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Greggy The Greeks
The NFL Edge
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Sunday, Sep. 21
Jacksonville +7.5 at Indianapolis -7.5 GET THE LIVE NFL LINES NOW!
We only need to look at Monday night to see that big favorites aren't always the gimmie they seem to be. Indianapolis really looks like they have started to play that Tony Dungee Defense, they have only allowed 13 points in two games. Payton Manning to Marvin Harrison ain't a bad combo either. Need to watch out for a let down after a big game against your top divisional rival Tenn last week. Jax with QB Brunell can be dangerous if overlooked, But I wont bet on that. ************************************ Indy 31 - Jacks 21 ************************************
FINAL Indy 23 - Jax 13 WINNER
Kansas City -8.5 at Houston +8.5
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Reality finally set in for the Texans this past week. While KC has been unreal in their play so far this year. This one looks easy, keep in mind this is the Texans home debut. Then there is an issue with Preist Holmes Status coming in with a rib injury.- and Jersey Joe always sez "ya never get shut out at home." Crazy things going on in this league all the time. That whole Holmes thing is very disconcerting, nonetheless, that still won't be enough to slow the Chiefs. ************************************ KC 31 - Hou 17 ************************************
FINAL KC 42 - Hou 14 WINNER
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Minnesota -4.5 at Detroit +4.5
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Based on week 2 performances my initial thought was that this line is too small. Minny should be a bigger fave than 4pts. Especially if you look at what they did to common opponents. This makes me suspicious. As is the Minnesota Defense, suspicous. Shutting down the Bears is no big feat, lets see how they fare against the improving Lions. I still like the Vike - but not in a rout.
************************************ Minn 29 - Detroit 27 ************************************
FINAL MIN 23 - Det 13 WINNER/No Cover
New Orleans +2.5 at Tennessee -2.5
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Another one of those injury question games. Newsflash: Steve McNair is injured. This is no different from almost every week last year. Will he play or wont he? That's the key issue as Tennessee is like night and day without their field general. With him they can beat anyone, without him - they look like an expansion team. Especially the way that secondary played last week in Indy. N'awlins - oh yeah they did win - at home against Houston. I can say this - that game wasn't as much of a rout as it seemed. Its only Monday, but my bet is McNair plays and plays well enough to get the W. This just in - he will be questionable again next week...
************************************ Tenn 23 - N.O. 19 ************************************
FINAL Tenn 27 - NO 12 WINNER
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N.Y. Jets +6.5 at New England -6.5
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One of the truest adages in the NFL is your never as bad as you look when you lose and never as good as you look when you win. New Engl epitomizes that this year. As embarrassing as they were losing to Buffalo they were impressive in dominating supposed powerhouse Philly. Now this years version of the Pats make their home debut. The Jets looked lousy at points against Miami - but spurred hope in the resilient second half. The Phins exposed the lack of speed down the field in that Defense and Brady will exploit that as the Pats will roll.
************************************ N.E. 27 - Jets 13 ***********************************
FINAL NE 23 - Jets 16 WINNER
Pittsburgh -3.5 at Cincinnati +3.5
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Pittsburgh was abused last week in Kansas City. They led that game at one point 17-7 and only managed 3 points the rest of the way in that onslaught. The best medicine for that is a date with the Bengals. However an improving Bengal team is responding to Marvin Lewis and actually covered against the Raiders in Oakland. The oddsmakers took note and installed Pitt as only a 3 pt fave. A line far to generous for Cincy.
************************************ Pitt 29 - Cincy 17 ************************************
FINAL Pitt 17 - Cinci 10 WINNER
Tampa Bay -4.5 at Atlanta +4.5
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A very intriguing game here. Both teams looked real good in week one, and yet both suprisingly lost in week 2. This sets up a really big early season match up with these two. Sure Tampa was beaten at home last week, but that was Carolina who packs almost as good a defense as Tampa, and apparently better special teams. Atlanta has been playing respectably without Micheal Vick, but can their defense hold up in what looks to be a defensive game?? I doubt it.
