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Sunday, Nov. 16

Arizona +6.5 at Cleveland -6.5

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Arizona comes into Cleveland having suffered a big loss in Pittsburgh, yet still they are playing pretty respectable football. Marcel Shipp is rounding out into a nice RB and Jeff Blake balances that through the air. Cleveland comes home after having 40 slapped on them in Kansas City. Those guys there sure know how to embarrass someone quickly. Despite Cleveland really hanging around most of that game. This will be an angry Cleveland team coming back home, and the Cards will be the Dogfood for these Browndogs on this given Sunday.
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Cleve 23 - Ariz 14
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FINAL Cle 44 - AZ 6 WINNER  

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Atlanta +8.5 at New Orleans -8.5

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Atlanta ground it out last week and scrapped together win no. 200 for Coach Reeves. You could almost see it coming as Atlanta started playing better under Kurt Kittner, and defensively they were making some plays against Philly the week before. They now travel to New Orleans where the Saints had the week off. Hard to figure what New Orleans team will be coming out here. As much as I like what Atlanta did - the Saints do have a whole lot more offense - I can easily see the Saints throwing a few TDs in and getting all over this one here early then Atlanta wont be able to even make a game of it.
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New Orl. 28 - Atl. 17
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FINAL NO 23 - ATL 20 WINNER/No Cover  

Baltimore +5.5 at Miami -5.5

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Baltimore brings their smash mouth attack down to Miami. Miami has recently been getting smacked around. Blasted on the road in Tennessee, the Miami fans are starting clamor for Jay Fiedler. Neither Fiedler nor Griese can play Left Tackle though and that's been the source of many a Miami woe. They still have solid Defense there though, and will have to come up big to slow down big Jamal Lewis. The Phins get a break though as Kyle Boller is out. Even though he was a starter last year, Chris Redmond looked highly unimpressive in relief, so they try QB Anthony Wright this week - and for good measure they signed Dolphin castoff Ray Lucas. Wont matter. An angry Miami defense will punish whichever QB they throw at them.
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Miami 27 - Balt 16
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FINAL MIA 9 - BAL 6 WINNER/No Cover  

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Houston +7.5 at Buffalo -7.5

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The Texans come into Buffalo for back-to-back road games. Having lost a close exciting game in Cinci the week before. Buffalo seems to have lost track of how to score. Failing to score a TD in 3 straight road games. They have been just awful offensively lately. Getting home to Buffalo will help as well as getting the Texans Defense up there. They best be careful though - these Texans are wiley and thrive on being overlooked. Buffalo isnt playing well enough to overlook anyone, but their coaching worries me, and they very well could (overlook Houston) and wind up wondering how it happened. Heres a small clue, the team that scores the most points wins. Now lets see if Buffalo can get that this week.
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Buffalo 17 - Hou 14
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FINAL HOU 12 - Buff 10 COVER  

Jacksonville +10.5 at Tennessee -10.5

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Another "easy looking" game but I sense trouble. I have been quietly taking note of the Improvement in Jacksonville all season. They finally put it together last week and shown that they can beat anyone. Things will be very different for them this week in Tenn. The Titans are clicking on all cylinders, and have a potential MVP at QB. 10 is a big number for this Jacksonville team, and I really like that number too. I got off the Jag last week against my better judgement and they went out and just won that game. Perhaps a 3 game win streak (ATS, of course) is too much to expect out of this young team.
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TENN 28 - Jax 17
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FINAL TENN 10 - Jax 3 WINNER/No Cover  

Kansas City -6.5 at Cincinnati +6.5

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Wow look here Cinci is actually involved in a very good match up. Eventually KC will lose, when they do it will be against someone like Cincinnati. This has all the makings of one of those trap games. A home team, getting big points, one many players once considered a laughing stock, meaning they would likely underestimate. Cinci is playing with confidence and stringing together some wins. Yup this could be that one week. Every team loses at least a game right? Lots of people like Cincy here with the 6.5, but I have news for you. They WONT cover. KC has too many weapons. They can beat you too many ways. I see the best O-line in football blowing open some gaping holes for Priest Holmes, and Marvin Lewis guys wont have many answers this week.
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KC 31 - Cinci 20
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FINAL CIN 24 - KC 19 Loser  

