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Greggy The Greeks
The NFL Edge
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Sunday, Nov. 2
Carolina -6.5 at Houston +6.5 GET THE LIVE NFL LINES NOW!
The Cats come confidently into this game, having swept divisional rival New Orleans. Houston limps into this one having an injury situation to young QB David Carr. Some intrigue in that Dom Capers was Carolinas first coach, and as we know he led them into the playoffs in his second year there. He is now Houstons head coach in his second year. Houston has surprised a few folks already this season. Might be a situation ripe for an upset if Carolina is overlooking the game Houston team. I wont take that bet though because I believe in John Fox and Carolina blue.
************************************ Carolina 35 - Hou. 13 ************************************
FINAL HOU 14 - CAR 10 Loser
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Indianapolis +2.5 at Miami -2.5
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Miami comes home after a weird road trip to San Diego that wound up in Arizona. However on this odyssey Miami may have found itself a QB with a familiar name to the folks in South Florida. Indy comes in with a nasty swagger and no such QB questions. They are balanced and playing solidly on both sides of the ball. This should be one great game to watch. Miami may have been unsettled at QB - but there are no such questions on the defensive side of the ball, where they have shut down just about everyone. The Danger for this team is not against good opponents but against ones they overlook, they should be up for this one. When this was a divisional rivalry Miami owned this series. It may be time for a change, as I like Indy to pull the upset - and the computer projects that they will. Still when it comes to my money I know better than to bank against Miami at home, especially now that they could feature some downfield passing which will really open up lanes for Ricky Williams to run through.
************************************ Miami 24 - Indy 21 ************************************
FINAL IND 23 - MIA 16 Loser
Jacksonville +7.5 at Baltimore -7.5
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Leftwhich and the Jags go into Ray Lewis' neighborhood. This should be a smash em up brawl. Beware the Jags lingering and Byron sneaking in some bombs. The Ravens play em close to the vest for most of the ball game, despite the final score. They can usually pound one in late in the game against a worn down defense. Not that they wont wear down the Jacksonville defense with some power running behind RB Jamal Lewis. They must finish their drives with TDs though because in case you don't see it, Leftwich can throw the deep one, and this may be the week he starts to click with WR Jimmy Smith. Not that I am implying that Jacksonville will win this game, or even cover. However with that combo on the field they could wind up making this one closer than most people might think - and possibly sneak on in the back door.
************************************ Balt. 24 - Jacks 13 ************************************
FINAL BAL 24 - Jax 17 WINNER/No Cover
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New Orleans +7.5 at Tampa Bay -7.5
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Tampa had been in the on again off again mode - winning - then losing. That's not the talk coming out of Tampa though, where they feel they got the league right where they want it. New Orleans had been playing well lately, although taking a tough home OT loss last week will play on their psyches. New Orleans may not be feeling good about themselves, but they could be thinking how they swept the Bucs last year. With some injuries in the Tampa Secondary the Saints may be poised exploit that with the big play. It may be one of those match up situations where the Saints might not be that good but they can match up with the Tampa Personnel well. The one thing that is for certain, the Saints were playing much better defense last year when they met the Bucs and met them early on. That fact and that Tampa may be looking for revenge for the team that put TWO stains on their championship season. Just more reasona to go with the bucs to string together a win streak. ************************************ Tampa 24 - N.O. 12 ***********************************
FINAL N.O. 17 - TAM 14 Loser
N.Y. Giants -2.5 at N.Y. Jets +2.5
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In an odd twist of Fate Jets QB Chad Pennington figures to make his first start this season against the team that shelved him for the first half of this season. Another interesting sideline to the battle for New York. This game is usually a pretty spirited contest, even though these two don't play each other in the regular season very often. They really don't like each other - and as far as both are concerned this game has huge implications in their season. The G-men can climb back into the playoff picture with a win here, and having gone into Minnesota and slapped the first L this year on the Purple guys, probably feel pretty good about their chances. While the Jets didn't win last time out they had started playing better than earlier this season and have to feel good about getting Pennington back. Curtis Martin gained 100 last time out and looked to have that step back he seemed to have lost. Even the Computer has this game as a virtual tie. With it being that close, and these teams being that close in the standings it only figures that when this one is done, these two will once again have the same record.
