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ISSUE No. 7

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Greggy the Greek's: NFL Edge


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Atlanta at Kansas City -3.5

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A prime time type match up for sure. Atlanta is a sneaky 5-1 sitting atop the NFC South, sneaky in that they are only 2-4 vs the spread (I know cause I checkout out the Extreme Stats) However it should be noted that Atlanta is 2-0 on the road having won a couple of times out. Neither of those two times was in Arrowhead though. I know KC is sitting there with a 1-4 record. The thought of Micheal Vick tearing through that defense has crossed my mind more than once. The Chiefs also have trouble offensively as well. Still its tough going against the Chiefs in Arrowhead. Even when they are 1-4!
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K.C. 34 - Atl. 27
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KC 56 - ATL 10 WINNER

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Buffalo at Baltimore -6.5

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Buffalo finally broke through and got its first W last week against the winless Dolphins. Baltimore was recouping after its Prime time victory over Washington, where they didn't score a single point on offense! The Ravens offense will be without Jamal Lewis sitting out his suspension, That figures to make it an even lower scoring contest. (Ahhh but if you peeked at our Extreme Stats You would know that these two have gone OVER 5 out of the last 6 meetings!!) In a tight low scoring game with touchdowns possibly few and far between, a turnover would be enormous. Whoever gets that first one could decide this game. Then fans could be treated to 3 quarters of run out the clock! A thriller!
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Balt. 12 - Buff 9
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BALT 20 - BUFF 6 WINNER/No Cover
 



Chicago at Tampa Bay -6.5

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The Bears and the Bucs. Need we say more. Tampas offense looks to have some life in it since QB Brian Greise took over. They didn't get the W there in St. Louis, but put up 20! The Bears have regressed somewhat offensively under their replacement quarterback Jonathan Quinn. The Bears rank 29th in the league in pass yards per game, and threw for only 65 yards in last week's loss to Washington. They still have a gritty defense though holding the Skins to 13 pts and scoring a TD off an INT. Gosh that makes their offense even worse when you think it only put up 3 points huh. Im gonna let you in on a little secret though, Tampa is built to shut down offenses like St. Louis where they do throw it a bunch. A smashmouth team that can run the ball can definitely do some damage to this Tampa Defense. Former Buc Castoff Thomas Jones will look to run over his old team in what should no doubt be another real thriller! *note that was sarcasm!
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Tampa 16 - Chi. 9
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TAMPA 19 - CHI 7 WINNER

Detroit at N.Y. Giants -7.5

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The Gints come back off the bye. Since their opening day loss they have been the biggest surprise running off 4 straight Ws and Covers! Detroit was rudely reminded that they arent an elite team just yet. Still this week offers a new opportunity to gain some respect. The Lion attack is also hampered by an injury to stud WR Roy Williams. I would love NY in this game except for two things. One, they always have struggled after a bye, with all the momentum they had prior to the bye - that should definitely be a cause for alarm. Secondly, just TOO many people liking NY in this game. Recent history indicates that NY should lose this game(2-9 ATS in the last 11 at home! Extreme Stats again) I think NY comes out a little rusty, a little overconfident, they struggle Detroit gets a quick lead and NY finally faces some adversity. They come back to squeeze it out, maybe!
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NYG 22 - DET 20
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DET 28 - NYG 13 COVER  


Jacksonville at Indianapolis -10.5

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These two will face off in a huge rematch which will no doubt steer the course of the AFC South. Indy went into Jacksonville a few weeks ago and put the first L on the Jag. Jacksonville will look to even the score and move into a tie for first in the South. With my sincere apologies to Jacksonville fans who were singing my praises a few short weeks ago, now I am going against the Jag yet again! They BIT me last week, Jag fans hope they will bite me once again! Will they do it in Paytons Place?? Doubt it.
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Indianapolis 24 - Jacks 16
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JAX 27 - IND 24 COVER  

Philadelphia at Cleveland +6.5

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A game not to be taken lightly. The Browns are tremendous at home and this season is no exception. Jeff Garcia has really settled in to the offense and has gotten the Browns to respectability despite a dearth of injuries. The key will be if the Browns can run the ball, and keep Phillys offense off the field. Andy Reid wont allow Philly to look past this game. So don't look for Philly to underestimate a road opponent. Still Cleveland behind a big day running the football, in front of the home crowd, can make it interesting. Everyone in the NFL loses at some point (except the 1972 Dolphins!) could this be the week Philly Phalls. Recall what I said last week though about the Eagles. Yup - until I see someone who can stop them...
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Phila 27 - Cle 20
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PHILLY 34 - CLE 31 WINNER/No Cov.  

