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The NFL EDGE: 2004
ISSUE No. 9

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Arizona at Miami -2.5

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Lots of folks were jumping on the Cardinal wagon - especially with that big win over Seattle the week before and getting WR Anquan Bolden back from Injury. I wasn't buying any of it though, knowing that the Cards would fold, in the cold, of Buffalo. Although Miami has been horrendous this year, before Monday nights train wreck they had started showing signs of offensive life. Miami is not Buffalo and the weather conditions wont be a factor to Arizona this week, nor will the slow turf which is like what they play on at home. Miami has had a pretty good defense, Defense that wins games, and unless they "packed it in", which when your talking 1-7 they may have, they are still better than Arizona.
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Miami 20 - Zona 14
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Arizona 24 - Miami 23 LOSER

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Dallas at Cincinnati E

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I know everyone is thinking back to the Night game from two weeks ago, where Cincy came out and punished a pretty good Denver team. Well forget all about that game. They were run on all day in Tennessee last week, and beaten by backup QB Billy Volek. Dallas may not be the dominant defense they were last year, but they still enough punch to thwart Cincys O. That suspect Cowboy secondary worries me if QB Carson Palmer can get into some rhythm with WR Chad Johnson. Games are won in the trenches though, and the Dallas O-line will punch big holes in Cincys front 7 and Eddie George will Pace the Pokes to a nice road victory.
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Dallas 24 - Cincy 20
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CINCY 26 - DALLAS 3 LOSER
 



Kansas City at Tampa Bay +2.5

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Hard not to like K.C. in this one. They have only scored 101 points in the last two games. Meanwhile Tampa has only scored 109 points the entire season. Don't kid yourself thinking KCs defense has gotten any better, will they be able to keep Tampas punchless offense in check? Normally Tampa is built to stop teams like K.C., slow the game down and give their offense a chance to run the ball, especially in their house. But this K.C. team is scoring too prolifically right now, and I don't see how that Tampa offense can possibly keep up. Is this one a little too easy?
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KC 27 - Tampa 20
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TAMPA 34 - KC 31 LOSER

N.Y. Jets at Buffalo +2.5

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This one looks like it could be pretty interesting. Buffalo, they were my top pick last week, and honestly my best one. They looked like they finally caught some life. The Jets soared back to the top of the AFC East with an impressive victory over a down Miami team. Despite the 38 points last week Buffalos offense don't fool me too much. They are a klutz waiting to fall. They got by last week, and falsely gave their fans hope. Peeking at the X-treme stats we can see that the Jets have won 7 out of the last 10 between these two, although Buffalo has covered the last two with a big romp up in Buffalo last year. This Jets team will send the Buffalo faithful home reminded why their team is only 2-5 or after this, 2-6.
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Jets 26 - Buffalo 17
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BUFFALO 22 - JETS 17 LOSER  


Oakland at Carolina -5.5

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Folks the Raiders are bad. I mean bad getting worse, not bad as in good! They are bickering, telling Coach Turner off, and just plain doing thing losing teams do. Carolina is reeling from injuries, and a tough stretch against, well, decent teams. Nothing could be better medicine for the Panthers than to host a Raider team, which by all accounts really wont feel like playing football. Never mind mustering up extra effort necessary to get the little hustle plays or making the smart play. They will still shoot from the mouth, and think that they can just show up and win. Neither will happen in Carolina, even as depleted as they are now.
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Carolina 27 - Oakland 13
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OAKLAND 27 - CAROLINA 24 LOSER  

Philadelphia at Pittsburgh +1.5

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Perhaps people pitted Pittsburgh pedestrian prematurely? Phillys perched powerfully at the pinnacle as predicted. What exactly am I saying here?? Well in the battle for Pennsylvania there will be LOTS of "P"s As in People Physically Playing Pigskin. Personally, a game this power packed promotes perception. Will Pitt make it two streaks in two weeks. Well if you Peeked at the X-treme stats you probably know that has pheat has never been performed (and no team ever came back from trailing 3 games to none in a series either). The Prophetic predictions are predicated on past performances, and Phillys PHAILED (to cover up) the previous pair. Plus they are struggling running the ball, those is harbingers of PROBLEMS. YET ONCE Again, UNTIL I ACTUALLY SEE SOMEONE STOP PHILLY, the pick is the Cheesesteaks!
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Philly 24 - Pitts 21
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PITTS 27 - PHILA 3 LOSER  