************************************ Jets 24 - Gints 23 ************************************
FINAL NYG 31 - NYJ 28 Loser
Oakland -2.5 at Detroit +2.5
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Just what Detroit needs after getting whupped for weeks now, a beaten down Oakland team. Oakland comes in after closing the book on one of the more dismal starts to a season in many years. They had their bye and had to think about coming up one yard short of getting back in the race and posting the first L on KC for two weeks. Not a bad way to get back on track than to visit the defenseless Lions. Steve Mariucci cant work miracles and get this Detroit team to play respectably. However this is a game where something has got to give. Oakland has not beaten a point spread all season - Detroit hasn't beaten anyone since week 1 (and we can argue weather or not Arizona IS anyone). So something there has to give. I am banking on Oakland as I have all season and its no coincidence that I am exactly as many games under .500 ATS as Oakland has FAILED to COVER. Fans here know why and can predict who I will take. SMART GAMBLERS might want to try to take Detroit at home with the points figuring that streak will continue.
************************************ Oakland 30 - Detroit 22 ************************************
FINAL DET 23 - OAK 13 Loser
San Diego +4.5 at Chicago -4.5
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Another soiree among stinkers. Who is the bigger disappointment this year. San Diego certainly has been a disappointment but they still have some offensive potential. David Boston has some skills, and Ladamian Tomlinson is still one of the top RB in the league even though hes struggling this season with this team. The Defense there didn't look too good though, at least against the Dolphins. Chicago doesn't have Ricky Williams or Chris Chambers or a Brian Griese. Chicago on the flip side may not have the offensive weapons but they do have some defense there. Chris Chandler as stated here may be better suited to move Chicago offensively and with the San Diego defense he could look like an all star. Don't be fooled though Chicago is still quite inept and capable of getting dismantled especially if San Diego can move the ball early, then it will be tough for Chicago to come back.
************************************ San Diego 20 - Chi 19 ************************************
FINAL CHI 20 - SD 7 Loser
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The Doc is on vacation so this weeks picks are kinda fast and furious, though its deemed showdown Saturday, the doc has found a few sleepers even in a very hectic week...
Now, onto this weeks matchups...remember: the Doc is always looking for the BEST, most exciting matchups to write about, but if there's a game I don't mention that you want to yap about, bring it to FORUM
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Northwestern +19.5 at Purdue -19.5
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Not the most appealing match up on the board on the big showdown Saturday. I like this game though. Sure Purdue will win this game and rebound from the Michigan loss. Purdue will run the ball and play defense. Northwestern has some fight in them though and will make a few plays against Purdue. Enough to stay within 3 Touchdowns.
************************************
Purdue 24 - Northwestern 6
*************************************
FINAL PU 34 - NW 14 WINNER/No Cover
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Arkansas -3.5 at Kentucky +3.5
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Another big divisional rivalry game in the SEC this time. Kentucky with QB Lorenzen might be an appealing home dog. Stay away the doc sez. Kentucky has no defense and Arkansas will run the ball all over the Wildcats. Arkansas has a real good running game and can put up points too. Lay the points as this one will be a rout.
************************************
ARK 34 - Kent. 20
*************************************
FINAL Ark 71 - Ky 63 WINNER
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Washington +4.5 at Dallas -4.5
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An interesting game in the NFC EAST. How will big D rebound from a Loss?
Can Washington get their offense back on track? This will be interesting test for the young Dallas team. Having not only suffered a loss but a shutout will no doubt have set some reality in down there in big D. In comes an improved Washington team, with some big play weapons on offense after a few disappointing outings. Steve Spurrier will no doubt have some tricks up his sleeve for Bill Parcells after a week off - of studying film no doubt. You can bet he watched very carefully how the Tampa defense thwarted the Dallas offense. This "wise guy" handicapper is giving this one out as his upset of the week as he loves Washington here, and you didn't even have to part with your $19.99 for me to tell ya that. I am going against that logic as Parcells the master tactician will use that shutout as a motivating tool and have the boys prepared. Parcells will get the best of Spurrier - at least this go round.
************************************ Dall 20 - Was 10 ************************************
FINAL DAL 21 - Was 14 WINNER
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Cincinnati -3.5 at Arizona +3.5
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Try to keep a straight face about this, but these two come in on winning streaks. Arizona hasn't lost since early in October thanks to a bye and an improbable upset of San Fran. Cin city comes in winners of two straight.
They really have responded to Marvin Lewis there and are playing really good ball. Actually this will probably be a pretty entertaining football game.
Too bad that hardly anyone might go. They did draw some 65,000 there for the Monday night game, between the Dolphins and Chargers - so that shows that Arizona could support a professional football team. Which is what Cincy is starting to play like.