! ************************************ Tampa 19 - Atl 13 ************************************
FINAL Tampa 31 - Atl 10 WINNER
Green Bay -6.5 at Arizona +6.5
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If the preseason counted the Cards would be 4-2 right now. But it does not, and unfortunately for them they get no break with Brett and the suddenly revitalized Packers coming to town. Perhaps the Pack might look past this game and perhaps Emmitt Smith will show flashes of days gone by and the Cards will pull the miraculous upset. I know one thing I wont be cashing in on that, that sound you hear was me jumping off this bandwagon, I am not touching the birds with twice the number offered! ************************************ Green Bay 30 - Zona 17 ************************************
FINAL Az 20 - GB 13 Loser
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No doubt that the OSU/NC State game was yet another classic. Seems like we get one every week. The Doc missed that one, however, as he was busy getting sworn at by Michigan fans at the Big House. Hope ya'll saw me on College GameDay...I was the good lookin one...
On to this weeks matchups. There are lots of intriguing games on deck, and we'll try to highlight the best one's for ya, but if there's a game I don't mention that you want to yap about, bring it to the FORUM
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Texas A&M +14.5 at Virginia Tech -14.5
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This goes against my policy of only picking Saturday games (cause college ball should always be played on a Saturday), but the Doc really likes this matchup. This would be a huge road win early in the Dennis Franchione era at A&M. The team should be well prepared and willing to control the ball with a mix of running and short passing. For Va Tech, the key will be how well their ferocious D can contain the A&M attack led by the mobile and dangerous Reggie McNeil. Doc thinks they can. Also, Kevin Jones should see some daylight against an Aggie defense that has been susceptible against the run. Take Tech at home, as the defense leads the way.
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Va Tech 30 - A&M 14
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FINAL Va Tech 35 - A&M 19 WINNER
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Georgia at LSU E
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This is a classic matchup of two great SEC programs. Georgia is on top these days, but LSU is just itching for that big win to propel them onto the national scene. The interesting matchup here is the great LSU defensive live versus QB David Greene and his ability to beat the blitz. Greene is a very patient passer who will take what the D gives. Georgia's O line will be tested mightily here, but I think it still comes down to Greene and his pocket presence. Georgia hasn't been beaten on the road in an SEC game under Richt. They have no fear of Death Valley. Take the Dawgs in a close one.
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Geo. 30 - LSU 27
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FINAL LSU 17 - Geo 10 Loser
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N.Y. Giants +2.5 at Washington -2.5
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Don't look now but the Fun n Gun is working. Spurriers Skins are alone atop the NFC East. Laverneous Coles and Rod Gardner catch the Fun from Rapidly Rising Pat Ramseys Gun! An impressive comeback road win in Atlanta and the Skins host a HUGE GAME this week. Speaking of comeback, that was a huge deflating loss for the Gmen Monday night, a great comeback which could have propelled them into this game, then the specter of last years playoffs reared its ugly head. Special teams squandered away the lead with only 11 seconds to play. Normally I would be all over the Gmen and points in this one, coming off a Monday night loss. Heck if it was 32 - 7 Monday I would be all over this game. Not this time as last week will haunt this team into disaster! ************************************ Wash 28 - Giants 23 ************************************
FINAL NYG 24 - WAS 21 Loser
St. Louis +2.5 at Seattle -2.5
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St Louie rebounded from its week one loss and with Marc Bolger at QB returned to their winning ways last week. The Seahawks however are perched atop the NFC west roost. Ray Rhodes has Mike Holmgrens Defensive unit looking mighty impenetrable as they following their shut down of New Orleans with a shutout of the Cards (yeah well they are the Cards!). I doubted this team before but that Defense made a believer out of me. They wont completely shut down St Louie, but they can outscore them.
************************************ Sea 37 - St Lou 27 ************************************
FINAL SEA 24 - StL 23 WINNER/No Cover
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Baltimore at San Diego E
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I keep looking at this game here and something is just not right. Baltimore looking impressive would be an understatement. While saying San Diego has underperformed to someone whose taken them the past two weeks (ahem) would probably get them sick. So how are they even? Because pro teams even mediocre ones usually don't lose three in a row. Is it because they are home? Unless theres some magical home cooking - like a guy named Sol who slipped someone an envelope - the only thing cooking will be the face of someone betting on the bolts.
