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The NFL EDGE: 2004
ISSUE No. 2

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Sunday, Sep. 19
Carolina +6.5 at Kansas City -6.5

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Carolina played like a team with a SuperBowl hangover in their opener, while Kansas City looked like a team with serious defensive problems. Both will need to snap out of it this week for their first W. KC at home will outscore a scrappy Carolina team in a shootout.
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K.C. 31 - Carolina 24
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CAR 28 - KC 17 LOSER
 

Chicago +8.5 at Green Bay -8.5

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Green Bay looked and played like a playoff team Monday night. Lovie Smith got gritty defensive play last week, and guess what, the BEARS STILL CANT SCORE. They will need LOTS of defense to contain the Pack, and throw in a post-Monday night let down to have a chance. Even though historically the Bears have been solid with points in Packerland. The Green Bay faithful, and Brett Farve in Lambeau wont allow for that in the home opener for Green Bay.
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Green Bay 27 - Chi. 18
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CHI 21 - GB 10 LOSER
 

Denver -3.5 at Jacksonville +3.5

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Not to toot my own horn, but have you seen that Jacksonville Defense play yet? That's a good unit, and Leftwich is legit. He made the big play when it counted! He will look to have a bigger day against the Denver defense. As for Denver, well they aint facing the Kansas City sieves this week. Points? who needs em... STRAIGHT UP JACK!
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Jacksonville 23 - Denver 17
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JACK. 7 - DEN 6 WINNER



Houston +2.5 at Detroit -2.5

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I couldn't believe I actually said "take Houston and lay the points". I suspected Houston as a 4.5 point favorite was a joke, last week, but what was I gonna do, take San Diego?? Detroit I already clued you in on. They will *surprise* be 2-0 after this one. Be leary though when you get a couple of dogs like this, one of em could bite you... but me, Im on Motown again!
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Detroit 34 - Houston 24
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DET 28 - HOU 16 WINNER

Indianapolis +1.5 at Tennessee -1.5

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For Indy to open up the season on Thursday in New England, then wait 10 days to play again - oh and go in to Tennessee to play the Titans. That's a real tough draw. Indy. is really good, and if I had to go on a limb with a road dog, they might be it. Yet Tennessee has a score to settle after getting swept last year. Thus, Indy could be the best team with an 0-2 record.
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Tenn. 24 - Indy 21
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INDY 31 - TENN. 17 LOSER  

Pittsburgh +5.5 at Baltimore -5.5

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Consulting with The Green Bomber - from The NBA Edge - on this game, he says that Ray Lewis "must protect this house" while doing the impression! Need we say more. Sure Pittsburgh Looked pretty good in the first half of their game, but the Raven defense is much better than that Raider defense was. Jamal Lewis gets his running game on this week and the Ravens will even up their record.
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Baltimore 23 - Pittsburgh 17
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BALT 30 - PITT 17 WINNER  


San Francisco +6.5 at New Orleans -6.5

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I know I am not ready to bury the Saints after one rough outing. They were playing Seattle after all, who is just on another level from San Franisco. The Niners did rally late in their game to get that vaunted "back door cover". So that worries me a little laying almost seven against a enigmatic Saints team. But they will be ready for this one, besides its pretty long odds they start 0-2 at home.
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New Orleans 34 - San Fran 26
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NEW ORLEANS 30 - SAN FRAN 27 WINNER/NO COVER  

St. Louis +1.5 at Atlanta -1.5

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St Louis didn't look to great in squeezing by a game Cardinal team at home. That O-line will be an issue all year - take note of that. If they struggled to contain the Cardinals at home, whats Micheal Vick gonna do to that defense? I think about 4 TDs and a date with an "L" is a fair bet.
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ATL 31 - ST L. 28
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ATLANTA 34 - ST LOUIS 17 WINNER  

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The Doc is back from a CRAZY weekend in South Bend. The name of the game these days is parity - there are so many good teams out there, and not many great ones. Scholarship limits have prevented the traditional powers from really stocking talent like they once did. Thats another reason why it pays to listen to the guys that really spend time analyzing this stuff before making a bet. Let the Doc show you the way...

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Ohio State +1.5 at NC State -1.5

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This was one of the great games last season, with Ohio State winning a wild one. This year, NC State has a new QB in Jay Harris and he must really step up for the Wolfpack to return the favor this year. Ohio State has a new QB of it's own in Justin Zwick. The offense has been less than dynamic, struggling to find play makers. This game will test just how good this team is. Doc is taking the homers in this game, mostly because they have a better offense at this point, and a solid D that will keep Ohio State from controlling the clock.
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NCSU 31 - OSU 24
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OHIO STATE 22 - NC STATE 14 LOSER

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Maryland +7.5 at West Virginia -7.5

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Maryland has owned the Mountaineers of late, torching WV twice last season. West Virginia has tons of weapons on offense, and is hearing all the 11-0 preseason hype. This will be their biggest challenge. Maryland will use it's power running game to try to control the tempo of this one. West Virginia will counter with the arm of Rasheed Marshall and the legs of Kay Jay Harrs. Doc thinks that Maryland has the advantage because of the confidence that comes with having a team's number, and the fact that West Virginia will struggle to stop the run. A tough venue, but Coach Friedgen's troops will come out with a win.
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TERPS 33 - WVU 28
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WEST VIRGINIA 19 - MARYLAND 16 COVER

 
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Washington -3.5 at N.Y. Giants +3.5

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This one is actually a very tough game to call. I don't know that Washington is as good as everyone thinks. I also don't think New York is as bad as they have been. The easy pick is Washington, but historically New York has always played them tough, even in down years. I gotta go by what I see and I think Clinton Portis will be too much for that Giant Defense, but wont be going big against the big men.
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Washington 24 - NY Giants 21
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GIANTS 20 - WASH. 14 COVER  

