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Greggy The Greeks
The NFL Edge
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Sunday, Sep. 28
Arizona +9.5 at St. Louis -9.5 GET THE LIVE NFL LINES NOW!
Arizona shocked most of the league and probably themselves in beating Green Bay last week. That alone might be reason enough to go with St Louis in this one - betting they cant do that again. St Louie lost a toughie up in Seattle more importantly though is that they lost Marshall Faulk with a broken hand, he wont play. It shouldn't matter this week as my money sez Arizona cant go into St Louis and pull another upset. No way!
************************************ St Louis 30 - Zona 20 ************************************
FINAL StL 37 - Ariz 13 WINNER
Atlanta +4.5 at Carolina -4.5
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Don't look now but Carolina is leading the NFC South. Have to hand it to defensive wizard John Fox getting it done. Atlanta has played well at times but looked completely hapless against Tampa last week. I suspected that they had a suspect defense. They can get away with it against weaker defensive teams, but Carolina, much like Tampa, is defense oriented, they will shut down Doug Johnson and the Atlanta offense. Steven Davis will grind it out for Carolina on the Ground and Carolina will go to 3-0.
************************************ Carolina 27 - Atlanta 17 ************************************
FINAL Car. 23 - Atl 3 WINNER
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Cincinnati +4.5 at Cleveland -4.5
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The one thing about Butch Davis' Browns are that they are a resilient bunch. Just when you think they are done they pull a stunning upset. Even more stunning was finding out Kelly Holcomb had a broken leg while doing it! Despite winning the Cleveland offense is still sputtering, if Holcomb doesn't play and Couch does, lookout for a controversy to flare up when he sparks the offense against Cincy. For Marvin Lewis bunch its like more of the same old story. Only this time around its close - but no cigar. Well this week with the prospects of no Corey Dillon (potentially) close might be all they can optimistically hope for. ************************************ Cleve 34 - Cinci 17 ************************************
FINAL CIN 21 - Cle 14 Loser
Jacksonville -2.5 at Houston +2.5
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Despite all the early season optimism in Houston after a stunning opening day game, they have reverted back to looking like an expansion team. There is a little formula however that likes them here this week. What with QB Carr to WR Andre Johnson they can be explosive and get some big plays. Jacks however has looked and played better than their record in tough losses. If they can muster another gritty effort, and seeing Fred Taylor running for them is a good sign, then this will be the week they get off the schnied. ************************************ Jax 23 - Houst 16 ************************************
FINAL HOU 24 - Jax 20 Loser
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Kansas City -2.5 at Baltimore +2.5
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So has K.C. made a believer out of you yet? They have really been impressive offensively - lighting it up week in week out. Priest Holmes, Trent Green have them scoring like a basketball team once again. They passed their first road test last week with flying colors hanging a 40-spot on the board. That was Houston - it gets tougher against Ray Lewis' bunch up in Baltimore. The Raves have just been getting it done. Brian Billick is a master coach I am convinced - even with a rookie QB. This is a tougher call than people think and I can see Billick stealing another one here at home. I really like what V. Holiday brings to the KC defense - they will get after Boller and even Ray Lewis and co. will have a hard time keeping the red team off the scoreboard. ************************************ KC 29 - Balt 20 ***********************************
FINAL KC 17 - Balt 10 WINNER
New England +2.5 at Washington -2.5
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Lots has been made this week about Washington not being legit since they lost when facing the first "first team" QB last week. Well I am not so sure - the Jints are a good team and historically bounce back from adversity and came out strong. I was really impressed with Washingtons ability to rally and comeback once again. This bunch will feel they are never out of games, and if they can cut down on the penalties they will improve even more so. New Engl. may have won but the body count on defense is mounting and even a good team in todays NFL cant withstand too many injuries and continue to be successful.
************************************ WAS 27 - NE 23 ************************************
FINAL WAS 20 - NE 17 WINNER
Philadelphia +3.5 at Buffalo -3.5
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Perhaps people were a bit to quick to put Buffalo back in the super bowl. Perhaps Philly is waiting to get the odds up on them before they start winning. Well we shall see in this game. How well will Buffalo rebound from their first loss? Even with the week off Philly has lost a bunch of players on defense - especially the defensive line. Even though Miami shown everyone how to stop Buffalo, its doubtful Philly has the personnel to do likewise, Bledsoe should rebound with a big day against a depleted secondary. Unless McNabb wakes up and starts finding the end zone Phillys season could be in a major hole. ************************************ Buffalo 31 - Philly 21 ************************************
FINAL PHI 23 - BUF 13 Loser
San Francisco +2.5 at Minnesota -2.5
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This is a game which I would want to wait and see about. (as if I had that luxury) The Vikes have looked great thus far, but -wait- QB Culpeper has a broken back -wait- that sounds serious - but -wait- they are saying he could play, likewise -wait- WR Randy Moss has an injury question. Again they are saying he will likelly play too. If that's the case the Niners secondary could be in for another long day. Though I cant really see the Niners going 1-3 and I cant really believe that the Vike D can shut them down, at this point I don't see that I have a choice now do I??
