowl Texas Tech vs. California -11.5
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Jeff Tedford is just about the hottest name in college coaching right now. He has really turned things around at Cal. Texas Tech has the unenviable task of trying to stop a very pissed off Cal team. The Bears will be lead by RB JJ Arrington - who has been nothing short of sensational all season - and QB Aaron Rogers. Doc is thinking blow out here. Cal has a much better D than Tech, and that will be the difference.
************************************ Cal 42 - Texas Tech 21 ************************************
Emerald Bowl Navy vs. New Mexico -2.5
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This, boys, is power football at it's finest. Neither of these teams likes to throw the ball much,but their running games are lots of fun to see. Navy is led by FB Kyle Eckel. He is a load to bring down, and often gets the ball as the first read in the Navy option. DonTrell Moore is Eckel's counterpart from New Mexico. The Lobos are just as efficient as Navy, but they are bigger on both sides of the line. Because of this, Doc has to go against the Middies. Hate to do it, but I just can't see them pulling this off.
************************************ N.M. 24 - Navy 17 ************************************
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Continental Tire Bowl Boston College vs. North Carolina -2.5
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Boston College is consistantly mediocre and well coached. North Carolina is having a pretty solid year considering how tough the ACC was this season. The win over Miami was huge for this program. The Tarheel coaches will probably be looking at lots of film from the Syracuse game, since they were the only team to really beat this BC defense. It's a very solid unit, and needs to play well to keep RB Chad Scott in check. Look for BC to win in a close one - Doc likes QB Paul Peterson in tight games.
************************************ B.C. 29 - UNC 27 ************************************
Sun Bowl Arizona State vs. Purdue -6.5
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OK, which Purdue team will show up to this bowl game? The team began the season looking like world beaters, and then pulled a Houdini down the stretch. It seems that Big Ten coaches figured out how to stop "basketball on grass". The question remains whether that info has made it to the Pac 10 or not. Doc likes that Kyle Orton and Purdue finished the year strong after four straight defeats. Look for the Boilermakers to put together one more good one and take the win.
************************************ Purdue 31 - Az St. 24 ************************************
Peach Bowl Florida vs. Miami -2.5
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The Gators and the Canes. This one should be good. Look for the Canes to finish strong with their powerful running game and a last hurrah for the up and down career of Brock Berlin. The future is bright for the Gators, but they aren't gonna win this one.
************************************ Canes 34 - Fla. 24 ************************************
Music City Bowl Minnesota vs. Alabama
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Two strong running teams will be facing off. This marks the Tide's return to post-season play after suffering through probation. Minnesota really looked ugly at the end of the year, dropping four of five down the stretch. Still, they have a great one-two punch at tailback in Marion Barber III and Laurence Maroney. Bama features a truly great defense that can play the run and pass very well. Doc is going to go with a Tide team that seems to be on the upswing and looking for a big year next season. The D will be the difference.
************************************ Bama 21 - Minn. 17 ************************************
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Liberty Bowl Boise State vs. Louisville -13.5
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This game features two of the really bright young coaches in the game. Louisville is led by Bobby Petrino, while Boise State has Andy Hawkins. Both these guys know a few things about offense. Doc likes Louisville in this one, simply because they have faced better competition and have a more oportunistic defense. These guys are the real deal.
************************************ Cards. 38 - Boise 28 ************************************
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Happy Holidays! -from all of us here at The NFL Edge!
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