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The NFL EDGE: 2004
ISSUE No. 12

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Greggy the Greek's: NFL Edge


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Thursday, Nov. 25
Indianapolis at Detroit +7.5

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Gobble Gobble! Its time for Turkeys once again. As were carving up the bird, the NFL serves us up a helping of Colts and Lions to get us started. I should have gotten on Detroit last week with the 7.5. I even pointed out what a good road team they were, right before I picked against them. Well the Lions always come out plenty fired up for the Turkey game, I think they will again, but with that defense out there will look like a big ole pumpkin pie sitting out there for Payton Manning to carve up! Cmon kids remember how Farve lit this unit up a few weeks ago. Get out the gravy, as this one is gonna need some help going down.
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Colts 31 - Detroit 20
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INDY 41 - DET 9 WINNER

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Chicago at Dallas -3.5

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What better to unbutton the top button and grab another slice of that Pie, than having Cowboys and Bears battle over a drumstick. Dallas has had some classic games on Thanksgiving. This could be one of them. Both these two turkeys are struggling right now, although the Bears had started putting some nice games together before they were just torched by the Colts last week. Dallas is reeling, although in defense they have been going against some tough competition in the past few outings. They wont be able to move the ball at will, and with the potential of Drew Henson getting his first start, I tend to be a bit hesitant on this. Bill Parcells absolutley HATES losing, so he will be going all out for the second time on National TV in 10 days. Bill wont be embarassed in front of a national audience twice!
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Dallas 17 - Chic. 6
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DALLAS 21 - CHI 7 WINNER
 



Sunday, Nov. 28
Baltimore at New England -7.5

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This will be a great game to watch. Two of the best defenses going at it in what could be a playoff preview. The Ravens have a stifling defense, although on Offense they lean on Jamal Lewis a bit, he came up with an injury last week and the Ravens are basically looking for Kyle Boller to lead them offensively. Hes been coming around though and could surprise in this one. But like my man Madden was telling folks last Monday night, this kid Tom Brady, reminds him of Joe Montana, he just gets it done, and makes it look easy at the same time. Remember kids, if your laying points, the Pats like to play those close games. Im thinking it wont be, although thats the only outcome Im not sold on.
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N.E. 20 - Balt. 14
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NE 24 - BALT 3 WINNER/No Cover

Cleveland at Cincinnati -5.5

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The Rematch in the battle of Ohio. Both of these two covered last week as both were locked into tough defensive struggles. They should both find the going a little easier this time around. While the Browns looked to be in better shape earlier this year. They can add a starting OT to the wounded list this week, and will struggle to keep up with the Bengals which started slow, but have been coming on as of late.
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Bengals 22 - Cleve. 16
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CINN 58 - CLE 48 WINNER  


Jacksonville at Minnesota -5.5

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The Jags suffered a home setback last week, vs Division rival Tennessee. That was a tough hard hitting defensive game. This one probably wont be. Minnesota finally stopped its losing skid and turned it around with a gritty home victory of the game Lions. They will have a tougher go at it against the Jags defense, but ultimately the Vikings have too many weapons and will manage to keep this out of reach for back up Jags QB Garrord.
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Minn 21 - Jacks 10
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MINN 27 - JAX 16 WINNER  

Philadelphia at N.Y. Giants +6.5

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No way to sugar coat this one, Philly is for real. They are 9-1 and arent just eeking by. They are dominant. They have won 8 of 9 games by double digit margins and just destroy the point spreads. I liked Eli Manning last week though. He does seem like he is the real deal. Still Eli will have to throw a whole lot more than just the 1 TD pass he threw last week if the Giants hope to have a chance in this one.
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Philly 24 - NYG 17
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PHILA 27 - NYG 6 WINNER  

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San Diego at Kansas City -2.5