WARNING: THE PANAGEO-COMPUTER
PROGRAM CAME UP WITH THE NINERS IN THE OUTRIGHT UPSET - but then again this season we have the same record, so how right can that be??
************************************ MIN 28 - SF 20 ************************************
FINAL Minn 35 - SF 7 WINNER
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The Doc is always looking for the BEST, most exciting matchups to write about, but if there's a game I don't mention that you want to yap about, bring it to FORUM
After a couple of amazing weeks of college match ups, this week is a bit slower. Not a ton of marquee games, but still some interesting contests and a chance to break even after a rough start. The Doc is the eternal optimist.
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Tennessee -16.5 at South Carolina +16.5
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Yup, the Doc was impressed at the way the Vol's stepped up for a big win in the Swamp last week. Are they ripe for a letdown? Lou Holtz always has his team ready to strap em on and hit somebody. The key here is weather or not the SC offense, which is a multiple set scheme using lots of different looks to confuse opponents, can put up some points on the Tennessee D. Doc liked how they handled Florida and figures they can handle SC as well. This one won't be easy for the Vols, but they just have too much for SC.
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TENN 20 - S.C. 7
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FINAL Tenn 23 - S.C. 20 WINNER
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Iowa -6.5 at Michigan State +6.5
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Ah, yes. Big Ten season has arrived. Although, unlike your Daddy's Big Ten, these teams actually believe that the forward pass is legal. Iowa runs a very balanced offense featuring stud tailback Fred Russell and QB Nate Chandler. State counters with a defense that has proven to be susceptible to the pass. Jeff Smoker is a quality quarterback who rarely makes a mistake. State can win this game if they can keep Iowa off balance early on and keep moving the chains. Unfortunately, Doc just doesn't see Iowa's D letting that happen.
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IOWA 23 - Mich St 17
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FINAL MSU 20 - IA 10 COVER
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Tennessee +2.5 at Pittsburgh -2.5
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Both Pittsburgh and Tennessee come into this game off impressive bounce back wins - following tough losses. This was once a great divisional rivalry and I almost expect that type of hitting. Tennessee has surprised me with how physical their defense plays. Pitts. had stepped it up a notch defensively but I still have questions about their defense cause that was Cincy. I like Tennessee to run the ball and keep the score down. Though I think Tommy Maddox squeaks it out as one of his receivers makes a big play as time winds down.
************************************ Pitt 24 - Tenn. 23 ************************************
FINAL Tenn 30 - Pitt 13 COVER
San Diego +6.5 at Oakland -6.5
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Monday night may have been the door slamming shut on the window of opportunity(!?!) for this version of the Raidez. It was over moments after it started that I knew - it was a passing of the torch. Maybe it started at the Superbowl. Since then the vaunted mystique has vanished. The money raiderz were a memory and the reality is the 03 version IS 0-3(ATS). The Blundering Bolts give the Silver and Black a chance to earn some respectability back - in front of the home crowd and all. Although the way it seems a cover might be a bit much to expect from this old horse, call me an old stubborn fool - but better to bet with the black than be burned by the oft beatable Bolts, again...
************************************ Oak 28 - S.D. 19 ************************************
FINAL OAK 34 - SD 31 WINNER/No Cover
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Dallas +2.5 at N.Y. Jets -2.5
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Here is the second of the way over-hyped Tuna reunion tour games which the media drools over. Lot of Early action on this game and its really making me rethink my take on this game. Sure I like what I saw Monday from the Cowboys, and yes the Boys are buying into what Tuna is selling them. Get this though, the Tunas big win in NY had more to do with the G-mens ex-offensive coordinator knowing exactly how to attack them. Reality rears its ugly head this week as Herm Edwards troops rally to have a big day against big D. Vincenzo will have plenty of time with his line against this front and he will go to town deep against the rookie Terrence Newman - well that's assuming that Conway can hold onto any balls this week (ya think they miss L. Coles??) and the Jets will get their first win. Even with all the action going down on NY this week makes me rethink this - I am just telling myself that I am trying to outthink myself and I am sticking with my first impression.
