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The NFL EDGE: 2004
ISSUE No. 8

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Arizona at Buffalo -3.5

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Don't look now Arizona despite being left for dead, like the Pheonix their city was named for has risen! Never mind all the pastings they have taken, a win here and they will be at 3-4 and in the thick of the AFC West race. Buffalo, what can we say about them, simply losers. Seems no matter what - how tough they play - how gritty their defense. They find ways to lose. Last week a Drew Bledsoe to Deion Sanders TD pass (uh - he was on the other team) and another INT in the endzone helped Buffalo lose that one. Arizona doesn't have nearly as good a defense and are pretty adept themselves at finding ways to lose. This ought to be a good one in that these two will battle to see who will give this game away first. Going with Buffalo though as the weather is starting to get a little colder, and Buffalo, like K.C. last week usually plays much better at home.
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Buff 17 - Ariz 10
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BUFF 38 - ARIZ 14 WINNER

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Baltimore at Philadelphia -7.5

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This one would have been a bunch more interesting had Jamal Lewis been playing in this one. As he is serving the second week of his suspension that makes it a whole lot easier. Sure Philly was tested last week and pushed to the limits, by a feisty Browns team in the dog pound there. Baltimore does have a rock solid defense but their offense struggles even with Jamal. Kyle Boller isnt even half the QB Jeff Garcia is - and that was key to Cleveland staying with Philly. Its doubtful Philly will be as generous as Buffalo was to Baltimore, and if they can score three times - it will be way more than Baltimore can counter with. Think about that before grabbing them points!
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Philly 28 - Balt. 13
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PHI 15 - BALT 10 WINNER/NO Cover
 



Cincinnati at Tennessee -3.5

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Tennessee continues to disappoint. I guess its tougher on them since they actually were expecting things from this team, than say a Cincinnati, who people expect to suck. Problem is when a couple of suckers get together its tough to call, cause you don't know who will be motivated to play and who will be auditioning for a part in "night of the living dead". Im thinking Tenn. despite having a banged up and unlikely to finish the game Steve McNair, will still be playing hard in front of the home folks. Chris Brown can run wild on the Bengals, and do you see the Bengals running it all over the Titans? Coach Fisher, still has some defense left. Thinking that this will be another one of those games that Monday we will be saying - where was that Tennessee team been all season?
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Tenn 35 - Cincy 18
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TENN 27 - CINCI 20 WINNER

Detroit at Dallas -3.5

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Folks Dallas is officially reeling! They have dropped three straight games and the margins they are losing by are getting bigger and bigger. Detroit meanwhile had not won a road game in some two years, and this season they havent lost on the road yet. Did you see how well Joey Harrington was throwing the ball around in the last game against the Giants. Now keep in mind that pretty much everyone has torched that Dallas secondary lately, they are playing a backup Cornerback. Still have to watch out for those 'wounded' home teams, like Cincy last Monday night, they are usually due to sneak one on ya at home! Still I think the oddsmakers are just giving Big D way too much respect at this point based on reputation alone. Detroit is playing much better football right now they keep their perfect road record rolling.
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Detroit 20 - Dallas 17
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DALLAS 31 - DETROIT 21 LOSER  


Green Bay at Washington +2.5

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Hate to break it to ya, but the Pack is back! After most folks counted them out, they have since reeled off a couple of impressive wins, blasting 40+ points on the scoreboard in their last couple of games. Washington is playing stellar defensively and before their bye, had a tough road win up in Chicago. Chicago aint that good though, but that don't keep the Skins from feeling confident about it. That means this one can go either way. Farve and company wont put up 40 on this defense, but in the end I like Farves chances better than Washington with Mark Brunell, who has yet to really impress even in Washingtons' wins.
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GB 23 - WASH 17
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G.B. 28 - WAS 14 WINNER  

Indianapolis at Kansas City E

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This just in K.C. has scored on Atlanta again! When they get through patting themselves on the back they might notice that they are only 2-4 and despite a great home effort, these are the colts with Payton Manning coming into Arrowhead. Payton tore that defense up there last year, and he will do it again. Maybe KC has enough offense going now to keep up with them, but I think that they are just too tired from scoring that many on Atlanta! Besides Payton wont be as generous with the football as Atlanta was last week.
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Indy 44 - K.C. 36
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KC 45 - INDY 35 LOSER  

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Jacksonville at Houston -2.5