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Yes we all know about the Chargers by now. I was harsh on them early this season, as they tore up several of my parlays, I have been one of their most fervent supporters since. My mother tells my not to go against them in this one. I dont know though, this is a classic case of K.C. is a very dangerous animal at home. While I love San Diego, I dont doubt they are legit, but even the best teams struggle in Kansas City. The Chargers are good, so I wouldnt be surprised if they pull it off. Yet they are a young team and might get rattled by the Arrowhead aura. Im not picking against the Chiefs to drop two in a row at home.
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K.C. 30 - S.D. 24
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S.D. 34 - KC 31 LOSER  

Tampa Bay at Carolina +2.5

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This one looks like it will be a classic clash. Both of these two teams looked impressive last week rolling over their opponents! That makes this rivaly game shape into something more interesting than the records might indicate. Carolina finally found some running with N. Goings going off last week. The Bucs on Brian Griese have looked equally impressive. This one looks tough but let me spell this out for you,. Neither of these two is nearly as good as they looked last week. I know Carolina is home in this one, but I think their defense is vulnerable and the Bucs will take advantage.
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Tampa 28 - Car. 20
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CAR 21 - TAM 14 LOSER  

   

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Yessirr, it's gonna be a second weekend of Rivalry Games. This time, the bad blood is between lots of cross-state schools that have hated each other since helmets were leather and the forward pass was a novelty. Lets look at the best games of the week:
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Virginia at Virginia Tech -3.5

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There's much more than pride on the line this year, as both of these teams are trying to stake a claim to the ACC crown. These guys are good, and the game will come down to the little things. Who is gonna run the ball better? That's a tough one, as both of these teams have studs running the ball. Edge to Virginia here, as they feature Walli Lundi and Alvin Pearman. Also, their run D is better than what Va Tech is used to seeing. Still, this Tech team is just confident and strong at every position. Doc is going with the home team here, and the newest boys on the ACC block will try and grab a title for themselves.
***********************************************
Va Tech 24 - U. Va. 20
***********************************************
Va TECH 24 - UVA 10 WINNER  

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Texas A&M at Texas -9.5

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Dennis Franchione has done a great job at A&M, hasn't he? The Aggies look stronger now than they have since the late eighties. However, this Texas team they are facing has quietly put together one of their better efforts, despite losing to Oklahoma yet again. Vince Young and Cedric Benson will provide a little too much O for the Aggies to deal with. Take the 'Horns in this one.
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'Horns 31 - A&M 20
*************************************
TEXAS 26 - A&M 13 WINNER

 
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Tennessee at Houston +1.5

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Watch out for this one. The Texans have been trouble all season. I finally pegged them last week when I had them covering against the Pack. About the only way I would grab Houston is as a home dog. I do like them in this game too! However I do like the fact that Steve McNair is back. Thats a huge factor as I dont think Tenn. can win this one with Billy Volek at QB, so if McNair is at the helm again, Im taking the Titans, even in Texas.
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Tenn. 23 - Hous. 17
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HOU 31 - TEN 21 LOSER

Washington at Pittsburgh -10.5

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The Skins visit Pittsburgh - home of the best team in the AFC! Well if you go by the record that is. Is this guy Rothlisberger unreal or what? 8-0 as a starter. On the flip side, I dont know that Pat Ramsey the new Washington QB has even thrown 8 good passes in a row. It would take awful big ones to go with Washington in this one, I am really tempted as I sit here thinking about the ten points. Really tempted, but what it comes down to is do I really want to go against Pitt. Right now? And to put in on Patrick Ramsey to be the first man to beat Rothlisberger. Gee when I put it like that, its not really much of a decision at all now is it?
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Pitt 28 - Wash 13
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PITT 16 - WAS 7 WINNER/No Cover  


New Orleans at Atlanta -8.5

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I read some other "expert" sites this past week, one analyst called the Saints the most enigmatic team in the league. While personally I dont see the Saints as being a big mystery. They flat out stink! Defensively especially, I think I can personally lead a scout team down for a score on this defense. The Falcons are flying in with no mystery, they are the second best team in the NFC and I expect a huge day from Micheal Vick. New Orleans has had Atlantas number lately and those who checked out the X-treme matchups no doubt know all about that. Im sure that will tempt many gamblers there with them points, not me though. Its payback time for the Falcons.
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ATL 34 - N.O. 24
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ATL 24 - NO 21 WINNER/No Cover  