************************************ Baltimore 24 - San Diego 20 ************************************
FINAL Balt 24 - SD 10 WINNER
Cleveland +6.5 at San Francisco -6.5
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Well the one thing you can say about Cleveland is that they have progressed. They did manage to score a TD last week. Oh but their defense, well they didn't give up a TD in week 1. They did however give up an NFL record almost 300 rushing yards to Jamal Lewis. The Niners may have lost to the Rams last week, and they might not have a RB as proficient as Jamal Lewis, but Garrison Hearst is no slouch, and Jeff Garcia is just a wee bit better than rook Kyle Boller. Six and a half wont be near enough - although on the plus for Cleveland they may score two TDs this week....
************************************ San Fran 36 - Cleve 20 ************************************
FINAL CLE 13 - SF 12 Loser
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Buffalo +3.5 at Miami -3.5
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The Prime time match up appears promising. Miami can right its upset in week 1 with a victory here and find itself in 1st again. We all know about the Dolphins Gaudy record in September and especially at home. The Bills will be playing their second straight road game so you may think this is a good spot for a let up. The Phins will try to pound the ball with Ricky - the Bills will be ready - they have an improved defense. Miami on the other side is a bit overrated as Buff. WR Eric Moulds abuses Miami DB Sam Madison. Look for unheralded WR Bobby Shaw to have a big day against Miamis 3rd corner Terrell Fletcher. Miami will need a huge game by Jason Taylor pressuring Bledsoe to have a chance - and they will do so in the first half, but the Bills will stay in the game and steal it at the end! ************************************ Buffalo 20 - Miami 19 ************************************
FINAL MIA 17 - BUF 7 Loser
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Our Picks and Predictions this season are sponsored by: SHOW ME TICKETS
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Monday, Sep. 22
Oakland +5.5 at Denver -5.5
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Didn't thik I would forget this one now would ya. A HUGE early season game. Denver has looked very impressive out of the gate. Blowing people off the line and rolling it up on the scoreboard. They need this game to keep up with the 3-0 Chiefs and they hardly ever lose at home. On the other side of the coin the Raiders are 1-1 and just barely edged out the Cincy in Oakland last week, making them 0-2 ATS. Could the Raiders finally be starting to feel their age? Shanahan and the Denver boys have dominated this series lately and this game has all the makings of a blowout. I think the Raiders have too much pride to go 1-2, the gritty vets of the silver and black will rally one more time and muster up some of that Raider Monday night magic in a Must win divisional game on National TV.
************************************ RAYDEZ 26 - Denver 23 ************************************
FINAL DEN 31 - Oak 10 Loser
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Miami -12.5 at Boston College +12.5
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This is a tough league game for the Hurricanes, as they always seem to have trouble in Chestnut Hill. Brock Berlin has been unspectacular save a brilliant second half against Florida. BC will try to run the ball with the ever-dangerous Derrick Knight - he is a threat to score whenever he gets the ball. Of course, the Canes will be ready for this, so they will probably stack the line and dare BC to beat them in the air. Doc just doesn't see a one-dimensional team beating the Hurricanes. Not Saturday, not this year, not anytime soon. BC must hope for some bad weather to strike Boston in a hurry for this one to work out for them.
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Miami 37 - B.C. 20
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FINAL MIA 33 - BC 14 WINNER
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Tennessee +2.5 at Florida -2.5
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Two giants in the SEC east square off in a crucial early season contest in the Swamp. A win here would get a lot of fans off of Ron Zook's back. In reality, he's done a decent job with the Gators and should be given a bit longer before judgment is passed. The Gators ran out of gas against Miami, but proved that they belong with the big boys. Tennessee will probably have some success running the ball, and would be wise to do so in order to control the clock and keep the crowd quiet. The Gators counter with RB Deshawn Wynn, a superstar in the making. The Doc sees the Gators having the upper hand in this one due to a better overall offense and a tough D. The home field is the deciding edge.
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FLA 23 - TENN 17
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FINAL TENN 24 - FLA 10 Loser
See Y'all next week and enjoy the games!!
Our Picks and Predictions this season are sponsored by: SHOW ME TICKETS
Show-Me Tickets has been selling
tickets for events since 1997. They specialize in buying and selling
premium tickets for all major events in North America, including the
NFL, NHL, NBA, MLB, NASCAR, concerts and theatre events.
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