N.Y. Giants +3.5 at Philadelphia -3.5

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Only in New York could a team go from "super bowl contenders" one week with a sloppily played overtime victory. To a "disaster season" in one week, heck it can happen in a New York Minute. For New York the beginning of the unraveling started with Atlanta last week. Not only did they lose, but they got beat up, losing Shockey for the season, and other key players to injury. Philly has been going the other way, winning 6 of their last 7. Got to note though - the Giants are 3-1 on the road, and come up big in games like this. I really like NY here, as everyone has pretty much wrote them off. Would love to grab them here and honestly if the line goes up I still may, but without Shockey - well that's a major part of the Giants - they can still pull it off but it will take a HUGE GAME from a beaten up defense - but stranger things have happened.
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Philly 17 - Giants 13
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FINAL PHI 28 - NYG 10 WINNER  

St. Louis -5.5 at Chicago +5.5

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The Big O visits the Big D in Chi-town! Who was it claiming the Rams were done? For all the naysayers and all the guff I got when I clearly stated when its all over they will be champions of the west. Week 11 and look at who is in first. I know Seattle is still up there. For now, but, Theres still time. Meanwhile St Louis just keeps winning. This week will be no different. The Bears are about due for winter hibernation. The only question there is will Dick Jauron be there through the end of the season?
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St Louis 24 - Chi 13
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FINAL STL 23 - CHI 21 WINNER/No Cover  

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Alright, you college ball freaks. I know, this week's lineup isn't quite as "sexy" as some of the weeks we've seen. But take it from the Doc - there will be plenty of great games happening and I'm here to tell ya'll which ones to keep an eye on.
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Minnesota +4.5 at Iowa -4.5

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This one is big for these teams - the winner still has a shot at the Roses, the loser is lookin at the Outback Bowl or worse. The Doc is a huge fan of Asad Abdul-Khaliq. The guy is a freak. Minnesota's offense is very dynamic and can score on anybody. However, the smart money here is on the home team. Kirk Ferentz is a hell of a coach and will use his ball control offense to keep Abdul-Khaliq on the sidelines and pull out the win.
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IOWA 30 - MINN 24
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FINAL IOWA 40 - MIN 22 WINNER  

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Florida -7.5 at South Carolina +7.5

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Beware a cornered Cock! This is a dangerous game for the Gators. Lou Holtz would like nothing more than to play spoiler in this one, and the Gators are relying on a freshman QB in a hostile environment to get a win. The thing is though, this is no ordinary freshman. Chris Leake has been tested by fire already and has shown that he has the stuff that great QB's are made of. I like the Gators to pull off the win in Columbus, but it won't be easy.
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Florida 31 - S. CAR. 28
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FINAL FLA 24 - SC 22 WINNER  
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Washington +5.5 at Carolina -5.5

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After a bit of a drought the Fun N Gun is back. At least up in DC and for one more week Steve Spurrier fended off owner Dan Snyders fury. Was that an overconfident Seattle team they faced, maybe. Carolina, as one handicapper (ahem) has been claiming all season is legit. They practically have the NFC South Clinched. That would be the biggest danger for them in this game, Not really the revitalized Redskins, but getting a little to happy with their own success. Think that they got their wake up call in Houston couple weeks ago, and there is no way coach John Fox lets that happen again this week.
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Carolina 23 - WAS 14
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FINAL CAR 20 - WAS 17 WINNER/No Cover  

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N.Y. Jets +6.5 at Indianapolis -6.5

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41-0 that's what the Jets did to Indy in last years Playoffs. You bet Indy is looking for payback. In fact they might have been thinking about this game here when they got jacked in Jacksonville. Unless they were fooling us all these weeks. The Jets will come in with some momentum off their overtime win last week, and just playing a whole lot better since Jet QB Chad Pennington has returned. That's the problem here in this game Pennington is one dangerous dude, and you can never count a guy like that out. Indy will be looking for Payback, but the Jets are fighting for their lives. This one could go either way - but I like the horses here to come out on top in the end.
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Ind 27 - Jets 23
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FINAL IND 38 - NYJ 31 WINNER/No Cover  

San Diego at Denver -10.5

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Right team wrong week. I thought I totally had these guys pegged to get the upset the week before, and seeing Flutie in the game got my hopes up. Well I was a week too soon there, as they saved their big shock for last week and the visiting Vikes. Taking that outfit over to Denver this week, should send all the speculations for San Diego successes scrambling. Despite Denver dropping a duece recently they right their ship this week against that Charger Defense. Clinton Portis will have another big day as he had over 120 yards in the first half the last meeting between these two and that was in San Diego, imagine running against winded defenders in that thin mile high air.
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Den 34 - SD 17
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FINAL DEN 37 - SD 8 WINNER  

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Detroit +10.5 at Seattle -10.5

