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   2003 SEASON - Issue No. 5

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Sunday, Oct. 5

Arizona +7.5 at Dallas -7.5

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Ahh those wily Cards. First on the docket and last in the standings. Going up against Bill Parcells surprising 'Boys. I really took it on the chin last week going against big D. The Cards have been nothing but frustration for me since the regular season started! You will recall we had Arizona over Dallas in the preseason and cashed in there. That confidence will buoy the Cards in this game (or more correctly it will buoy MY confidence in them). The confidence factor should be a wash as the Boys are also flying higher than they have in years. I figure Emmitt will be really fired up and determined this week, and gutty Jeff Blake will keep the Cards in it against, a now overrated Dallas team. It would figure anyway, but Parcells just knows how to make the right moves and get his guys in positions to win. So that upset I really, really wanted to call here, will only further frustrate me if it happens!
************************************
Dallas 20 - Zona 13
************************************
FINAL DAL 24 - Zona 7 WINNER/No Cover  

Cincinnati +8.5 at Buffalo -8.5

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Another interesting game on the slate. The Bills losers of two in a row - have come back to the pack after making serious noise in the first two weeks. The opposite can be said of Cincy. They have really come on and covered now in 2 of their last 3 times out, also getting the first W for Marvin Lewis. Scary as this sounds, the Bagels now have to be considered a legit NFL team. (meaning they can win on "any given Sunday") Kitna looked sharp and the Defense was signature Marvin Lewis thwarting Couch and Cleveland. Still Corey Dillon is out and he really is their best offensive player. Buffalo ran into a very good and desperate Philly team last week. They get Travis Henry back this week too - that can only help. The number may be a little big considering the way Cincy has looked that last few weeks. So after all that, one does not make piles of money betting against the Bills in Rich stadium, there are even fewer winning tickets that have Cincy stamped on it. I may be fool hearty but I am calling for a Buffalo stampede getting them back to their early season form.
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Bills 30 - Cincy 14
************************************
FINAL BUF 22 - CIN 16 WINNER/No Cover  

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Denver +3.5 at Kansas City -3.5

A huge heavyweight bought among two unbeatens - clearly one will fall. The Chiefs may be playing the best ball in the AFC right now and an early season visit by the Broncs will test that notion. They can score in waves, but when Denver is on they can too. KCs improved defense will tested as Clinton Portis will suit up for this one. Hard to go against the Chiefs at home. Denver didn't cover last time out and KC did, in fact KC has won every time out! All those reasons to stay with the Homestanding Indians. However if a team wants to be a championship team they must win on the road, Denver is equipped to do that. With a stout defense effort early - Green will be matched by and bested by that wily gambler Jake Plummer (please don't revert to pickoff-plummer!!), who by authoring this latest 4th qtr comeback finally begins to earn some respect of the Denver fans who are somewhat spoiled when it comes to 4th qtr comebacks.
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Denver 29 - KC 28
************************************
FINAL KC 24 - Den 23 COVER  

Miami at N.Y. Giants E

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I WILL DEFER ON THIS GAME TO THE PANAGEO-COMPUTER PROGRAMS PROJECTION.
************************************
MIA 23 - NYG 21
************************************
FINAL MIA 23 - NYG 10 WINNER  

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Minnesota -4.5 at Atlanta +4.5

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Minnesota has been arguably the best team in the league this season. They look like the Vikes from 3 years ago that played for the NFC title. Meanwhile after a promising start Atlanta has struggled. They can forget about a playoff run when Vick comes back if they lose a few more games. I think they feel that sense of urgency and will come up with a big effort at home. They may be a little overmatched though. Its hard to go against a team that's looked as good as the Vikes have. Atlanta may get a good half(hint-hint) out of that desperate home energy but eventually Culpepper will start to click and connect with his receivers. That Atlanta Defense will have to come up with a huge effort for them to have a chance in this game, while I see it happening early. Once Duante gets on track he will seemingly score at will on that defense and the Vikes will up their mark to gasp 5-0.
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Minny 27 - Atl. 20
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FINAL MIN 39 - Atl 26 WINNER
Hey I GAVE YOU ATLANTA in the 1st half TOO!! - so this SHOULD count as two wins :)
 

New Orleans +6.5 at Carolina -6.5

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Wow those Saints looked pretty awful Sunday night. I don't see how they can really improve much as they are missing like 7 starters from their defense to injury. Carolina may not be an offensive juggernaut like Indy looks like, but New Orleans sure helped make them look like it. They could wind up doing the same to Carolina. Carolina RB Stephen Davis has looked great and the Cats will just grind it out run the ball, run the clock, run up the score, and run up their record yet again this week. There is a chance Carolina could take this game too lightly and allow NO to hang around - I just cant see it with what I've seen from that N'awlins Defense.
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Car. 24 - NO 13
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FINAL CAR 19 - NO 13 WINNER/No Cover  