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Yup that's it I am officially back on the Jack Wagon. Do you recall how crazy I sounded in the preseason when I told you all that Jacksonville is a playoff team. Pretty Crazy huh? Well Playoff teams win big divisional games on the road. While I continually dismiss the Houston Texans they have put me in my place more than once this season. David Carr is a legit NFL passer and they can, no doubt, compete with anyone. Actually a home win here could really boost Houston's Playoff hopes. Houston, playoff hopes - yeah I don't see that either, Well... This is a tough test, but "Lord" Byron (Leftwich) will come home to Jacksonville a conquering hero!
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Jacksonville 23 - HOU 21
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HOU 20 - JAX 6 LOSER  

   

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The Doc is still afraid to get out of bed...has the world ended? Did Hell freeze over? The Red Sawx are world champions. Whats next? The Cubs winning it all, Texas beating Oklahoma? Ya'll don't believe in curses anyway, right?
OK, on to college ball.... this week features some great southeast conference games. Let's take a closer look...
 
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Tennessee at South Carolina E

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This one is going to be great for those of you who like to watch pitching duels. Two tough defenses going at it in what should be a ball-control, grind it out type of game. If you know anything about college ball, ya gotta know that Lou Holtz is the best big game/underdog coach there is. He has made a career out of games like this one. For Tennessee, they have to hope that one of thier stud backs can shake off the injury bug and put up some numbers on Saturday. Freshman QB Erik Ainge will need to be a big factor if the Vols are going to win this one. Doc is betting that the Cocks do just enough to shut down the Volunteer offense and force a couple turnovers to get the win.
***********************************************
S. Car. 19 - Tenn 17
***********************************************
TENN 43 - S.C. 29 LOSER  

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Oklahoma at Ok State +13.5

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: This is always a dangerous game for the Sooners, having lost two of the last three to the Cowboys. In addition, the Sooners seem like they are always good for a late season upset when everyone least expects it. Don't bet on it this time. The Sooners are going to be very focused on this game, and Doc just can't see a team as one-dimensional as OSU beating the Sooner D. If State can pound the ball and stay close, they have a great shot, but I'm thinking it won't go that way. Jason White will put the ball in the air and take the early lead. Then the floodgates open.
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Sooners 35 - OK St. 13
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OKLA 38 - Okla. St. 35 WINNER/No Cover

 
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N.Y. Giants at Minnesota -7.5

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The Giants were brought back to reality last week at home by a pretty good Lions team. Joey Harrington went nuts and shredded that Giant secondary. Duante Culpepper is on a pace to break records this year for TD passes in a season. This looks to me like an easy Viking win. Not so fast though, if you peek at our Extreme Stats you might see that the Giants have an edge in this series winning the past two times they played including a 29-17 victory in Minnesota last year. Throw ina gimpy and questionable Randy Moss, and the matchups tend to favor NY with the seven. Still Culpepper is the key, hes been tearing it up, and even without Moss should find plenty of targets in NY Pass coverage. Im thinking the Vikes are gunning for revenge from last year and expose the Giants in this one. GOT IT!?! Now tell Vito to stay away OK!!
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Vikes 34 - Giants 20
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NYG 34 - MINN 13 LOSER  


Atlanta at Denver -5.5

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Is it safe to say after last week that Atlanta Struggled a little bit!?! Think Arrowhead is a tough place to play, wait til they check out Denver. It might not be as loud as Arrowhead - I have heard from several players that Arrowhead is the loudest place to play. Denver has its own built in advantage that its some 6,000 ft above sea level. Whats that got to do with anything. Thin air up there makes it tough to breathe. Athletes get tired sooner. Even great athletes that like to run around and make great plays (Mr. Vick) will have trouble concentrating when they get fatigued faster. Couple that with the mistakes ATL made on offense last week, It will be difficult to get that corrected and thus, it could turn into another mile high massacre.
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Denver 33 - Atl 24
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ATL 41 - DEN 28 LOSER  

Carolina at Seattle -7.5

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Seattle is really reeling. Starting the season as world beaters, they have since lost three in a row. Including losing to the Cardinals! That has to be the low point. Speaking of lows, things aren't exactly a love fest in Carolina. They may get Steven Davis back this week, even if hes not healthy that has to be a morale boost to this depleted team. The Hawks are struggling though and this Carolina team has already shown it can win on the road. Take a peek at the Extreme Matchups and you can see Seattle is only 50% ATS at home wile Carolina is 2-1 ATS on the road, including a win in Kansas City already! As much as I would like to go Carolina Blue with them points in the upset here, I just don't know if they can get up off the Matt in Seattle. They are depleted defensively and will have trouble getting to Hasslebeck; The Hawks fly back to the win column!
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Seattle 34 - Carolina 19
************************************
SEA 23 - CAR 17 WINNER/No Cover  