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The Lions roar into the Jet city with a win streak. Yeah Detroit. Actually I sort of expected this type of play earlier this season from Detroit. I also fully expected that Seattle would probably start a little slower than they have, dropping a game in DC that I probably should have seen coming. By that logic this would be an ideal spot for me to step up big and call the upset. As these things often even up over the course of the season. So I am sure that I will eventually pick an upset that I will hit on, but it won't be this game.
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Sea 34 - Det 21
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FINAL SEA 35 - DET 14 WINNER  

Green Bay +4.5 at Tampa Bay -4.5

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Both these two come in on a down note having lost big games their last time out. In Tampas house its two in a row. Gruden must be fuming - this is the first time since taking over the job there that his team has lost 2 in a row. The prospects of losing 3 are pretty slim. HOLD ON NOW though - that Defense for Tampa is banged up some, and you can run on them, Ahman Green and the Pack will no doubt go that route. Then when you saw last week Jake Delhomme rally the Cats to the game winning drive. Well this week they get one of the all time masters of that in Brett Farve. Could the champs be showing the chinks in their armor? Will they fall victim to the curse that has plagued almost every super bowl champion? Yup.
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GB 24 - Tam 23
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FINAL GB 20 - TB 13 WINNER  

Minnesota -4.5 at Oakland +4.5

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A classic cross divisional rivalry between two powerhouses of the 70s. Both are far from Domination in their recent games. The Vikes have lost two in a row and are playing their second straight west coast road game. Judging from last week they don't travel very well. Hard to fathom the Raiders getting points at home, and I must admit that those points and the Raiders in the Black hole over there are VERY TEMPTING! I had questions about the Vikes in the preseason and was rather surprised they were as successful as they were. The past few weeks though we can see those questions. What a conundrum, Rick Mirer starting at QB for Oakland, what am I thinking - guess whose falling off the wagon - but not quite ALL the way off.
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Minn 20 - Oak 17
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FINAL OAK 28 - MIN 18 COVER  

Dallas +3.5 at New England -3.5

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Bill Parcells revisits his old stomping grounds yet again. He has vexed all his old comrades, and triumphed in all his old homes. Yet his once biggest ally - is also his biggest test. Bill Bellicheck knows Parcells better than anyone. Could this be a super showdown? We will see about that. Bellicheck is a master schemer and you know this game is more than just a little bit personal. This round goes to the Student as he has some more impressive pieces on his chess set. Namely QB Tom Brady, still counting Parcells out is NEVER a good idea.
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NE 26 - DAL 20
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FINAL NE 12 - DAL 0 WINNER  

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Monday, Nov. 17

Pittsburgh +4.5 at San Francisco -4.5

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Not much to say about this one. San Fran is the better team. They have a nice underrated defense. Big play guy in Terrell Owens, while Garrison Hearst can still tote the rock. Whether its Tim Rattay or Jeff Garcia manning the helm SF has the better team. They are home and for Pittsburgh its quite a journey. They have no shot right? Well forget the 4.5 points, they wont get within 10! Least that's what makes sense. But Monday is magic, and this season the road team is like 9-1 or something like that. Tommy Maddox started heating up last week and has some explosive guys. Being that I should have jumped on more dogs this week, and didn't, well see about making that up right here.
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SF 21 - Pitt 20
************************************
FINAL SF 30 - Pitt 14 WINNER/No Cover  
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Purdue +3.5 at Ohio State -3.5

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Talk about dangerous games! The Buckeyes absolutely cannot afford to look ahead to Michigan here, as the Boilermakers are going to give them all they can handle. Purdue is very strong across both lines, and they have a great decision maker in QB Kyle Orton. The Buckeyes have not looked overly impressive this year, but have found a way to win. I think the trend will continue here, as Purdue has lost to Ohio State fourteen of their last fifteen trips to the 'Shoe. I want to pick the upset, but I don't think Purdue is going to know they can win this one.
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Buckeyes 24 - Boilers 17
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FINAL OSU 16 - PU 13 WINNER/No Cover  

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Pittsburgh at West Virginia E

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After Miami and Virgina Tech have stumbled, the Pitt Panthers suddenly find themselves atop the Big East with a perfect record in league play. The Doc is here to tell ya that these guys are a fraud. Rich Rodriguez has built a tough, fast squad down in West Virginia and they will be giving the Panthers a healthy dose of power football. Pitt won't be able to handle it, and the Big East picture will get even murkier.
************************************
WVU 29 - Pitt 20
*************************************
FINAL WV 52 - Pitt 31 WINNER  
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