Oakland -3.5 at Chicago +3.5

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Just as much as some people like to bet winners, I prefer to find losers to bet AGAINST. The Bears are arguably the worst team in football. They have a great formula for betting, No offense, plus no defense, equals no wins. I have made bank just going against the Bears (thank you Chicago for bailing me out of a HORRIBLE WEEK LAST MONDAY!!) The Raiders are still the defending AFC Champs. Although they haven't beaten a point spread all year. Even against the sorry Bengals, and Chargers. Can they possibly keep that trend up against the hapless bears? I know people keep feeling the Bears will come around, that Kordell will have one of those big games and pull one of those upsets. Well despite the Raiders lacking the cover all season, they hit their stride in the second half last week. Even though this one is in Chicago, they will not only win here and vault themselves to a respectable 3-2 but more importantly the Raiders will finally hit the W against the number and hit it big!
************************************
Oak 30 - Chi 21
************************************
FINAL CHI 24 - OAK 21 Loser  

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Dr. Biffs NCAA PICKS!!

Wow, this week looks slow as far as "marquee" matchups...but the Doc is still counting on some great games. Last week, we all saw the Oregon let down coming. Unfortunately, some of us were too chicken to pull the trigger on that one. Not mentioning any names in order to protect the innocent. Great news is that last week is history and the Doc is back to fight again. Let's bring em on...
Remember: the Doc is always looking for the BEST, most exciting matchups to write about, but if there's a game I don't mention that you want to yap about, bring it to FORUM

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Michigan -2.5 at Iowa +2.5

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These are two good, solid Big Ten squads going head to head. Iowa put a smack down on the Wolverines last year in the Big House, and Michigan is looking to return the favor this week. However, Iowa is a team in disarray right now - they were just shocked by Michigan State and Doc doesn't see them coming up with too many answers in a few days of practice. Due to injuries and inconsistent QB play, Iowa has become very one dimensional, and the Wolverines will feast on that. Despite their usual playing-below-potential, the Wolverines just have too many weapons for Iowa. Could get ugly. The Doc sez all Michigan in this one.
************************************
Mich. 31 - Iowa 13
*************************************
FINAL IA 30 - MICH 27 Loser  

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Tennessee at Auburn E

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Alright, maybe we're reaching here. Before the season started, this looked like a premier match up of a great Auburn team and a very good Tennessee team. Things have changed. Tennessee is making all the right moves lately and Auburn looks very beatable. That being said, the Doc is here to tell ya that a win over Tennessee this week will get Auburn out of their funk and back on track for an SEC title. The Tigers have spent the last couple of weeks working out the kinks against some cheese, and will be fired up to beat the Vols. Their defense will keep them in this one, and the offense will come up with some late magic and get the win.
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Auburn 28 - Tenn. 27
*************************************
FINAL AUB 28 - Tenn 21 WINNER  

 

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Seattle +2.5 at Green Bay -2.5

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Mike Holmgrens return to Green Bay - that alone would be quite a story. That's only part of it though as his unbeaten Seahawks are finally showing the gumption that they went out and got Holmgren for. The Pack staved off an awful hole that they would have dug for themselves by coming up big in Chicago Monday night. Still, I am not convinced that they are all that good of a team. I like the Hawks and it's a bonus to get those points. All this talk of Farve being done, and too old -- that just motivates this guy. When people write off guys like that, and when a champs back is against the wall, he will muster another gritty vintage performance. For just this one given Sunday, the Pack will be back and knock the Hawks from the Ranks of the unbeaten.
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Green Bay 19 - Sea 16
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FINAL GB 35 - Sea 13 WINNER  

Tennessee -1.5 at New England +1.5

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A tough Titan task again this week, as they play their second one on the road. Installed as a slight favorite in New England is a ploy to get people to lay off the Titans. The Pats are a patch unit defense now - as they keep losing players on their defense to injury. Sure NE QB Tom Brady and the offense can have a big game, but they have guys who couldn't start for Arena League teams trying to stop Steve McNair and the Titans. Might happen, as the NFL is known for surprising upsets and this wouldn't be all that surprising most weeks, but when you look at the 11 guys on the NE Defensive side of the ball they will need much more than 1.5 to hang with the Titans.
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Titans 20 - NE 16
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FINAL NE 38 - Tenn 30 Loser  

San Diego +3.5 at Jacksonville -3.5

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Phew a stinker. Well the good new is that one of these two will finally get off the schnied. Which one though is a different matter. Gotta feel for Jack Del Rio - hes a rookie coach and really does not have all that much talent on his team. Still the decision to start QB Byron Leftwich will make Jacksonville a better team down the road, but already cost this years team a game last week. Brunell still has gas in his tank and should not be let out to pasture like that, it will cost them again this week as the rookie Leftwich will again make some mistakes as he underestimates the quality of an NFL defense, well if you can call San Diego that. L. Tomlinson should go wild on this defense and it seems that S.D. will get David Boston back for Drew Brees to throw to this one may not even be that close. With that 3.5 this one may be the easiest one on the day.
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S.D. 28 - Jax 20
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FINAL JAX 27 - SD 21 Loser  

