Greggy the Greek's: NFL Edge
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Chicago at Jacksonville -6.5
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The Bears bring brutal beatings down to J-town. The return of Brian Urlacher has the Bears defense very formidable once again. Don't discount the effect of a QB who is not a total liability either - Chad Hutchinson, started in the NFL for a while - spent a season in NFL Europe, and now appears to be a competent QB. Other guys who went that route, Kurt Warner, Jake Delhomme, Brad Johnson have emerged as decent players. That doesn't really sway the pick here. We've been on the Jag all year, and they came through again last week covering the Steelers, in a tough loss. They are both fighting for Playoff slots, but with these defensive teams, scoring will be down and it will be close.
************************************ Jags 20.6 - Chi. 14 ************************************
JAGS 22 - CHI 3 WINNER
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Cincinnati at New England -11.5
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Should be one of the most interesting match ups in the AFC. New England starting to look like they are getting that late season roll on. Along comes the Bengals. Winners of 2 in a row, 4 of the last 5 and having beaten the spread 5 weeks in a row. Sure the X-treme Stats show the Bengals are 3-7 in its last 10 December games. And a paltry 2-4 ATS record on the road, but they already tallied one big road win last week. Statistically it would seem the odds are stacked against that happening twice in a row. The Cocky Bengals though don't seem to care though. They have been on fire down the stretch and could wind up upsetting the Pats. Im not going out on that far with my pick, but I do like the Bengals to exploit N.E.s suspect corners with Carson Palmer throwing to Chad Johnson as this one is not the lock it may seem like.
************************************ New England 33 - Cincy 27 ************************************
NE 35 - CINCI 28 WINNER
Cleveland at Buffalo -7.5
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Cleveland looks to me like they have moved into my number 1 slot. That's right, my No. 1 bet! I see who Cleveland is playing and immediately take the other team. Especially when it's the red hot Buffalo Bills. Always tough in the Buff, and much more so in the snow! After a big road win they will be stampeding back home with Playoff hopes once again rekindled. Cleveland is in complete disarray, gone is the coach, gone is their heart as they looked to be walking through the game with Pats pounding and punishing. The Browns looked like they thrown the towel in and half the team is thinking about where they will spend Christmas when they should be playing football.
************************************ Buffalo 31 - Cleve. 17 ************************************
BUFF 37 - CLE 7 WINNER
Detroit at Green Bay -8.5
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Did anyone else write off Detroit after thanksgiving. Well much like those Turkey sandwiches in early December, they're back. The Pack on the heels of a Philly Thrashing will have to get over that and really fast. From that almost 10 point number the books figure that they will. Careful with Detroit now as we can see the X-treme Stats show they have been a tremendous cover on the road at 4-2 this year, although both those losses were in the last 3 road games. Also they are in Lameau where they have been walloped by double digits the last several trips up there (31-6, 40-14) and in December against a peeved off Packer team. Im goin with a Pack Bounce back, but beware laying big points to the covering cat this one might not be as lopsided.
************************************ Green Bay 31 - Detroit 21 ************************************
GREEN BAY 16 - DET 13 WINNER/NO COVER
Indianapolis at Houston +10.5
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Houston come in Houston, the Texans are requesting landing back on earth. Didn't we tell you last week thanks to X-treme stats that they were 1-8 in December. Lets update that to 1-9 and after this week can we say 1-10. An awful big number for a divisional home dog though. Defense does win games and if we just had to stack one defense against another you might say Houston has a better defense. Then I will say that Payton Manning gives them a slight edge over David Carr. Will Payton break Danny Marinos TD record this week? Could be history in the making here. Wanna be betting against that?
************************************ Indy 38 - Houston 24 ************************************
INDY 23 - HOU 14 WINNER/NO COVER
New Orleans at Dallas -7.5
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Did the doubters dare to doubt Dallas, and on Monday night no less. Not those of us who got the edge, as I tried to warn you about that soft Seattle Defense and Julius Jones. Now if you thought last week was fun for the old Notre Dame running back, just wait til he and that Big Dallas offensive line get a crack at this New Orleans defense. Of course I don't have a line on this one yet, and if that line is up over 10 or so I might re-think this one, but for now "ride dem Cowboys!"
************************************ Dallas 28 - N.O. 20 ************************************
N.O. 27 - DALL 13 LOSER
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N.Y. Giants at Baltimore -9.5
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The Giants team that played Washington looked to me much like the Giants team last year that had pretty much packed it in. Yeah they had and still have a shot at the playoffs but this is now a team that has lost 5 straight and with Eli Manning at the helm have managed one TD drive in three games. Against a Baltimore defesne that was beaten last week at home. I don't see much chance to improve that this week. Especially considering the half hearted effort the Giants seem to be exerting.
************************************ Balt. 27 - NYG 10 ************************************
BAL 37 - NYG 14 WINNER
Oakland at Atlanta -6.5
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Ohhh now, the winter wind may be a Raider, but this Greek is and has been OFF the Raider wagon. I was worried last week, picking them to win (outright), but I wasn't about to lay any points on this team, and was rewarded. I think that and blowing the lead in that game last week will have a hangover effect in this one. For Atlanta, Micheal Vick is coming off a shut out last week, He has got to be chomping at the bit to get back out there. In the past I would be fooled by the Raider mystique and get suckered by all the points. However my "sponsors" at the Raider Recovery Rehab center tell me that's natural and not to give in to my resolve. Staying away from the Raiders, away, away...
************************************ ATL 36 - OAKL. 19 ************************************
ATL 35 - OAKL 10 WINNER
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