Washington at Detroit -3.5

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Well now that this whole election thing is over with the Redskins can get back to just playing relatively meaningless football games, as opposed to determining the fate of the world! Dertoit is looking to come back after its first road loss, while Washington wonders just what it needs to do to get it turned around and start playing some meaningful games. This might be a good spot for an upset pick here as Detroit is not accustomed to the mantra of being a favorite and they have had some trouble with teams at home this year. While it will take a big effort from Washington, their defense is up to the task. The X-treme stats tell us Detroit is 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games against Washington, and they have been giving up avg. 115 rush yards a game. The Skins will have to get Clinton Portis going and cash it in offensively. If they do that they can get the upset. It could happen, only if Joes team is still playing hard. Gibbs teams usually haven't quit in the past but this was right about this time when Spurriers Skins threw in the towel last year
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Detroit 20 - Wash 17
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WASH 17 - DET 10 COVER  
 

   

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OKAY Kids not exactly a glamour week for Big Time NCAA match ups but there are some big games which will go a long way to determining post season fate. This week The Doc will focus on teams looking to solidify their standing as serious contenders and a few teams looking to bounce back after suffering a big disappointment. Lets have a looksee at some of the better match ups.
 
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Minnesota at Wisconsin -5.5

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The Golden Gophers look to get a tough road win up in Wisconsin Saturday. Minnesota brings a 6-3 overall mark (3-3 in the division) into this game vs. an unbeaten Wisconsin team with an 8-0 Record. The hosts are favored and look to keep impressing the pollsters as well as keep from falling from the ranks of the Unbeaten. The Golden Gophers, have the offensive potential to give the Badgers fits. They will be all fired up looking to bounce back after a serious home upset. Wisconsin has carried on its relentless march toward another Rose Bowl with one of the meanest, nastiest defenses you will see on a college field. Defensive end Erasmus James might be the most intimidating defensive line presence in the conference since Illinois' Simeon Rice. After a week off the Badgers go into the final home game of the season against Minnesota. The Doc sez old Barry Alvarez will keep his Badger team focused and that defense will take control of this one, and the teams last home game wont be a let down in front of the faithful.
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Wisc. 27 - Minn. 17
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WISC 38 - MINN 14 WINNER  

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Maryland at Virginia -13.5

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The Cavaliers haven't played on their home field since beating Clemson 30-10 on Oct. 7. Two road games, including a 36-3 loss at No. 13 Florida State on Oct. 16, and last week's bye meant a 30-day stretch between home games for Virginia - the school's longest since a 35-day span in 1975. Theres no doubt this Virginia team is itchin to get back at it. Especially after the number Fla. State did on them. The Doc was guilty of overrating the Wahoos for that game, but know this that Virginia will be all out to put that embarrassing loss behind them. Nothing like a big home victory over a Maryland team that has not been overly impressive all season. Ralph Freidgen gets his boys going in the late stages of the year though. But it will take a huge effort in a tough spot against an angry team and the Doc just don't see it happening this week in Charlottesville.
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CAVS 38 - Maryland 20
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CAVS 16 - MD 0 WINNER

 
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Chicago at N.Y. Giants -9.5

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The two storied franchises collide in a game that looks to have all the makings of a blowout. The G-men rebounded from a home loss with an impressive shellacking of Minnesota in the MetroDome. They pretty much silenced Minnesotas high powered offense, while the Bears offense can BEAR-ly get out of its own way. The prime time victory against a woeful San Fran team aside, this Bears offense is bad. Throw in a rookie Craig Krenzel starting his first road game, and on paper this should get ugly. However due to an "offer I cant refuse" I am precluded from taking the Giants in this game. I guess Warner is going to throw three picks and two fumbles, the Giants will suck in front of their home fans Krenzel will shred the Giants secondary for 500 yards and the Bears win a laugher!
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Chi 70 - NYG 30
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CHI 28 - NY 21 WINNER  


New Orleans at San Diego -4.5

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San Diego is the hottest team in the NFL right now, they have scored more points than any other team in the NFL this season. Next to the Jets, the Chargers have the best record A.T.S. in the NFL! (Yup! got that from Extreme Matchups! page) In comes New Orleans who is scrambling to stay in the race in the NFC, and with an even worse 2-5 mark ATS. Figure the league's highest scoring offense can get some points on the board and generate trouble for the Saints defense allowing an avg 27.4 points per game. New Orleans can also fire up some points offensively. The lock of the week may be the over even with a big # like 48, as these two teams have gone over in 4 out of their last 5 meetings.
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S.D. 37 - N.O. 28
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S.D. 43 - N.O. 17 WINNER  