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San Diego at Carolina -3.5

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Its about time that I gave proper respect to the Chargers. Not just because they are actually winning a few games, but if you have ever checked out the "standings" link at our extreme stats site. You will notice the Chargers at 4-1-1 are one of the best teams against the points. Carolina is really decimated with injuries and despite being a home standing tough defensive unit. Its doubtful they have enough fire power to keep up with an improving Drew Brees and LaDamian Tomlinson. As much as I cant believe I am saying this, I actually like the Chargers this week!
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S.D. 23 - Carolina 21
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SD 17 - CAR 6 WINNER  

   

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Well, those crazy computer rankings have come out, and of course the controversy is already beginning. Oklahoma has had some impressive wins this year, but I guess not impressive enough to rank them ahead of Utah. Relax, guys - these things usually sort themselves out. Let's look at some of the big matchups for this week, and see if any of this will get any clearer next week:

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Michigan at Purdue -4.5

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This is a very intriguing Big Ten match up with Rose Bowl implications. Everybody knows about Michigan's tough D, led by Ernest Shazor and Lawrence Reid. These guys are fast and vicious. What everyone may not know is that Purdue has a mighty fine defense themselves. They should be able to slow Mike Hart down after last week's sensational effort against Illinois. Freshman Chad Henne will have to show just how much he's learned since his first road start, a loss to ND where Lloyd Carr pretty much kept the cuffs on his young prodigy. Doc thinks this UM team is starting to feel the mojo. The line is vastly improved from early on. The Michigan D will follow the Penn State/Wisconsin model for slowing down Kyle Orton and win this one late.
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MICHIGAN 27 - PURDUE 24
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MICH 16 - PUR 14 WINNER  

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Alabama +6.5 at TENNESSEE -6.5

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There is nothing but bad blood between these two SEC schools. Bama has been scrappy this year, winning with D and the ground game. If not for the loss of Brodie Croyle, they would certainly have every reason to believe they could win this one. As it is, Tennessee just has more offense and seems to be gaining steam as the year rolls on. Look for the Vols to win fairly easily over the now one-dimensional Tide.
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Tenn 27 - Bama 13
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TENN 17 - ALA 13 Winner/No Cov.

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St. Louis at Miami +6.5

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A dangerous trap game! Yeah I know Miami is pathetic offensively. They are really painful to watch! But they still have a playoff caliber defense. Their offense has ALLOWED more points than the Miami Defense thus far. That could cause trouble for the St Louis attack, and they wont be as quick on that grass down there. Some thing else you might know if you peeked at the Extreme Stats, Miami are 5-1-0 ATS in their last 6 games against St. Louis. If Miami can just not give up points to the other team when they have the ball, they can get their first win here. Kind of a tall order for this group, and even I am not crazy enough to call that one, but...
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STL 20 - MIA 14
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MIA 31 - STL 14 COVER  


Tennessee at Minnesota -6.5

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The Titans are definitely this seasons biggest disappointment for me. The Vikings I expected to be here. After a strong road win like that they will really be tested at home by a desperate Tennessee team looking for anything to get them back on track. They trounced their other NFC North opponent Green Bay two weeks ago, and have the potential to dominate opponents just the same way. Throw in the fact the Minnesota could be without star WR Randy Moss for this one, as he has an injury question, and you have to proceed at your own risk. I kinda like Tennessee for the upset here, but Minnesota is terrific at home, and I gotta hunch Moss wont just play, he will get 2 TDs and be the difference.
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Vikes 27 - Tenn 19
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MINN 20 - TENN 3 WINNER  

