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The NFL EDGE: 2004
ISSUE No. 10

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Baltimore at N.Y. Jets +2.5

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The Ravers roll into New York. If your just looking at the records here might be tempted into to be taking the Jets, Home dog and all. They do have a pretty scrappy defense, and Curtis Martin. The Ravens are on a roll though. Jamal Lewis will be running hard his second week back from suspension and that defense will be gunning. Factor in that Chad Pennington with a injured shoulder of all things is out, and that definitely favors Baltimore. "May day may day captain the plane is in trouble, I repeat we got trouble, were losing altitude fast..."
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Balt. 24 - Jets 16
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BAL 20 - NYJ 17 WINNER

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Chicago at Tennessee -4.5

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Don't look now, but here come the Bears. They have won two in a row after the abysmal start, and are getting key guys back from Injury. LB Brian Urlacher, and DE Wally Ogunleye to name a couple that werent there earlier on this year. Yes their offense is woeful, but they will just pound it with A. Thomas, and that FG kicker thay have is pretty good. Tennesee is an enigma and I am hesitant to see what team shows up for this one. The one that lambasted the Pack in lambeau or the one that lost to Houston at home? If it's the latter, and they take the Bears a little too lightly, they will again taste the "L" at home. However the injury question to McNair is also impacting the line on this game so it might not be the worst thing in the world if you arent able to bet on this trap game.
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Tenn 21 - Chi 20
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CHI 19 - TENN 17 COVER
 



Detroit at Jacksonville -2.5

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Detroit comes in after a tough home loss, but despite that they are still in the mix in the NFC Playoff picture. Jacksonville like wise, the big sleeper in the AFC is central to that conferences playoff picture right now. Both of these two have been pretty good for me this season. The thing that has me worried in this one, is that Jacksonville QB Byron Leftwich is likely out this game, and while back up QB Garrard is decent hes no Leftwich. Detroit has some nice playmakers, now that Roy Williams is back, they are a good team this year on the road too. The game is still won with Defense and I have to give the Jags the nod there. They have a tough physical defense and that defense will be the difference. Id be careful laying too many this Detroit team though.
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Jacks. 20 - Detr. 16
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JACKS 23 - DET 17 WINNER

Houston at Indianapolis -9.5

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Just when I started thinking, "Man I gotta pay the Texans a little more respect" I even considered taking them with the points up in Denver last week. Well now we see why I didn't do that, just thinking about taking them and they stunk it up. They sure made a nice run though, and are really starting to emerge as a quality team. I just don't think that they got what it takes right now to go into a big time team like Indys home stadium and brand an L on them! Now with that being said we could look at the Extreme stats and see the Colts havent beaten a spread since Oct 10th, that's a month ago - so maybe that's telling you something, it tells me they are due.
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Indy 38 - Houston 24
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INDY 49 - HOU 14 WINNER  


Kansas City at New Orleans +3.5

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If last week taught us anything, its that offense is pretty, but Defense still wins championships. A message lost on both of these two, as I honestly cant tell you which team has a worse defense. Kansas City sure can light people up and put up 50-odd points, but they need to as they give up almost as much! Speaking of giving up points, I doubt there is anyone more generous than New Orleans. They were giving up a healthy 27.5 points before San Diego laid 40 on them. If you like Basketball scores this one is for you. Who will win is a toss up, Im thinking Trent Green will find the endzone a few more times than A. Brooks or more likely make a few less mistakes. The only play I really like again this week with New Orleans, would be the OVER play. Every N.O. game except one (in Tampa) went over this year, and probably KC can do that by themselves in this one.
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K.C. 47 - N.O. 34
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NO 27 - KC 20 LOSER  

Pittsburgh at Cleveland +4.5

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Don't look now but this old grudge match is really appealing! Looks pretty easy right? Pittsburgh has got to be the hottest team in the NFL right now. Taking both the previously unbeaten Pats and Eagles off that list and making them look less than ordinary in the process. After last weeks win, Im seeing some analysts already putting Pitt. in the SuperBowl. Just to show you how crazy the NFL is, Cleveland will win this one. Don't think so?? Good go jump on the Steelers along with everyone else this week, against the 'lowly' Browns losers of two straight. Then watch the previously imperiled Butch Davis and his Underdog Browns come out and pound Pitt on the ground with Willie Green and Lee Suggs in the Dog Pound.
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Cleveland 24 - Pitts. 21
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PITT 24 - CLE 10 LOSER  