Seattle at San Francisco +6.5

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San Fran actually had a chance in that last game against Chicago. Several actually, but their offense was just woeful, and even though they played a courageous game defensively, they still couldn't pull that one out. At some point a team like S.F. you are going to have to worry about when they will start to get disouraged and maybe not give that same effort, defensively that is. A fast start in this one by Seattle considering the 34-0 whupping they put on SF back in week 3, that might just start happening right about the second half of this one. Though S.F. is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 home games. Seattle is 8-3-0 ATS in their last 11 games, and 5-2 ATS in its last 7 on the road. Seattle is stumbling a bit lately but could look pretty good against a SF team that might start to get discouraged as S. Alexander gets it rolling a bit.
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Seattle 26 - S.F. 16
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SEATTLE 42 - S.F. 27 WINNER  

Houston at Denver -4.5

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Well don't them Texans just keep giving me the Horns. Maybe I will get smart and get on them this week... yeah right! In Denver, where the Broncos just got lit up by Micheal Vick. Hey David Carr is good, but he is no Micheal Vick. Still ya gotta respect Houston for what they been doing this season, and they might be a little too young and a little too cocky to care that they shouldn't win in Denver. I just cant go on record taking them in this one though. That would mean Im taking Denver to drop two in a row at home - and to a Southern team. Heck it could be snowing for this one. If Denver don't get it done this week - and if you saw my PRESEAON PREDICTION - you know that the Denver Downward Demise is starting early this year.
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Denver 30 - Houton 24
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DENVER 31 - HOU. 13 WINNER

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New England at St. Louis +3.5

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New England Finally fell in Pittsburgh last week, and having to schlep down to St. Louis is going to be a tough place to bounce back from that. New Englands defense is built to contain high powered offenses like the Rams. Ahh, but the Rams are out trying to regain some respect from being Mauled in Miami last week. Should make for an interesting contest. Could it be the team that won 21 in a row is now going to be on a losing streak? No the Greek isnt that crazy is he? Halloween was last week.
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St Lou 31 - N.E. 17
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N.E. 40 - St Lou. 22 LOSER  

Cleveland at Baltimore -5.5

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An interesting grudge match on prime time! The Browns can battle back to respectability and keep themselves in the mix with a road win. Baltimore will be looking to bounce back from the Beating Philly put on them. They Get Jamal Lewis back this week, but before bouncing on Baltimore, keep in Mind Cleveland beat them earlier this year with Lewis - convincingly. He may show some rust from not playing for two weeks too! Just more reason why Baltimore will get even on Sunday Night!
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Raves 19 - Cleve 10
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BAL 27 - CLE 13 WINNER  

Minnesota at Indianapolis -6.5

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This may not have been the best week for me, but for a change I feel good about this Monday night play. I know The Vikes get Onterrio Smith back this week, and I have heard plenty of talk about Indys lack of Defense. Well Minnesota also doesn't have a shut down defense either. Throw in that Indy has dropped a couple in a row and its been well over a month since they won at home. Peyton Manning will shred the Vikes defense while counterpart Duante Culpepper will continue to struggle without WR Randy Moss. In the end its Indy.
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Indy. 39 - Minn. 31
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IND. 31 - MINN 28 WINNER/No Cover
 

   

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Baylor at Texas Tech -29.5

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The Doc normally doesn't go for these lopsided match ups, but the Doc sure was fooled by this Red Raider team last week. I expected a better effort in front of the home fans. Like Virginia, Texas Tech is a quality team with the most dynamic offense in the Lone Star State. They were handed a disheartening loss in Texas the other week and will be real mad when they come home to face this Baylor team. Baylor just isnt that good a football team, certainly not one that can keep up with this Tech offense when it gets rolling, and let alone an angry Tech team looking to regain some respect. By all accounts Tech should get it rolling against this Baylor and keep it rolling all day. Tech could have a Basketball score when this one is all said and done!
************************************
Texas Tech 72 - Baylor 20
*************************************
Texas Tech 42 - Baylor 17 WINNER/NO Cover

 


 

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Oregon at California -19.5

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The Doc has got to give a little love to the Pac-Ten this week. Just cause most of the country don't get to see that many of their games don't mean they don't play good football out west. The fourth-ranked Golden Bears - widely considered the best one-loss team in the nation host the Ducks this Saturday. Oregon has won the last seven meetings, dating back to 1993. The Bears look to end that streak with a potent offense led by J.J. Arrington and Aaron Rodgers, and a Defense ranked fourth in the country in scoring allowed. The Bears have shut out their last two opponents. They will be tested by an Oregon team which has scored 116 points in winning its last four games. Those victories pushed the Ducks into a tie with Cal for second place in the Pac-10. The Doc is here to tell you that wont happen this week. The Bears may not get their third straight shut out, but will make a big statement to the rest of the Pac-Ten that they are indeed a cut above the next best.
************************************
Cal. 41 - Oregon 17
*************************************
CAL 28 - ORE 27 WINNER/No Cover


 

 

 

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