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   The NFL EDGE: 2002
       NFL WEEK # 5

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The NFL Edge

WEEK 5
Sunday, Oct. 6

Arizona +3.5 at Carolina -3.5

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All those laughing when I said Arizona might be the surprise team in the NFC west, just need to see how they are only one half game back. Playing the equally surprising Panthers. Although Arizona got an assist from the Refs last week, Carolina was gyped on a missed field goal at the end. The one constant in the NFL though is that eventually the breaks do even themselves out. While discounting the Carolina Cats earlier this season, the time tested formula of running the ball (with Lamar Smith) and defense (led by Julius Peppers and Dan Morgan) consistently leads to vicotry.

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Carolina 20 - Cards 14
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FINAL ARIZ 16 - CAR 13 Loser

Cincinnati +13.5 at Indianapolis -13.5

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Cincinnati seem to go from bad, to even worse, to really really bad. At this point its almost not fair picking against the Bengals. Even with 13.5 points, its like roughing up your little sister. Payton and company should light these guys up and even the Indy defense will be able to contain this offense. They would have to, winning is expected and even a close game would be disappointment.

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Indy 34 - Cinci 13
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FINAL IND 28 - CIN 21 Winner
No Cover

New England +2.5 at Miami -2.5

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What looked like the Marquee matchup/possible conference championship preview has lost some luster as both teams are coming in off thier first losses. Perhaps both teams were looking ahead to this week, or they might both have some flaws. New England can get into situations where they would need to run the ball, can they?? Miami when faced with an offensive explosion and needs to throw the ball can look ordinary too. A tough call in anyones book, while the computer breaks this down - get this - as Miami having the edge offensively BUT giving the nod to NE defense. I'm going to break it down like this, If Miami plays defense like they did against the Chiefs, this pick wont be the only thing floating belly up in the water.

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Miami 28 - N.E. 24
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FINAL MIA 26 - NE 13 WINNER

N.Y. Giants at Dallas Pickem

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A huge game for both of these teams who are looking to establish themselves as the challenger for the eagles Eastern divisional crown here. Dallas comes in with loads of confidence after roughing up the Rams in St Louis. While the Giants are probably still in shock about giving up that last second, first half TD. I can only imagine how bad the media will be killing Fassel in NY this week. Confidence is a big part of football and as good as NY QB Kerry Collins looked starting the season, he looked just as bad after that pick. Dallas will bring lots of pressure and force the struggling Giant offense into more mistakes, unless Kerry finds some way to regain his early season poise Dallas will once again continue thier mastery of the Giants in Dallas.

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Dallas 17 - Giants 10
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FINAL NYG 21 - Dal 17 Losers

Oakland -2.5 at Buffalo +2.5

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Folks the Bills are for Real (just as Big D reminded me this week how he told me in the preseason) The Bills are 3-1 vs the spread and really look more like contenders than scrappy underdogs. However this week the Raiders roll into town with thier HOF arsenal of weapons, clicking on all levels. Putting up 52 points against what many thought was a pretty decent team. I know Buffalo can score and will make this an entertaining game. The Raiders Offense should completely overwhelm Buffalos pass defense - and keep the game just out of Bledsoes reach.

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Oakl. 34 - BUF 28
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FINAL Oak 49 - BUF 31 WINNER

Pittsburgh +2.5 at New Orleans -2.5

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Heres another big game. Pittsburgh struggled but finally got that first win. They still have troubles offensively and I can assure everyone Tommy Maddox is not the answer. He is a nice stop-gap back up, but they will go back to Kordell this week. Against this New Orleans defense - never mind what happened last week - they will create problems for Stewart and the offense. Aaron Brooks needs to get back on track after last week and this might just be the secondary to do it against.

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New Orl. 26 - Pitts 13
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FINAL NO 32 - Pitt 29 WINNER

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Dr. Biffs NCAA PICKS!!


Tell ya what, you gotta love Louisville beating FSU. And how bout them Iowa Hawkeyes? Games like that are the reason why college ball is still the best (just don't say that to those NFL Edge guys). The Doc's gonna break down four more good ones for you guys, so don't get caught up thinking about next weeks phenominal games - there's more than enough good stuff going down this week - starting toinght.

Editors Note:The Good Doctor made and submit his 4 games on Weds, but due to other business affairs we were not able to get them up in time. Doc picked Fla. State -14 over Clemson Thursday - which was a Winner but like I said I didnt get it posted here in time Sorry about that Doc, thats the third time winner this year I screwed up for you, OOOPS... anyway heres the other three picks for this week!

Docs (follow up) Note: Well since I still need four picks for this week, I like Fresno to cover against CSU at home. Oh, and the Doc really likes Western Michigan to cover the 10.5 against the Bulls from Buffalo. (and this would be the lock of the millenia if a certain Alum were still there) Just thinkin out loud...

FINAL Fres. 32 - CSU 30 WINNER
FINAL WMU 31 - UB 17 WINNER
 
**There that should make up for the FSU pick!!**

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Penn State +2.5 @ Wisconsin -2.5

Suddenly, Penn State is faced with a must win in it's Big Ten season. How quickly things change. Luckily, they are facing the worst 5-0 team ever. I like Penn State to handle the Badgers, who may be without Lee Evans again and really lack the game breakers that State has. The Lion defense is suspect, but I think they step up and make some key plays in this Penn State win.