************************************ Jets 20 - Dall 14 ************************************
FINAL Dall 17 - Jets 6 Loser
Detroit +11.5 at Denver -11.5
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Hard to get a read on this as there is no line yet. I know Denver RB Clinton Portis has an injury question. The same goes for back up Mike Anderson. Either way - hoo wee - didn't Denver look good Monday night. I knew it was a matter of time before Plummer started to improve under Shanahan - that's why I liked Denver to win the west. That Defense looks scary at times and they are scoring 30 almost every time out. Detroit looked good opening week, oh but that was the Cards, and at home. They have been on the L side of the ledger every other time, and that unfortunately for "Mooch" and his bunch will be their fate regardless of who plays RB for Denver and whatever the line winds up being. ************************************ Den 34 - Det. 19 ************************************
FINAL DEN 20 - DET 16 WINNER/No Cover
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Indianapolis -2.5 at New Orleans +2.5
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The Colts have looked really impressive so far this young season. Payton Manning we know about, as well as Marvin Harrison. They are now getting big contributions from Reggie Wayne and the way that Defense responded to Tony Dungy the Colts look like real contenders. The Saints on the other hand have been rather disappointing thus far. They were purported to have this high powered offense - and thus far its been nonexistent. This is just a hunch here and again I may be trying to outsmart myself. But this is the NFL and you know all about the any given Sunday thing, well Sunday night, especially - I am going out on a bit of a limb - but Im saying that this might be one of those "any given Sundays!" On this one I can see Aaron Brooks going nuts and the Saints looking surprisingly good. What after last week you doubt me?? Check this out...
************************************ Saints 29 - Indy 24 ************************************
FINAL IND 55 - NO 21 Loser
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Monday, Sep. 29
Green Bay -3.5 at Chicago +3.5
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A thought provoking game for sure. Watching all the upsets this weekend this might seem like the stage is set for yet another. The Bears come home for literally the first time in years, as they finally return to Soldier field. The home dogs getting 3.5 on the Monday night stage looks inviting especially watching what the Pac-men have done lately losing to Arizona. Looks as though Brett Farve is showing signs his tenure is almost up. Sure its Soldier field and its huge rivaly - but I just cant see this Bear team winning. It might be a close game - and even after getting called out for taking most of the favorites this past week, I am going back to the well again saying the Pack is just too good to get beat by Ariz and Chi back to back. ************************************ GB 14 - Chi 10 ************************************
FINAL GB 38 - Chi 23 WINNER
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Arkansas at Alabama E
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Arkansas has had a great year so far, but this will be a huge test for them on the road. The Razorbacks have looked awesome so far this year, with Cedric Cobb running roughshod over all comers. The Doc is also high on QB Matt Jones - the guy is a smart QB who maybe isn't the best passer in the world, but he knows how to win. That's what college ball is all about. Bama has a tough defense, and if they can shut down Cobb and force Jones to beat them with his arm, they have a chance. Won't happen.
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ARK 26 - Bama 17
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FINAL ARK 34 - ALA 31 WINNER
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Washington State +3.5 at Oregon -3.5
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Both these teams were projected to be middle of the pack types, but both have played very well so far. Huge win at home last week for the Ducks. Mike Bellotti is a great coach. Doc also likes what he has seen from Wazzou. This is a well coached team - even without Mike Price - and should give Oregon all they can handle. Wash State will be able to pass the ball against a suspect Oregon secondary. Additionally, Oregon may be suffering the emotional hangover from a huge win against Michigan. Still, Doc is going with the home team on this one.
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Ducks 33 - Wassu 28
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FINAL WSU 55 - ORE 16 Loser
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Pittsburgh at Texas A&M E
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Pitt got all the preseason hype as a top ten team, but laid an egg last week against that powerhouse football program from Ohio. Uh, that's Toledo. Pittsburgh's offense, when clicking, can be downright scary. Great QB, great receivers, great back. Unfortunately, they don't always play up to potential. The Aggies have a solid team and a great coach in Dennis Franchione. Plus they have the home field. Doc thinks this "top ten" team will be just trying to stay ranked after this week. The boys from College Station will win.
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A&M 24 - Pitt 21
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FINAL Pitt 37 - A&M 26 Loser
See Y'all next week and enjoy the games!!
Our Picks and Predictions this season are sponsored by: SHOW ME TICKETS
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