************************************ Cincy 27 - Ariz 20 ************************************
FINAL AZ 17 - CIN 14 Loser
Pittsburgh +4.5 at Seattle -4.5
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Seattle tries to regroup at home after a tough loss against a desperate Steeler team. Personally I am very wary of decent football teams with potentially explosive offenses who are desperate. Seattle had been playing really well but might those young legs on defense starting to get a little tired? If so Tommy Maddox could have a big day throwing deep on the Hawks. The Seattle offense on the other hand could also have a big day going deep on the penetrable Steel defense, especially out there.
************************************ Sea. 30 - Pitt. 27 ************************************
FINAL SEA 23 - Pitt 16 WINNER/No Cover
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Philadelphia -4.5 at Atlanta +4.5
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A Battle of the birds down there in the dome. Philly comes in on a roll having won 4 of their last 5, after a slow start. While Atlanta had a victory on opening day and has since only come up on the losing side of the tally. Despite Philly sitting only one game back in their division all the talk is about McNabb and the struggling offense. McNabb didn't look to be struggling one bit last week. Recall my saying McNabb is due for a big week. This should be that week.
************************************ Philly 28 - Atl 17 ************************************
FINAL PHI 23 - ATL 16 WINNER
St. Louis -3.5 at San Francisco +3.5
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The Rams demonstrated that they are back with a big road win. San Fran has got to be upset by their upset in the dessert. This is a pivotal game for both these two clubs. St Louie can clearly state they are back and legit, while San Fran can show that they too are in the running. The rule of thumb here in this rivalry is to go with the road team as they have a habit of covering. Last time these two got together in St Louis the rams squeaked by with a 3 point win. This one also figures to be close as San Fran will be fighting for their season here. There are serious flaws in that team though and they will be exploited again as the season starts slipping away.
************************************ St Louis 26 - San Fran 23 ************************************
FINAL SF 30 - StL 10 COVER
Green Bay +3.5 at Minnesota -3.5
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A rematch of game 1 this year when the Vikes announced to the league that they were back shellacking the pack in Lambeau. While some things have changed since then. Like the whole league now knows Minnesota is back. Throw in the fact that Brett Farve does not play well in domes, and this looks really easy. Once again I need to stress that the obvious pick isnt always the winning one. I like Brett Farve to be more focused and determined this game. You can bet that Green Bay wont be looking past this game in any way. Guarenteed that game stuck in Farves mind, that the pack spent the past week studied film from that game and the Minnesota loss and will be ready for them. They will exploit the Vikings secondary like New York did last week and will at least make this game closer than the debacle of week. ************************************ Minn 30 - Green Bay 24 ************************************
FINAL GB 30 - MIN 27 Loser
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Monday, Nov. 3
New England +2.5 at Denver -2.5
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Not the sexiest match up they could have on Monday night. Partially due to Denver coming in having lost a couple of games and starting 3rd stringer Danny Kannell at QB again. The Broncs were on the road a couple weeks in a row there, getting back home Denver is dangerous, hence they are favored. Odds say its unlikely a decent NFL team will lose 3 in a row. That being the main factor in favoring the Broncs. They will bring a big dose of Clinton Portis and Defense to get things going for them this week. Kanell having another week to prepare will have to play better. The problem with that is they are playing the Pats with player Tom Brady at QB, and Adam Vinateri one of the best FG Kickers in the NFL. Denver will run Portis wild all over the Patriot Defense, but somehow the Pats will weather it and find a way to stick around. Vinateri kicking in that thin Denver air will keep them in it. Late in the Game Brady will lead the Pats to the clinching Vinateri FG. The only question is which one of them will be on the trailer.
************************************ NE 22 - Den 21 ************************************
FINAL NE 30 - DEN 26 WINNER
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Washington State +10.5 at USC -10.5
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One of the more appealing matchups of the day in a Pac-Ten showdown. Wash State has overcome some losses and has been playing great. They can really make a splash toward a Pac Ten title with a win here. Wont happen though as Pete Carrolls team is eyeing the National Championship, and has the Defense to back it up. USC will make this one look easy.
************************************
USC 44 - Wash St 28
*************************************
FINAL USC 43 - Wa. St 16 WINNER
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Buffalo +26.5 at Toledo -26.5
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Sure there are many more appealing match ups to go with, like Miami - Va Tech or Va. - NC State - but for a change the Doc wanted a sure winner. Despite certain Alumni Ramblings Buffalo is barely a division I program. Sure they got their first win last week over another MAC Doormat team, Ohio. Toledo is one of the better Mac Teams and at home no less will crush an overwhelmed Buffalo team. Reminding a certain Alum why Buffalo is no football powerhouse and should never be mentioned again on the NFL edge.
************************************
TOLEDO 47 - BUFFALO 10
*************************************
FINAL TOL 56 - UB 29 WINNER
See Y'all next week and enjoy the games!!
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