Seattle at St. Louis -2.5

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This should be a blast! Remember a few weeks back after a fast start when St. Louis went up to Seattle and Shellacked the Seahawks. They sent a message that the NFC West still belongs to St. Louis. Sure Seattle was smacked back from that loss, but they will no doubt want to account better for themselves in this one. They sure looked impressive last week putting 40-odd points up on San Fran. While St Louie was getting smacked around in their house. I sure wouldn't want to be Seattle facing a fired up Ram team, but Seattle is looking for revenge and they can erase that earlier whupping and take firm control of the NFC west with a win here. Call me foolish, but I am Suckered in to the Seattle Pretenders again!
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Seattle 37 - Rams 31
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STL 23 - SEA 12 LOSER  

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Things are getting interesting, folks. Is anyone gonna beat USC or Oklahoma? Both teams have survived several scares and appear to be headed for a showdown in the Orange Bowl in January, just like we all thought. Wisconsin is still undefeated, but isn't really getting any serious play as a number one team. The Badgers will have to keep winning and hope for a little help. We'll have to see how this unfolds....

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Florida State at NC State +7.5

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This one is gonna be fun. Which Seminole team will make the trip? Will it be the team that pounded Virginia, or will it be the team that got dogged by Maryland and looked tired against Duke? It better be the former, or this will be a long afternoon for the 'Noles. NC State has been reeling lately, but will be sky high for this one. Chuck Amato loves to play his former team, and will have the team ready for the upset. He needs to get much better play from QB Jay Davis, who has been throwing too many picks lately. FSU's struggling offense will benefit from the return of RB Leon Washington. Doc is going with the home team here. I like the Pack to pull the upset because of it's swarming D and the unsettled QB position at FSU.
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NC St 24 - F.S.U. 21
***********************************************
FSU 17 - NC St 10 COVER  

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Iowa at Minnesota -3.5

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Iowa has been winning ugly all season, while Minnesota has found a way to lose a few winnable games. Wisconsin really put a beating on the Gophers last week. Can they bounce back? Doc figures it this way: Minnesota needs to get it's power running game on track early and not fall behind. Iowa needs to stop the run (something they have been very good at so far) and control the ball. Kirk Ferenz is a stud coach, and the Hawkeyes will win lots of games under him, but not this one. Minnesota will avoid the early hole they have been getting into and win a tough game at home in the dome.
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Minn. 28 - Iowa 23
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IOWA 29 - MINN 27 LOSER

 
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Tampa Bay at Atlanta -3.5

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Don't look now but Tampa is showing signs of offensive life. They got WR Joey Galloway back from injury to give Brian Griese another target, and they went and put up 34 points last week practically moving the ball at will. That was the Chiefs defense though, Atlanta will make the going a little rougher this week. So lets see if KC laid 56 points on Atl. Two weeks ago, and Tampa beat K.C. then logically, it follows that Tampa will win this one? Yeah ok well this is the NFL so throw all logic out the window, especially when Micheal Vick is on the other team.
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Atlanta 37 - Tampa 20
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ATL 24 - TAM 14 WINNER  


Cincinnati at Washington -3.5

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This one actually shapes up into a real nice game here. Both teams have turned it around from slow starts and are starting to play well. For the Skins Greg Williams has their defense looking like one of the better ones in the league. While Cincy struggled through with Carson Palmer at QB in the early part of the season, despite everyone crying to go back to last years starter John Kitna. Marvin Lewis stuck to his guns and its paying dividends now. Palmer is looking the part of a big time QB. Washington will be a much tougher place to play for Cincy than Paul Brown Stadium, and Clinton Portis hopes to continue his tough running and be a rude host. Not in anyway a disrespect to Rudy Johnson and the Bengals, but I think Washingtons defense is playing better right now, and they will shut down Cincys running game and will take this game at home.
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WAS 26 - Cincy 20
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CINN 17 - WAS 10 LOSER  

Carolina at San Francisco E

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Heres a cant miss game!! Will anyone except the most hard core fans of either team be watching this one. Well yes, gamblers will! I got to be a fool to bet on either of these two, as I found myself thinking last week watching Carolina get manhandled by a bad Raider team - how could I lay 6 points with a 1-7 team?? This game really could go either way. San Fran struggled with Seattles attack, and could struggle again. Meanwhile Carolina isn't quite an offensive powerhouse, and really have no running attack. Yet if we peek at the Extreme Stats we can see Carolina can win on the road, 3-1 ATS road games. Too bad they arent getting any points in this one.
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SF 26 - Car. 17
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CAR 37 - SF 27 LOSER  