New England at Pittsburgh +1.5

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Test after test the New England Patriots just keep winning. How sad is it that the defending Champs are off to a 6-0 mark, and are still second fiddle in their OWN TOWN! Yeah the Wed Sawx are in the Woild Sewies. Better yet, when will I give Ben Rothlisberger QB of the Steelers his due. I have gone on record saying he reminds me of former NY Giant QB Dave Brown. He is due to start looking like a ROOKIE sooner or later. If anyone can confuse a rookie its Bellicheck and the Patriot Defense. They are staunch against the run, and will make the Rook throw the ball. Pittsburgh is home though where a quick check of the Extreme Stats, tell us they are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 home games. Odds are that New England cant keep it up much longer. Even when they win, they usually are close games anyways. So the points could be tempting. But I am not putting my money down on a Rookie against the Defensive mastermind of Bellicheck.
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N.E. 27 - Pitt 20
************************************
PITT 34 - N.E. 20 LOSER

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Oakland at San Diego -2.5

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Hey how about those chargers. 5-1-1 ATS. The Raiders well they arent quite as good. They arent dead by any means, and should give their division rivals their best. Yet with this Raider team I just don't know. San Diego is playing really well right now, I earned a bunch of respect for their defense and they will be sky high to send a message to their division, and the league, RESPECT. If they wear the old throwback unis too, fughettaboutit...
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SD 37 - Oakl 12
************************************
S.D. 42 - OAK 14 WINNEr  

San Francisco at Chicago -1.5

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Chicago has got to have the worst offense I have ever seen. Pathetic. They are now going with Craig Krenzel at QB or so I gather. They host San Fran who has quite a pathetic team themselves. Well they can move the ball a little bit. SF has a pretty nice defense also, they are pretty good against the run. They will look great after tackling this bears offense. That whole home crowd fired up for a night game thing might be working for them hence they are a favorite. While I been sort of cold on these prime time games all season I gotta feeling Im due to strike GOLD.
************************************
San Fran 23 - Chicago 13
************************************
CHI 23 - S.F. 13 LOSER  

Miami at N.Y. Jets -6.5

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BOO! The Halloween Edition has proved to be a little spooky. Monday may be no exception. Ive mulled this one over and over. I liked that Miami got a little offense going, more so that they just didn't turn it over. I was thinking to take the points for a close one... Ahhh but the Hallow-day isnt gone yet, with all the "witchcraft" and the "hauntings" among the picks, I think the Jets can sense a shot to get back on top. With a National TV audience old rival Miami will need to come up huge offensively to keep up, and the Jet Defense is improved. They are out to showcase that one, and the Halloweekend ends in one last massacre. For Miami or my record!
************************************
Jets 36 - Miami 13! BOO!
************************************
JETS 41 - Miami 14 WINNER!
 
 

   

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Florida at Georgia -7.5

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Man, ol' Ron Zook is toast down in Gainesville. "What has to be done eventually should be done immediately." Doc agrees. Still, one thing about Ron Zook is he knows how to get the team up for big games. And this is one ornery team right now. They liked the guy, and Doc thinks they will play well for him. Now, Georgia has a real tough defense. No doubt. On offense, they really haven't scared anyone. Strange, but at this point, ya got to say they just aren't that good on O. Doc is taking the Gators here - they own the series lately and will be fired up.
************************************
Gators 21 - U. Ga. 20.
*************************************
Geo. 24 - FLA 17 COVER

 

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Michigan State at Michigan -11.5

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These are two teams that have really come a long way since the beginning of the year. UM is really hitting it's stride with the emergence of freshman sensation Mike Hart at RB and an offensive line that is finally gelling. State is starting to really get it's offense rolling as well on the arm of QB Drew Stanton. Michigan will run the ball and play defense. That's what Big Ten teams do, and none do it better than the Wolverines. Doc is tempted to call for a letdown after Blue's big win over Purdue last week, but the Big House will provide the "edge" they need.
************************************
U. Mich. 24 - Mich. St. 17
*************************************
MICH 45 - Mich. St. 37 WINNER

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