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PSU 27 - Wisc 23
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FINAL PSU 34 - Wisc 31 WINNER

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Sunday, Oct. 6

Tampa Bay -1.5 at Atlanta +1.5

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Tampa looks to have hit thier stride now, after starting slow, they look to have adjusted to Grudens offense and are starting to make plays. This is another dangerous game for the Bucs as they go into Atlanta and take on Micheal Vick and the Falcons. Years Past this would be one that the Bucs might let slip away. I dont see that in this years team, this is a big divisional test, and having lost to New Orl. earlier in the year, the Bucs will be very focused for this game.

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Tampa 27 - Atl. 17
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FINAL Tampa 20 - ATL 6 WINNER

Washington +6.5 at Tennessee -6.5

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The Skins come in after a week off to face a Tenn team that just got LIT up by the Raiders. Tenn will either respond with a big rebound game or they really are that bad. Well the Raiders had some HOF type WRs to exploit the suspect Tenn secondary. Washington clearly does not have those WRs nor a quality QB to exploit that weakness. While Tenn does have Steve McNair who is coming off a career high passing day, will likely exploit the Redskins.

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Tenn. 21 - Wash 17
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FINAL Wash 31 - Tenn 14 COVER

Kansas City -6.5 at N.Y. Jets +6.5

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The NY Jets have looked more like the Hindenburg in thier last 3 games. In turn they get one of the NFLs best backs in Priest Holmes and the High Scoring Chiefs. Does this look like a mismatch? The Chiefs are finally taking to Dick Vermiels schemes and as we saw with Miami when they are on they can really light it up. They should do so again this week as the Jets appear to have thrown in the Towel ALREADY this season. On the plus side for the Jets, if they keep this up, they could wind up drafting Byron Leftwich to reunite him with his teammate Chad Pennington.

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KC 38 - Jets 13
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FINAL KC 29 - JETS 25 Winner
No Cover

San Diego at Denver NL

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San Diego continues to shock people with thier 4-0 start, as does Denver. Both teams have good running games, solid defenses and good young QBs. This will be San Diegos 2nd road game this season, and Denver with the Altitude, is a much tougher place to go into and win than Arizona. The Chargers will be full of confidence nevertheless, but Denver who had just about everything go wrong on Monday night, will be ready for this weeks game from the get go.

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Denver 34 - San Diego 24
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FINAL Den 26 - SD 9 WINNER

Philadelphia -3.5 at Jacksonville +3.5

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Jacksonville really came through for me last week. With a healthy RB Fred Taylor they really are a different team. QB Mark Brunell to Jimmy Smith is as deadly a combination as there is in the NFL. Philly, however, is probably playing the best football in the league right now. They have the look of a champion blowing out thier past two opponents, this will be a much closer affair.

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Philly 23 - Jacks. 20
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FINAL JAX 28 - Phi 24 COVER

St. Louis +6.5 at San Francisco -6.5

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Remember how ridiculous I sounded in the preseason when I said if the Rams lost Faulk and Warner they might be worse than the Texans. Well the Texans have won a game and covered two(for those who count that sort of stuff). Going to SF where the Rams have picked on the 49ers in recent years. Things are just about to get worse. The Niners will exact thier revenge, and send a message that they are the real "west coast" team in the West.

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SF 31 - Rams 14
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FINAL SF 37 - StL 13 WINNER

Baltimore +2.5 at Cleveland -2.5

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Cleveland comes home still in first place despite not capitalizing on the game Pitt tried to hand them last week. The Ravens finally got it on track offensively with 31 points in the first half Monday night. Dont let that fool you,(didnt I say this about Detroit last week) a visit from Art Modells Ravens still incites near riots in Cleveland.

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Cle. 24 - Balt 13
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FINAL Balt 26 - CLE 21 Loser
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Monday, Sep. 23
Green Bay +1.5 at Chicago -1.5

Always a great rivalry when these two get together. The Packers have a one game lead in the NFC North. They visit Chicago who is intent on changing that. The Computer likes GB and more so with the points. Hmmmmm. As much as I like the Pack, they do have some weaknesses defensively. If you follow the Stock Market at all, you would know that October is historically a Bear Month, thats all the Edge you need, Grrrrrrrrr!!!

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CHI 27 - G.B. 19
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FINAL GB 34 - CHI 21 Loser

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Oklahoma -13.5 @ Missouri +13.5

Oklahoma has not impressed the Doc so far as a top team. They have a ferocious D, but the offense has really been stuck in low gear. I see them struggling against a tough Missouri team led by QB Brad Smith. If he can get the Tigers into the end zone, there could be trouble for the Sooners. I say Bob Stoops finds a way to win this one, but it won't be easy.

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Okla. 24 - MISSOURI 14
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FINAL OU 31 - MISSOU 24 WINNER!

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Oklahoma State +23.5 at Texas -24.5

The showdown with Oklahoma is just a week away, but second-ranked Texas will do well to avoid looking past Saturday's Big 12 Conference opener against Oklahoma State. However Texas has won four straight and nine of the last 10 against Oklahoma State to open a 14-2 lead in the all-time series. The Cowboys' last victory came in Stillwater in 1997. This Texas team is for real and will continue its Mastery of Oklahoma St.

*************************************
Texas 48 - Okla State 17
*************************************
FINAL TEX 17 - OSU 15 Winner/No Cov.

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