New Orleans at Oakland -2.5

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I am clearly guilty of overrating the Raiders. I really thought they would show improvemet last week against Denver, but that was a pretty determined Denver team, and a heck of a defensive effort out there. New Orleans doesn't have nearly the defense that Denver does and even though the Saints offense is starting to gel, they just keep coming up short. I know what some of you are thinking - here he goes again - yup you got it - this week the Raiders turn to George Blanda who comes in to lead the Raider Rally!
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Oakland 27 - New Orl. 20
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NO 31 - OAK 26 LOSER  

Dallas at Green Bay -3.5

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After dropping two straight at home Dallas heads up to Green Bay where the Pack just got finished trouncing the Lions in Detroit. You got to be kidding that Green Bay is WINLESS at Lambeau this year. You didn't even need the Extreme Stats to know that! Dallas has got to be down dropping the last two games and last week after leading in the 4th qtr. Did you notice the way that rookie QB torched the Dallas secondary - who by the way was starting a CB that they signed off the street in that game. Whatcha think old Mr. Farve is gonna do to this bunch the way hes been throwing the ball around lately? Exactly.
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Green Bay 31 - Dallas 17
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GB 41 - DAL 20 WINNER

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N.Y. Jets at New England -6.5

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What a match UP! The 5-0 Jets against the 20-0 Patriots. As Collinsworth stated during the broadcast last week; "...this has now moved into the realm of the historic." 20 in a row. I mean what are the odds in todays modern day NFL that a team runs off 20 in a row. Pretty crazy huh? This on the heels of another Red Sox - Yankee classic no less. In case no one is noticing with all the attention on baseball and the Pats. This guy Pennington is the real deal. Sure its Foxboro and all that - but if anyone can go into Bradys back yard and douse the house its Pennington. The Jet defense isnt quite on par with New Englands though so in the end Im going back on the Pat for no. 21... "historic"
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N.E. 24 - NY Jets 23
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N.E. 13 - JETS 7 WINNER  

Seattle at Arizona +6.5

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A prime time showcase for a couple of tough birds. The Cards were on a mini roll before getting spanked then headed into the bye. The Hawks were also on a roll until the collapse against St. Lou in the fourth qtr. They played gutsy the next time out - but failed in Foxboro again. Hard to blame the young Hawks though those were tough games. Arizona will no doubt be tough as well in front of their home field advantage of about 20,000 fans. Don't worry more will show up for Prime time, yet the Cards just arent prime time material.
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Seattle 26 - Arizona 7
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AZ 25 - SEA 17 LOSER  

Denver at Cincinnati +6.5

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Pretty decent week thus far. Most of my dogs have come through. This one is tricky to call. Denver should Run all over Cincys defense as they have been running on everyone. But Prime time home Dogs are very dangerous. My friend Mariah - from Ohio don't follow football but she does have an interest in my gambling, and often she will tell me "why do you take the Bengals, they always lose." Theres wisdom in them words, even with six points out there to tempt you!!
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Denver 31 - Cincy 20
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Cin. 23 - Den 10 LOSER
see what happens when you listen a woman!
 

   

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Texas at Texas Tech +2.5

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If you haven't had a chance to check out the Tech offense, take the time to watch this one. They have the nation's number one passing offense, and will give the Longhorns fits. Doc has lots of respect for the Texas D, but I think Tech will be able to put up just enough points to pull it out.
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TECH 31 - TEXAS 28
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TEXAS 51 - T.Tech 21 LOSER

 

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Miami at NC State +7.5

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These Canes just keep finding ways to pull out the win. Some would say they are living on borrowed time with the erratic play of QB Brock Berlin. NC State will be a tough test - they have a stellar defense and a good quarterback in Jay Davis. The home crowd will be pumped to see a big win over Miami. This ain't gonna be the week for the 'dog though. Miami pulls out another one with just enough on the ground and some timely pass plays by Brock.
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Miami 23 - NC St. 20
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MIAMI 45 - NC State 31 WINNER/NO COVER


 



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