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Detroit +7.5 at San Francisco -7.5

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Steve Mariucci returns to SF. Things are starting to look ugly for the Niners though. Then they will be looking across the sidelines at a excited Detroit club. They were encouraged by their spirited effort against Denver in Denver, this is their second straight long road journey. The plus is that San Fran defense which is pretty darn inviting. They can make Joey Harrington look good. Despite all the ugliness in SF they are clearly the most talented 1-3 team in the league. I am thinking it will finally click for them against a jet-lagged Detroit team, while I am looking for another close spirited effort from Detroit this just as easily could turn to a rout. Regardless I don't see SF going 1-4 they will get it done somehow this week.
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SF 24 - Det 19
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FINAL SF 24 - DET 17 WINNER  

Washington +6.5 at Philadelphia -6.5

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So Philly finally got a W last week at Buffalos expense. A victory here against the surprising Skins should sway things some. The Skins sit atop the East and Philly could send a huge message. Washington likewise has a chance to really derail the Eagles resurrection. This will also have all the intensity of a playoff game, and who knows it may just be. Wash QB Pat Ramsey should be able to find budding superstar Laverneaus Coles against the Eagle secondary even though the young Defensive guys really stepped up last week. It could be a wild shoot out if McNabb picks up where he left off in Buffalo. Could go either way, and its an awful big number for a game this big. Still I think the Eagles can soar to new heights when they really need to, and they will really need to this week or they will be in HUGE hole.
************************************
Iggs 38 - Skinnys 30
************************************
FINAL PHI 27 - WAS 25 WINNER/No Cover  

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Cleveland +6.5 at Pittsburgh -6.5

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A good old rust belt prime time showdown. The Brownshirts have got to be reeling from getting jacked up in their house by the Bagels last week. While Pittsburghs punishment was a pounding by the Tennessee Titans. The Titans may wind up being the best team in the AFC, and so losing to them is no real shame. What Cleveland did though was inexcusable. The good thing for Browns fans is that if they don't win any games that Tim Couch starts there really wont be any QB controversy. Although despite the fact they hate Couch I really think that they would rather have the win. Too much to ask for in Pittsburgh this week.
************************************
Pitts 23 - Cleve 14
************************************
FINAL Cle 33 - Pitt 13 Loser  

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Monday, Oct. 6

Indianapolis +4.5 at Tampa Bay -4.5

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A battle of two big time teams - with lots on the line. Tony Dungee returns to Tampa unbeaten and leading his division. Tampa has a loss and is trailing Carolina in the standings. As much hype as this game will get, it really does not mean all THAT much to Indy. As if any NFL game does not mean that much. Another thing that don't mean too much are stats. Heres a stat for you, the road team is 3-1 on Monday nights this season. So if you buy that then the Colts look good with the 4.5. I like the Bucs though and as we saw in Philly they are BIG on prime time. Tampas defense is dominant while the Colts are comers, the better defense will win this game, and that's Jon Grudens crew!
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Tampa 27 - Colts 16
************************************
FINAL Indy 38 - Tamp 35 Losers Complain IN the FORUM

 

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Kansas State +6.5 at Texas -6.5

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Ell Roberson returns from injury and not a moment too soon. The 'Cats will need him this week to beat rival Texas on the road. Texas seems to have found some momentum after losing to Arkansas a few weeks back. They will move the ball, no doubt. K-State has a dynamic offense as well, with a mobile QB and the running of Darren Sproles (assuming he's healthy enough to go). The game will be decided by which defense steps up on gameday. Both have looked vulnerable at times so far. The Doc is looking for K-State to step up with a big interception or two and steal this one as the 'Horns look ahead to Oklahoma.
************************************
Kan. St. 31 - Tex. 28
*************************************
FINAL Tex 24 - KSU 20 COVER  

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Washington at UCLA E

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UCLA has had the Huskie's number lately, winning the last four times the teams have met. Cody Pickett, who the Doc kinda likes in a Brett Favre - mr. clutch sort of way, seems to save his worst performances for the Bruins. The UCLA secondary is probably looking forward to another good day against him. Unfortunately, this UCLA team just isn't very good. They are really struggling on offense with young QB Drew Olsen. UCLA needs it's D to play a strong game and keep the team in it. Doc is thinkin that 'ol Cody is gonna finally light these guys up. Washington finally gets it done against the boys from L.A.
************************************
Wash 24 - UCLA 17
*************************************
FINAL UCLA 46 - WAS 16 Loser
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