Minnesota at Green Bay -4.5

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The second of tough back to back road assignments for Minnesota! If they really want to shake free from the demons of last year, and make the playoffs, this will be a MUST win game for them. With or without Randy Moss. The Hard charging Pack with QB Brett Farve and company will be ready in Lambeau and this late in the year, not only is it not condusive to dome teams, but the Pack can smell first place in the North with a win. Despite the past two weeks shellings and the lack of Defense, I gotta stick to my guns, back in OUR PRESEASON PREVIEW ISSUE! I said Minnesota would win the North, for that reason alone I am going against my better Judgement and all logic and picking against Farve and the Pack at home in November. I must be Minnesota-Masochistic.
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Minn 33 - G.B. 28
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GB 34 - MINN 31 COVER

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N.Y. Giants at Arizona +3.5

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Thought that was pretty funny last week my picking the Bears. Wasn't funny to Giant fans as that projection bore true. Warner did throw several picks and had several fumbles. More Costly for NY was the loss of their LT Luke Petigout, as well as BOTH starting Defensive ends, Micheal Strahan and Keith Washington. Arizona despite the record, not only have they not quit, as you could surmise with Denny Green at the helm. They have been playing pretty decent football reeling off 3 ATS wins in the past 5 weeks. They are a scrappy team with some dangerous wide outs. Once when these two were divisional foes, the Giants OWNED the Cardinals and there was no better medicine for a slumping Giant team than playing the Cards. That may still be true, but with 3.5 at home Im climbing on the Covering Card!
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Arizona 19 - NY Giants 17
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AZ 17 - NYG 14 WINNER  

Buffalo at New England -6.5

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Buffalo has gotten themselves on a mini-roll here beating and beating up a couple of teams in a couple of weeks, and surprise, surprise, if we check our Extreme stats we can see that Buffalo is one of the hottest teams A.T.S. over the last five games. However both of those wins were at home in Buffalo, and heck it was Arizona and the Jets. The Pats put aside all the rumors of their imminent demise and blew out the Rams down in St. Louis. Throw in that they are at home and I have to be Pushing the Pats in this one. Buffalo can make a game of it if they can exploit the Injuries in the Pats secondary. However I don't think Drew Bledsoe will be able to do that to his old team!
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Pats 34 - Buff 17
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NE 29 - BUFF 6 WINNER  

Monday, Nov. 15
Philadelphia at Dallas +6.5

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Well normally I would hold off on making my Monday night pick, but this week Im taking out all the trash early. Just like these two old rivals. They both come limping into this game each only mustering a lowly FG last time out. Hard to say whos gonna have the edge in this game. How will Philly react after its first loss. These two split the games they played last year, but over the last ten Philly has a distinct 8-2 advantage. The Cowboys will no doubt be pumped to be on MNF and not surprisingly have a good Monday Night record. If the Pokes can get a few big plays to stay in the Game, call me a sucker for taking the home dog. Philly hasn't covered a spread in the last 4 weeks, yet I still think Philly has too much talent NOT to outright win this game.
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Philly 23 - Dallas 19
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PHILA. 49 - DALL 21 WINNER/No Cover
 
 

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The Doc has more of his picks and predictions right here, just keep on scrolling!
Keep your bookmark set here to the NFL Edge and check on back here next week where we will keep posting our picks and predictions, Right here!
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Miami at Virginia -3.5

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Can the Hurricanes lose their third straight? That would really be something, since this Miami team is loaded with talent. Trouble is, they can't seem to stop the run these days. Virginia could pose problems with a very solid running attack that is ranked sixth in the nation. Miami has had to deal with injuries on both sides of the line, and that appears to have taken a toll. Doc thinks this game sets up nicely for Virginia, but I'm just not sold on the Cavs. The 36-3 loss to Florida State still lingers.
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Canes 27 - Cavs 24
*************************************
MIAMI 31 - UVA 21

 

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Georgia at Auburn -4.5

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This one is HUGE with national title implications possibly. These teams will not get to face each other in the SEC championship, so this is their chance to show who's the best and for Auburn make their case for the BCS. Doc loves this Bulldog team though - the offense hasn't been as explosive as some thought, but the D has more than made up for that with ferocious play. Auburn counters with the best backfield in the nation, and a QB who has really been solid this year. The question: can the Tigers get enough offense to win this one? Doc is gonna say no. Georgia has been spectacular on the road under Mark Richt, and they will not be intimidated in the hostile environment of Jordan-Hare stadium. Take the Dawgs!
************************************
Georgia 21 - Auburn 17
*************************************
AUB 24 - GA 6

 

 

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