Buffalo +2.5 at Oakland -2.5

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This is another tough game to call, the Raiders may be coming home with some confidence - after a valiant comeback effort on the road. The Bills may still be reeling from the home collapse to the Jag. This shouldn't be a shock if you read my Preseason Preview. I'm back on the Silver and Black. (and that killed me last year!) Heres to not learning from our mistakes!
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Oakland 27 - Buffalo 20
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OAKLAND 13 - BUFFALO 10 WINNER
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Cleveland +4.5 at Dallas -4.5

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Now despite my actually picking Cleveland to outright lose, they were about my best bet last week. If that Cleveland Defense manages to do what it did last week to Jamal Lewis, to Eddie George and his Cow Company, the Browndogs will be 2-0. I'm not going biting on that one though, cause that would mean picking the Tuna to go 0-2, and I don't see that happening. Yet I kinda have to get back on Browns after the way they treated me last time...
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Dallas 23 - Cleveland 20
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DALLAS 19 - CLEVELAND 12 WINNER/NO COVER  

New England -7.5 at Arizona +7.5

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Now before you get all crazy and throw your bankroll at this game thinking it's a gimme. We only got to say that Arizona, ended the Preseason with a big win, and played a tough game in St. Louis. They are home getting a ton of points and Super Bowl champs are usually VERY POOR at covering spreads. Just ask anyone who laid 3 or 3.5 in the opener. Not that I am going to take Zona, with any real money, but lets put it this way, I smell a parlay wrecker...
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New England 31 - Arizona 21
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NEW ENG 23 - ARIZ 12 WINNER  

N.Y. Jets -2.5 at San Diego +2.5

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Don't look now, but this is a battle of division leaders. Week 2 may be the last time we say this. I was not overly impressed with San Diego's road win in Houston. The Jets on the other hand, struggled some against the big pass play, but overall looked good in dispatching the upstart Bengals. Scary to think that San Diego worries me, but anytime you got a home dog you have got to be leery. Especially when the Jets are involved.
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NY Jets 33 - San Diego 29
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JETS 34 - SAN DIEGO 28 WINNER  

Seattle -2.5 at Tampa Bay +2.5

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Well this is the 1st of many "injury factor" sort of games, that those of you who wait til Friday or Saturday to make your picks, have a week to gage the status of a player. I don't have that luxury. So when I hear a report that Shaun Alexander is out or doubtful for this game, I have to be cautious. Then when I see this game I think YUK - TAMPA... That offense last week was woeful. Yet despite the horrible overpursuit on the first carry in that game, the defense was the swarming menacing one we have gotten used to seeing from Tampa. Throw in that this is the home opener, against a possibly hobbled Seahawk attack. Winning back-to-back road games is a tall order for anyone, the Hawks can! I am going with the Bucs, for some unkown crazy reason, even though I have no Idea where they are going to find more points than Seattle can score.
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Tampa 21 - Seattle 20
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SEATTLE 10 - TAMPA 6 LOSERS  

Miami +4.5 at Cincinnati -4.5

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Is Miami as bad as they looked on Saturday. Perhaps it was a combination of the worry about impending Hurricane Ivan, and a pretty darn good defense they were facing. The Bengals also lost but looked pretty good in defeat. Carson Palmer shown the world why they have made him the starter there, and he will just improve every week. He has decent wideouts who combined for big plays - they will no doubt get several opportunities to do so again. Miami faces another decent defense led by Marvin Lewis. Miami may be able to contain the Bengals somewhat, but they will get their big plays, with this offense I don't see how Miami can respond. The Bengals should win easily.
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Cincinati 30 - Miami 21
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CINCI 16 - MIAMI 13 WINNER/NO COVER  

Monday, Sep. 20
Minnesota at Philadelphia -2.5

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The Monday nighter, in Philly. Sure Philly has the tenancy to choke in big games. Yet this team has the look of something special. Minnesota can stay with them though as WR Randy Moss is correct that Philly has no one to stop him with. I just think that Philly has too much momentum right now and while it will be a great game to watch, it will be Philly that Phlies away in the end.
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Phila. 34 - MINN 29
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PHILA 27 - MINN 16 WINNER  

 

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LSU at Auburn E

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This one is gonna be nuts. Two quality SEC teams battling for the SEC West title...yeah, it's early, but these guys are gonna be there at the end. Doc loves Nick Saban - he's a fanatic and a great defensive mind. The issue here is if he can get his two headed quarterback - JaMarcus Russell and Marcus Randall - to make some plays for him. This O is struggling to find an identity thus far and needs to find a play maker among all this talent. Doc thinks the Auburn D and running game will win the day...look for QB Jason Campbell to dump the ball to Cadillac Williams to beat the aggressive Tiger D.
************************************
Auburn 27 - LSU 26
*************************************
AUBURN 10 - LSU 9 WINNER

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Florida +3.5 at Tennessee -3.5

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Yet another great SEC battle. This one isn't quite as big as it was in the Spurrier days (who besides Gator fans didn't hate Spurrier?), it will still be fun to watch. The road team has won the last four match ups between these two. Will this trend continue? Doc says yes, and I'll tell ya why. Chris Leak is now the veteran QB, and his counterpart will be Brent Schaffer, a true frosh for Tennessee. Schaeffer can make things happen with his legs or arm, but Doc thinks the Gator D will load up against the run and make the young Tennessee QB's win in the air. The Gator secondary will be up for the test.
************************************
Gators 23 - Vols 17
*************************************
TENN 30 - FLA 28 COVER

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