Greggy the Greek's: NFL Edge
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Arizona at Carolina -2.5
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The Wiley Cards come calling to Carolina. Uhhh hello the Cards are in playoff contention?? Don't laugh in the wild west only one game separates the Cards from the top of the division. Carolina is a team that has just had too much adversity this year. They shown last week that they havent quit though and will be a tough out at home. Sure I like the Coverin cards, but been burned by these birds before, on the road that is. Carolina is one dimensional offensively, but Jake Delhomme and Mushin Mohammed give them some fight to keep the cats claws clawing. Im always leery though of laying points with a 2-7 team!
************************************ Carolina 21 - Ariz 17 ************************************
CAR. 35 - AZ 10 WINNER
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Dallas at Baltimore -5.5
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Baltimore is clearly a pretty good team. That defense is once again playing at a super level, and the offense has steadily improved each week with Jamal Lewis back as their main man. Don't look now but even Kyle Boller is starting to make some plays. If that kid gets goin and starts really throwing the rock... this could be a really dangerous team. Dallas though is going the other way. Offensively they are better than last year, but defensively they are really struggling especially at corner. Sorry Cowboy fans the carnage continues.
************************************ Baltimore 27 - Dallas 10 ************************************
BALT 30 - DAL 10 WINNER
Denver at New Orleans +3.5
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OK so the Saints beat the Chiefs last week. They have always had talent on offense, and now with Deuce McAllister back from injury they are even more talented. That talent is enigmatic though as they can tease you with flashes of good play then go and turn the ball over 4 times. Denver is in a heated divisional race, and cant afford a let up. They get back rested off a bye, and if they don't turn it over, which sometimes with Jake Plummer playing Quarterback can happen in bunches, should be able to move the ball on this defense. It could be a shootout if N.O. can get it going and that would tend to make Plummer more vulnerable, as he would have to keep passing. But I see Denver getting it going early and keeping it going with Reuben Droughns running ripshod on that Saints Defense
************************************ Denver 31 - New Orleans 20 ************************************
DENV. 34 - N.O. 13 WINNER
Detroit at Minnesota -7.5
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Two teams riding three-game losing streaks meet in Minnesota on Sunday when the Vikings play host to the Lions. The Vikings have fallen into a first-place tie in the NFC North division with the Green Bay Packers, and haven't been the same since star WR Randy Moss got injured. Steve Mariucci's troops went to Jacksonville last game and came away with a tough OT loss. Obviously Detroit can play pretty well on the road, as their 3-2 ATS mark indicates. Looking deeper into the Extreme stats we can also see that Detroit are 1-4-0 ATS in their last 5 games, and Minnesota are 5-0-0 ATS in theirs.
Also Detroit hasn't beaten Minnesota straight up since 2001, and Minnesota has an 8-2 edge in the last 10 meetings between these two. All those numbers point to another Viking victory while picking Detroit would really be bucking the trends. Im not feeling too daring this week, although I do like Detroits offense to keep it a little too close for comfort.
************************************ Minn. 34 - Detroit 24 ************************************
MINN 22 - DET. 19 WINNER/No Cover
Indianapolis at Chicago +6.5
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This is actually a much tougher game than it looks. The Colts roll into Chicago having put together a little win streak and lighting up Houston last week. Chicago is also on a roll actually climbing back into playoff contention. Da Bears have been doing it with Defense now that some of their key guys are back. All their scoring last week was done by the defense, unreal, but hard to keep winning that way. Defense wins in the NFL, but at some point you gotta do something offensively, especially against Payton Manning. The Bears defense will have to be phenomenal to keep Payton in check. It will be close for a while but Payton will get it done.
************************************ INDY 24 - Chi 17 ************************************
INDY 41 - CHI 10 WINNER
N.Y. Jets at Cleveland +3.5
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Both of these two suffered big let downs last week. Despite the disparity in these teams records, right now they really arent that far apart. The Jets can still run, and with new starting QB Quincy Carter getting more comfortable in the role, can move the ball a little. Cleveland with QB Jeff Garcia can move the ball some too, especially at home, except for last week. Yes the Browns are reeling and the Jets really are the better team. They should go in and win this game on the road. Yet when you're a Jet, you're a Jet from your first cigarette to your last blown game! Im betting Cleveland wont lose two in a row at home, and that the Jets are a little rattled from last weeks home loss.
************************************ Cleve 24 - NYJ 20 ************************************
NY JETS 10 - CLE 7 COVER
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Pittsburgh at Cincinnati +5.5
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Folks Im not a Steeler hater! In fact I really like Pittsburgh! I just been picking the wrong way on Pittsburgh games. I Underestimated them especially Ben Rothlisberger, Definitely guilty! Steelers are the hottest team in the league and playing like it. Cincy though much like last year, after a slow start are playing really good football right now. Flip a coin enough times and it does not come up heads every time... does it?? Is Pittsburgh capable of keeping it going? Well at this point I can only say Pitt, has won me over. But can they avoid this dangerous trap game in the Jungle??
************************************ Pitt 23 - Cincy 20 ************************************
PITT. 19 - CINCY 14 WINNER
San Francisco at Tampa Bay -7.5
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Tampa had started putting together some nice games after they made the switch to Brian Griese. They ran into a speed bump last week in Micheal Vick and the high flying Falcons. Yet it was still not quite the blowout it may have seemed. San Fran, what can say about this team. They lost a winnable game in a match up of 1-7 teams last week, at home no less. How will the go into Tampa and pull off the upset. A huge dose of overconfidence from the bucs?? Unlikely after a loss. Lighting up Tampas defense? Yeah right, I can see that happening. How can San Fran win this game, A miracle that's how.
************************************ Tampa 28 - San Fran 16 ************************************
TAMPA 35 - S.F. 3 WINNER
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OK, folks. This is what is known around here as Rivalry Weekend. This is when you can throw out the records because it's personal. These teams just don't like each other. Makes for great football and legendary moments. Let's look at some of the key matchups:
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Michigan at Ohio State +5.5
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Ohio State football has been making lots of headlines this year, but for all the wrong reasons. This would be a great chance for the team to put all that behind them and just go out and beat Michigan. The Ohio State defense is very stout and will be able to keep Michigan from running at will. This is important, because the run sets up everything for the Wolverines. Still, nobody has really been able to shut down this offense, which means Ohio State will have to put some points up as well. Just can't see it. If this one is close, it will only be because OSU will be playing over their heads in the biggest game of thier season. Wolverines will win the Big Ten with a frosh QB AND RB. It may be a while till OSU wins one of these again.
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MICH. 31 - OSU 17
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OSU 37 - MICH 21 LOSER
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Auburn at Alabama +10.5
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The Iron Bowl. It really doesn't get any better than this one. Can Bama match up against this powerful Auburn team? Oh yeah they can. They have the kind of D that can keep them in any game. That and the home field advantage will make this the toughest game of the year for Coach Tubberville's Tigers. All the pressure is on Auburn here, and there is a lot on the line for them. If they play tight, they will get beat. Doc is going with the Tigers because I love they way they play, but this one could be an upset special.
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Auburn 20 - Bama 13
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AUBURN 21 - BAMA 13 WINNER
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