Buffalo at Seattle -4.5

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The Bills folks are on a roll! They started the season in way too big a hole to be a factor in the AFC Playoff race, but nonetheless are playing playoff caliber ball right now. Oh but this is a swing way out west, where east coast teams have a habit of struggling. In a match up of the defenses I would give the edge to Buffalo. In fact I think Buffalo is a better team, but I am taking Seattle in this one even with the question at quarterback. The Hawks are in a playoff race, and despite the disappointments of this season, can put all that behind them with some solid late season wins. Am I getting suckered in by Seattle again? Well see.
************************************
Seattle 31 - Buffalo 27
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BUFF 38 - SEA 9 Cover  

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Miami at San Francisco -2.5

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OK Now were talking, a fun fair match up among struggling teams, which really have NO playoff implications whatsoever. Both of these teams are looking at this as a winnable game. So I would hate to have to be on the losing end of this one. Its gonna be a tough road for Miami in this one as they are looking at back to back west coast road trips after losing in Seattle last week. They were in that game until the final minutes, and wound up covering. Its a real longshot that they even come close to doing that again, but they did look more respectable than what I saw from San Fran last week in Tampa. Especially on the defensive side of the ball. Goin Foolishly with the fish again but in a battle among dogs like this, can go either way!
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Miami 23 - San Fran 19
************************************
MIAMI 24 - SF 17 WINNER!

N.Y. Jets at Arizona +3.5

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A tricky match up here. Despite the Jets lackluser performances the last few weeks, they are firmly in the race for an AFC Playoff berth. The Cardinals may have gotten pasted last week in Carolina, but are a whole different team at home. Just ask the Jets roomates there in Jersey, the Giants, how tough Arizona can be at home. Another squeaker, but the Jets again find a way to escape.
************************************
Jets 17 - Az 15
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JETS 13 - AZ 3 WINNER/No Cover  

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Oakland at Denver -10.5

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A prime time match up of arch rivals in the west. While the Broncos look to avoid another late season swoon. The Raiders are are just looking for some consistency. They have started to look a little better than completely discombobulated. Still in Denver this series is completely lopsided and looks to be another Denver Domination!
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Denv 37 - Oakl 24
************************************
OAK 25 - DEN 24 LOSERS  

St. Louis at Green Bay -5.5

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Might be accused of front running a little bit in this game. Its just hard not to jump on Green Bay the way they been playing lately. If anything their Defense is a bit suspect and the Rams are definitely a team that can take advantage of that. Despite that the Pack has been the hottest team in the NFL over the past few weeks, and I wont bet against that.
************************************
G.B. 27 - STL. 21
************************************
GB 45 - STL 17 WINNER
 

   

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The Doc has got more of his picks and predictions right here, just keep on scrolling.
 
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Georgia Tech at Georgia -13.5

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Tech has lost the last two matchups against their arch-rivals from Athens, but revenge will not be easy to come by. Reggie Ball, the sophomore QB at Tech has been erratic all year. He is a brilliant athlete, but has put his team in very bad postions by not protecting the ball. Look for David Greene to shine in his last game between the hedges.
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DAWGS 34 - Tech 14
*************************************
GA 19 - Ga TECH 13 WINNER/No Cover

 

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Notre Dame at USC -21.5

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This rivalry has been going strong since 1913, when Mrs. Rockne wanted her husband to take her to California. Ninteen national championships later, these two schools still have a heated rivalry. Heisman trophies and National Championships have been won and lost playing this game. The bottom line, however, is that ND just doesn't match up well with these Trojans. They will create mismatches by forcing ND to cover Reggie Bush with a linebacker. They will spread the field and make ND's corners cover thier recievers. Leinhart can wrap up the Heisman with a big game, and he just might. ND will be up for the challenge, but they will get torched in the second half and end up losing big.
************************************
USC 44 - ND 21
*************************************
USC 41 - ND 10 WINNER

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